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Suppose $(f,\mathcal{X},\nu)$ is a measure preserving dynamical system and $\phi:\mathcal{X}\to\mathbb{R}$ is an observable with some degree of regularity. We investigate the maximum process $M_n:=\max\{X_1,\ldots,X_n\}$, where…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-10-16 M. P. Holland , M. Nicol , A. Török

We consider discrete time dynamical systems and show the link between Hitting Time Statistics (the distribution of the first time points land in asymptotically small sets) and Extreme Value Theory (distribution properties of the partial…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2010-06-17 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mike Todd

We consider dynamical systems $(X,T,\mu)$ which have exponential decay of correlations for either H\"older continuous functions or functions of bounded variation. Given a sequence of balls $(B_n)_{n=1}^\infty$, we give sufficient conditions…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-08-31 Charis Ganotaki , Tomas Persson

We consider the extreme value theory of a hyperbolic toral automorphism $T: \mathbb{T}^2 \to \mathbb{T}^2$ showing that if a H\"older observation $\phi$ which is a function of a Euclidean-type distance to a non-periodic point $\zeta$ is…

For a measure preserving dynamical system $(\mathcal{X},f, \mu)$, we consider the time series of maxima $M_n=\max\{X_1,\ldots,X_n\}$ associated to the process $X_n=\phi(f^{n-1}(x))$ generated by the dynamical system for some observable…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-05-25 Mark Holland , Mike Todd

Consider an ergodic measure preserving dynamical system $(T,X,\mu)$, and an observable $\phi:X\to\mathbb{R}$. For the time series $X_n(x)=\phi(T^{n}(x))$, we establish limit laws for the maximum process $M_n=\max_{k\leq n}X_k$ in the case…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-05-13 Meagan Carney , Mark Holland , Matthew Nicol

We establish quantitative results for the statistical be\-ha\-vi\-our of \emph{infinite systems}. We consider two kinds of infinite system: i) a conservative dynamical system $(f,X,\mu)$ preserving a $\sigma$-finite measure $\mu$ such that…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-04-26 Stefano Galatolo , Mark Holland , Tomas Persson , Yiwei Zhang

We give conditions to prove the existence of an Extremal Index for general stationary stochastic processes by detecting the presence of one or more underlying periodic phenomena. This theory, besides giving general useful tools to identify…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-20 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mike Todd

We prove the equivalence between the existence of a non-trivial hitting time statistics law and Extreme Value Laws in the case of dynamical systems with measures which are not absolutely continuous with respect to Lebesgue. This is a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2012-09-14 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mike Todd

We study the optimal control of discrete time mean filed dynamical systems under partial observations. We express the global law of the filtered process as a controlled system with its own dynamics. Following a dynamic programming approach,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-13 Jeremy Chichportich , Idris Kharroubi

There are two main approaches to non-equlibrium statistical mechanics: one using stochastic processes and the other using dynamical systems. To model the dynamics during inflation one usually adopts a stochastic description, which is known…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2016-03-29 Vitaly Vanchurin

We study the statistics of the maximum and minimum of a set of $N$ random variables whose dynamical and statistical properties fall within the scope of infinite ergodic theory. These non-stationary yet recurrent systems are described, in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-09 Talia Baravi , Eli Barkai

In this article we show that a large class of infinite measure preserving dynamical systems that do not admit physical measures nevertheless exhibit strong statistical properties. In particular, we give sufficient conditions for existence…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-04-30 Douglas Coates , Ian Melbourne , Amin Talebi

We use extreme value theory to estimate the probability of successive exceedances of a threshold value of a time-series of an observable on several classes of chaotic dynamical systems. The observables have either a Fr\'echet (fat-tailed)…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-11-07 Meagan Carney , Mark Holland , Matthew Nicol , Phuong Tran

We consider a conservative ergodic measure-preserving transformation $T$ of a $\sigma$-finite measure space $(X,\mathcal{B},\mu)$ with $\mu(X)=\infty$. Given an observable $f:X\to \mathbb{R}$ we study the almost sure asymptotic behaviour of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-05-18 Claudio Bonanno , Tanja I. Schindler

We consider the asymptotic consistency of maximum likelihood parameter estimation for dynamical systems observed with noise. Under suitable conditions on the dynamical systems and the observations, we show that maximum likelihood parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-01 Kevin McGoff , Sayan Mukherjee , Andrew Nobel , Natesh Pillai

Let $T \colon M \to M$ be a nonuniformly expanding dynamical system, such as logistic or intermittent map. Let $v \colon M \to \mathbb{R}^d$ be an observable and $v_n = \sum_{k=0}^{n-1} v \circ T^k$ denote the Birkhoff sums. Given a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-10-19 Alexey Korepanov

We obtain exact results for the recently discovered finite-time thermodynamic uncertainty relation in a stochastically driven system with non-Gaussian work statistics, both in the steady state and transient regimes, by obtaining exact…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-03-13 Sreekanth K Manikandan , Supriya Krishnamurthy

We study two classes of dynamical systems with holes: expanding maps of the interval and Collet-Eckmann maps with singularities. In both cases, we prove that there is a natural absolutely continuous conditionally invariant measure $\mu$…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-12-09 Henk Bruin , Mark Demers , Ian Melbourne

We give the distribution of $M_n$, the maximum of a sequence of $n$ observations from a moving average of order 1. Solutions are first given in terms of repeated integrals and then for the case where the underlying independent random…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-09-07 Christopher S. Withers , Saralees Nadarajah
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