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Machine learning models are increasingly integrated into societally critical applications such as recidivism prediction and medical diagnosis, thanks to their superior predictive power. In these applications, however, full automation is…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2020-03-18 Vivian Lai , Samuel Carton , Chenhao Tan

Atmospheric Extreme Events (EEs) cause severe damages to human societies and ecosystems. The frequency and intensity of EEs and other associated events are increasing in the current climate change and global warming risk. The accurate…

Human-machine networks affect many aspects of our lives: from sharing experiences with family and friends, knowledge creation and distance learning, and managing utility bills or providing feedback on retail items, to more specialised…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2017-02-16 J. Brian Pickering , Vegard Engen , Paul Walland

Time series forecasting is one of the most active research topics. Machine learning methods have been increasingly adopted to solve these predictive tasks. However, in a recent work, these were shown to systematically present a lower…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-01 Vitor Cerqueira , Luis Torgo , Carlos Soares

Traditional psychological models of belief revision focus on face-to-face interactions, but with the rise of social media, more effective models are needed to capture belief revision at scale, in this rich text-based online discourse. Here,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Gia Bao Hoang , Keith J Ransom , Rachel Stephens , Carolyn Semmler , Nicolas Fay , Lewis Mitchell

Large Language Models (LLMs) demonstrate partial forecasting competence across social, political, and economic events. Yet, their predictive ability varies sharply with domain structure and prompt framing. We investigate how forecasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Chinmay Karkar , Paras Chopra

Artificial intelligence (AI) - and specifically machine learning (ML) - applications for climate prediction across timescales are proliferating quickly. The emergence of these methods prompts a revisit to the impact of data preprocessing, a…

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used in the creation of online content, creating feedback loops as subsequent generations of models will be trained on this synthetic data. Such loops were shown to lead to distribution shifts -…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-29 Grgur Kovač , Jérémy Perez , Rémy Portelas , Peter Ford Dominey , Pierre-Yves Oudeyer

Many internet platforms that collect behavioral big data use it to predict user behavior for internal purposes and for their business customers (e.g., advertisers, insurers, security forces, governments, political consulting firms) who…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-07-26 Galit Shmueli , Ali Tafti

As the conversation around using geoengineering to combat climate change intensifies, it is imperative to engage the public and deeply understand their perspectives on geoengineering research, development, and potential deployment. Through…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Ramit Debnath , Pengyu Zhang , Tianzhu Qin , R. Michael Alvarez , Shaun D. Fitzgerald

In our society and century, clothing is not anymore used only as a means for body protection. Our paper builds upon the evidence, studied within the social sciences, that clothing brings a clear communicative message in terms of social…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-04-10 Maedeh Aghaei , Federico Parezzan , Mariella Dimiccoli , Petia Radeva , Marco Cristani

In this paper we discuss and address the challenges of predicting extreme atmospheric events like intense rainfall, hail, and strong winds. These events can cause significant damage and have become more frequent due to climate change.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-06 Mikhail Mozikov , Ilya Makarov , Alexandr Bulkin , Daria Taniushkina , Roland Grinis , Yury Maximov

We study how motivated reasoning affects the provision of climate policy in an electoral competition framework. Voters experience anticipatory disutility when future outcomes appear grim and may therefore distort beliefs in response to…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-01-14 Philipp Denter

Machine learning is the study of computer algorithms that can automatically improve based on data and experience. Machine learning algorithms build a model from sample data, called training data, to make predictions or judgments without…

Political online participation in the form of discussing political issues and exchanging opinions among citizens is gaining importance with more and more formats being held digitally. To come to a decision, a thorough discussion and…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Maike Behrendt , Stefan Sylvius Wagner , Carina Weinmann , Marike Bormann , Mira Warne , Stefan Harmeling

Machine learning can impact people with legal or ethical consequences when it is used to automate decisions in areas such as insurance, lending, hiring, and predictive policing. In many of these scenarios, previous decisions have been made…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-09 Matt J. Kusner , Joshua R. Loftus , Chris Russell , Ricardo Silva

Misinformation about climate change is a complex societal issue requiring holistic, interdisciplinary solutions at the intersection between technology and psychology. One proposed solution is a "technocognitive" approach, involving the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Francisco Zanartu , John Cook , Markus Wagner , Julian Garcia

While small businesses are increasingly turning to online crowdfunding platforms for essential funding, over 40% of these campaigns may fail to raise any money, especially those from low socio-economic areas. We utilize the latest…

General Economics · Economics 2024-07-16 Teng Ye , Jingnan Zheng , Junhui Jin , Jingyi Qiu , Wei Ai , Qiaozhu Mei

As environments involving both robots and humans become increasingly common, so does the need to account for people during planning. To plan effectively, robots must be able to respond to and sometimes influence what humans do. This…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-03-16 Arjun Sripathy , Andreea Bobu , Daniel S. Brown , Anca D. Dragan

The flourishing of fake news is favored by recommendation algorithms of online social networks which, based on previous users activity, provide content adapted to their preferences and so create filter bubbles. We introduce an analytically…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-10-28 Giordano De Marzo , Andrea Zaccaria , Claudio Castellano