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Several recent works have proposed instance-dependent upper bounds on the number of episodes needed to identify, with probability $1-\delta$, an $\varepsilon$-optimal policy in finite-horizon tabular Markov Decision Processes (MDPs). These…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-13 Aymen Al-Marjani , Andrea Tirinzoni , Emilie Kaufmann

Kernel-based multivariate statistical process control (K-MSPC) extends classical monitoring to nonlinear industrial processes. Its performance depends critically on kernel parameters such as lengthscales and variance terms. In current…

In the optimization of dynamic systems, the variables typically have constraints. Such problems can be modeled as a Constrained Markov Decision Process (CMDP). This paper considers the peak Constrained Markov Decision Process (PCMDP), where…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-15 Qinbo Bai , Vaneet Aggarwal , Ather Gattami

We study prior-independent pricing for selling a single item to a single buyer when the seller observes only a single sample from the valuation distribution, while the buyer knows the distribution. Classical robust pricing approaches either…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Zhihao Gavin Tang , Yixin Tao , Shixin Wang

In this paper, we consider a class of stochastic optimal control problems with risk constraints that are expressed as bounded probabilities of failure for particular initial states. We present here a martingale approach that diffuses a risk…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-07-09 Vu Anh Huynh , Leonid Kogan , Emilio Frazzoli

We revisit Wald's celebrated Sequential Probability Ratio Test for sequential tests of two simple hypotheses, under privacy constraints. We propose DP-SPRT, a wrapper that can be calibrated to achieve desired error probabilities and privacy…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-05 Thomas Michel , Debabrota Basu , Emilie Kaufmann

Let a measurement consist of a linear combination of damped complex exponential modes, plus noise. The problem is to estimate the parameters of these modes, as in line spectrum estimation, vibration analysis, speech processing, system…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-05-04 Pooria Pakrooh , Louis L. Scharf , Ali Pezeshki

In this paper we propose a new approach for sequential monitoring of a parameter of a $d$-dimensional time series, which can be estimated by approximately linear functionals of the empirical distribution function. We consider a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-26 Holger Dette , Josua Gösmann

Dose selection is critical in pharmaceutical drug development, as it directly impacts therapeutic efficacy and patient safety of a drug. The Generalized Multiple Comparison Procedures and Modeling (MCP-Mod) approach is commonly used in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-23 Lukas Pin , Oleksandr Sverdlov , Frank Bretz , Björn Bornkamp

We introduce scalable algorithms for online learning of neural network parameters and Bayesian sequential decision making. Unlike classical Bayesian neural networks, which induce predictive uncertainty through a posterior over model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-10 Gerardo Duran-Martin , Leandro Sánchez-Betancourt , Álvaro Cartea , Kevin Murphy

Robust Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) are a powerful framework for modeling sequential decision-making problems with model uncertainty. This paper proposes the first first-order framework for solving robust MDPs. Our algorithm interleaves…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-18 Julien Grand-Clément , Christian Kroer

Probabilistic variants of Model Order Reduction (MOR) methods have recently emerged for improving stability and computational performance of classical approaches. In this paper, we propose a probabilistic Reduced Basis Method (RBM) for the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-12-06 Marie Billaud-Friess , Arthur Macherey , Anthony Nouy , Clémentine Prieur

This short study presents an opportunistic approach to a (more) reliable validation method for prediction uncertainty average calibration. Considering that variance-based calibration metrics (ZMS, NLL, RCE...) are quite sensitive to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-27 Pascal Pernot

The $p$-tensor Ising model is a one-parameter discrete exponential family for modeling dependent binary data, where the sufficient statistic is a multi-linear form of degree $p \geq 2$. This is a natural generalization of the matrix Ising…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-01 Somabha Mukherjee , Jaesung Son , Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya

Previous work on user-level differential privacy (DP) [Ghazi et al. NeurIPS 2021, Bun et al. STOC 2023] obtained generic algorithms that work for various learning tasks. However, their focus was on the example-rich regime, where the users…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-09-25 Badih Ghazi , Pritish Kamath , Ravi Kumar , Pasin Manurangsi , Raghu Meka , Chiyuan Zhang

Probabilistic model checking can provide formal guarantees on the behavior of stochastic models relating to a wide range of quantitative properties, such as runtime, energy consumption or cost. But decision making is typically with respect…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Ingy Elsayed-Aly , David Parker , Lu Feng

In this paper, we propose a practically efficient model for securely computing rank-based statistics, e.g., median, percentiles and quartiles, over distributed datasets in the malicious setting without leaking individual data privacy. Based…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-02-17 Nan Wang , Sid Chi-Kin Chau

Randomized coordinate descent (RCD) methods are state-of-the-art algorithms for training linear predictors via minimizing regularized empirical risk. When the number of examples ($n$) is much larger than the number of features ($d$), a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-05-31 Dominik Csiba , Peter Richtárik

Stochastic policies (also known as relaxed controls) are widely used in continuous-time reinforcement learning algorithms. However, executing a stochastic policy and evaluating its performance in a continuous-time environment remain open…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-03 Yanwei Jia , Du Ouyang , Yufei Zhang

Statistical performance bounds for reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms can be critical for high-stakes applications like healthcare. This paper introduces a new framework for theoretically measuring the performance of such algorithms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-03 Christoph Dann , Tor Lattimore , Emma Brunskill