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The abundance of observed data in recent years has increased the number of statistical augmentations to complex models across science and engineering. By augmentation we mean coherent statistical methods that incorporate measurements upon…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-07-12 Connor Duffin , Paul Branson , Matt Rayson , Mark Girolami , Edward Cripps , Thomas Stemler

The increased availability of observation data from engineering systems in operation poses the question of how to incorporate this data into finite element models. To this end, we propose a novel statistical construction of the finite…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-25 Mark Girolami , Eky Febrianto , Ge Yin , Fehmi Cirak

We present an approach for synthesising observational data with elastodynamic finite element models by extending the statistical finite element method (statFEM) framework. The proposed formulation adopts a Bayesian filtering approach to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-15 Igor Kavrakov , Yaswanth Sai Jetti , Ahmet Oguzhan Yuksel , Fehmi Cirak

A well-established approach for inferring full displacement and stress fields from possibly sparse data is to calibrate the parameter of a given constitutive model using a Bayesian update. After calibration, a (stochastic) forward…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-08-09 Vahab B. Narouie , Henning Wessels , Ulrich Römer

When using the finite element method (FEM) in inverse problems, its discretization error can produce parameter estimates that are inaccurate and overconfident. The Bayesian finite element method (BFEM) provides a probabilistic model for the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Anne Poot , Iuri Rocha , Pierre Kerfriden , Frans van der Meer

The efficient representation of random fields on geometrically complex domains is crucial for Bayesian modelling in engineering and machine learning. Today's prevalent random field representations are either intended for unbounded domains…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Kim Jie Koh , Fehmi Cirak

Predictive modeling involving simulation and sensor data at the same time, is a growing challenge in computational science. Even with large-scale finite element models, a mismatch to the sensor data often remains, which can be attributed to…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Lucas Hermann , Matthias Bollhöfer , Ulrich Römer

The Statistical Finite Element Method (statFEM) offers a Bayesian framework for integrating computational models with observational data, thus providing improved predictions for structural health monitoring and digital twinning. This paper…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-03-26 Vahab Narouie , Henning Wessels , Fehmi Cirak , Ulrich Römer

Data-fusion involves the integration of multiple related datasets. The statistical file-matching problem is a canonical data-fusion problem in multivariate analysis, where the objective is to characterise the joint distribution of a set of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-08 Daniel Ahfock , Saumyadipta Pyne , Geoffrey J. McLachlan

Factor Analysis (FA) is a technique of fundamental importance that is widely used in classical and modern multivariate statistics, psychometrics and econometrics. In this paper, we revisit the classical rank-constrained FA problem, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-25 Dimitris Bertsimas , Martin S. Copenhaver , Rahul Mazumder

The recently proposed statistical finite element (statFEM) approach synthesises measurement data with finite element models and allows for making predictions about the unknown true system response. We provide a probabilistic error analysis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-17 Toni Karvonen , Fehmi Cirak , Mark Girolami

The statistical finite element method (StatFEM) is an emerging probabilistic method that allows observations of a physical system to be synthesised with the numerical solution of a PDE intended to describe it in a coherent statistical…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-02-21 Yanni Papandreou , Jon Cockayne , Mark Girolami , Andrew B. Duncan

In this paper, we introduce and analyze a new low-rank multilevel strategy for the solution of random diffusion problems. Using a standard stochastic collocation scheme, we first approximate the infinite dimensional random problem by a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-06-20 Jonas Ballani , Daniel Kressner , Michael Peters

This paper proposes a novel low-rank approximation to the multivariate State-Space Model. The Stochastic Partial Differential Equation (SPDE) approach is applied component-wise to the independent-in-time Mat\'ern Gaussian innovation term in…

The recent statistical finite element method (statFEM) provides a coherent statistical framework to synthesise finite element models with observed data. Through embedding uncertainty inside of the governing equations, finite element…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-30 Ömer Deniz Akyildiz , Connor Duffin , Sotirios Sabanis , Mark Girolami

This paper presents a new stochastic finite element method for computing structural stochastic responses. The method provides a new expansion of stochastic response and decouples the stochastic response into a combination of a series of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-04-28 Zhibao Zheng

Multiple scale homogenization problems are reduced to single scale problems in higher dimension. It is shown that sparse tensor product Finite Element Methods (FEM) allow the numerical solution in complexity independent of the dimension and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-20 Christoph Schwab

We propose a stochastic multiscale finite element method (StoMsFEM) to solve random elliptic partial differential equations with a high stochastic dimension. The key idea is to simultaneously upscale the stochastic solutions in the physical…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-12-07 Thomas Y. Hou , Qin Li , Pengchuan Zhang

We consider a randomised implementation of the finite element method (FEM) for elliptic partial differential equations on high-dimensional models. This is motivated by applications where model predictions are essential for real-time process…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-07-30 Yue Wu , Dimitris Kamilis , Nick Polydorides

Well-established methods for the solution of stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) typically struggle in problems with high-dimensional inputs/outputs. Such difficulties are only amplified in large-scale applications where even…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-10 Constantin Grigo , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis
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