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Piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs) can be used to model complex dynamical industrial systems. The counterpart of this modeling capability is their simulation cost, which makes reliability assessment untractable with standard…

Computation · Statistics 2023-06-08 Guillaume Chennetier , Hassane Chraibi , Anne Dutfoy , Josselin Garnier

Various simulation-based and analytical methods have been developed to evaluate the seismic fragilities of individual structures. However, a community's seismic safety and resilience are substantially affected by network reliability,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-22 Dongkyu Lee , Ziqi Wang , Junho Song

One of the key elements of probabilistic seismic risk assessment studies is the fragility curve, which represents the conditional probability of failure of a mechanical structure for a given scalar measure derived from seismic ground…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-17 Antoine Van Biesbroeck , Clement Gauchy , Cyril Feau , Josselin Garnier

In image denoising problems, the increasing density of available images makes an exhaustive visual inspection impossible and therefore automated methods based on machine-learning must be deployed for this purpose. This is particulary the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-21 Mathieu Chambefort , Raphaël Butez , Emilie Chautru , Stephan Clémençon

In this work, we propose to leverage the advantages of both the Artificial Neural Network (ANN) based Second Order Reliability Method (SORM) and Importance sampling to yield an Adaptive Importance Sampling based ANN, with specific…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-09-25 Tittu Varghese Mathew , P Prajith , RO Ruiz , E Atroshchenko , S Natarajan

Adaptive importance sampling is a class of techniques for finding good proposal distributions for importance sampling. Often the proposal distributions are standard probability distributions whose parameters are adapted based on the…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-10 Topi Paananen , Juho Piironen , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Aki Vehtari

System reliability analysis aims at computing the probability of failure of an engineering system given a set of uncertain inputs and limit state functions. Active-learning solution schemes have been shown to be a viable tool but as of yet…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-10 Maliki Moustapha , Pietro Parisi , Stefano Marelli , Bruno Sudret

The pairwise objective paradigms are an important and essential aspect of machine learning. Examples of machine learning approaches that use pairwise objective functions include differential network in face recognition, metric learning,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-04 Hilal AlQuabeh , Aliakbar Abdurahimov

In solving simulation-based stochastic root-finding or optimization problems that involve rare events, such as in extreme quantile estimation, running crude Monte Carlo can be prohibitively inefficient. To address this issue, importance…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-23 Shengyi He , Guangxin Jiang , Henry Lam , Michael C. Fu

Seismic vulnerability analysis of existing buildings requires basic information on their structural behaviour. The ambient vibrations of buildings and the modal parameters (frequencies, damping ration and modal shapes) that can be extracted…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-07-13 Clotaire Michel , Philippe Guéguen

A framework is introduced for actively and adaptively solving a sequence of machine learning problems, which are changing in bounded manner from one time step to the next. An algorithm is developed that actively queries the labels of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-31 Yuheng Bu , Jiaxun Lu , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

Existing variance reduction techniques used in stochastic simulations for rare event analysis still require a substantial number of model evaluations to estimate small failure probabilities. In the context of complex, nonlinear finite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-04 Liuyun Xu , Seymour M. J. Spence

Various strategies for active learning have been proposed in the machine learning literature. In uncertainty sampling, which is among the most popular approaches, the active learner sequentially queries the label of those instances for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-04 Vu-Linh Nguyen , Sébastien Destercke , Eyke Hüllermeier

The reliability of a complex industrial system can rarely be assessed analytically. As system failure is often a rare event, crude Monte-Carlo methods are prohibitively expensive from a computational point of view. In order to reduce…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-03 H. Chraibi , A. Dutfoy , T. Galtier , J. Garnier

We present a practical and statistically consistent scheme for actively learning binary classifiers under general loss functions. Our algorithm uses importance weighting to correct sampling bias, and by controlling the variance, we are able…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-05-20 Alina Beygelzimer , Sanjoy Dasgupta , John Langford

Estimating rare events in complex systems is a key challenge in reliability analysis. The challenge grows in multimodal problems, where traditional methods often rely on a small set of design points and risk overlooking critical failure…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-04 Sara Helal , Victor Elvira

This paper studies graph-based active learning, where the goal is to reconstruct a binary signal defined on the nodes of a weighted graph, by sampling it on a small subset of the nodes. A new sampling algorithm is proposed, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-19 Eyal En Gad , Akshay Gadde , A. Salman Avestimehr , Antonio Ortega

This paper explores the application of active learning strategies to adaptively learn Sobol indices for global sensitivity analysis. We demonstrate that active learning for Sobol indices poses unique challenges due to the definition of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Mohit Chauhan , Mariel Ojeda-Tuz , Ryan Catarelli , Kurtis Gurley , Dimitrios Tsapetis , Michael D. Shields

We introduce a theoretical and practical framework for efficient importance sampling of mini-batch samples for gradient estimation from single and multiple probability distributions. To handle noisy gradients, our framework dynamically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-29 Corentin Salaün , Xingchang Huang , Iliyan Georgiev , Niloy J. Mitra , Gurprit Singh

Parametric statistical methods play a central role in analyzing risk through its underlying frequency and severity components. Given the wide availability of numerical algorithms and high-speed computers, researchers and practitioners often…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-17 Michael R. Powers , Jiaxin Xu