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We combine high-dimensional factor models with fractional integration methods and derive models where nonstationary, potentially cointegrated data of different persistence is modelled as a function of common fractionally integrated factors.…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-12 Tobias Hartl

In order to enhance the performance of Transformer models for long-term multivariate forecasting while minimizing computational demands, this paper introduces the Joint Time-Frequency Domain Transformer (JTFT). JTFT combines time and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Yushu Chen , Shengzhuo Liu , Jinzhe Yang , Hao Jing , Wenlai Zhao , Guangwen Yang

Integrative analysis of multivariate functional time series (MFTS) is both critical and challenging across many scientific domains. Such data often exhibit complex multi-way dependencies arising from within-curve structures, temporal…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-25 Zerui Guo , Jianbin Tan , Hui Huang

This paper introduces the Deep Functional Factor Model (DF2M), a Bayesian nonparametric model designed for analysis of high-dimensional functional time series. DF2M is built upon the Indian Buffet Process and the multi-task Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-21 Yirui Liu , Xinghao Qiao , Yulong Pei , Liying Wang

Very large time series are increasingly available from an ever wider range of IoT-enabled sensors deployed in different environments. Significant insights can be gained by mining temporal patterns from these time series. Unlike traditional…

Databases · Computer Science 2021-11-18 Van Long Ho , Nguyen Ho , Torben Bach Pedersen

Multivariate time series forecasting is crucial across various industries, where accurate extraction of complex periodic and trend components can significantly enhance prediction performance. However, existing models often struggle to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-08 Yulong Wang , Yushuo Liu , Xiaoyi Duan , Kai Wang

Subsystem Density-Functional Theory (DFT) is an emerging technique for calculating the electronic structure of complex molecular and condensed phase systems. In this topical review, we focus on some recent advances in this field related to…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2015-06-24 Alisa Krishtal , Debalina Sinha , Alessandro Genova , Michele Pavanello

The recently developed hypercomplex Kohn-Sham (HCKS) theory shows great potential to overcome the static/strong correlation issue in density functional theory (DFT), which highlights the necessity of further exploration of the HCKS theory…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2022-03-16 Neil Qiang Su

Existing mortality forecasting methods focus on age-specific mortality rates, which lie in an unconstrained space and overlook the distributional nature of life-table death counts. Few studies have developed and compared forecasting methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-23 Han Lin Shang , Cristian F. Jiménez-Varón

This paper introduces a novel spatiotemporal feature representation model designed to address the limitations of traditional methods in multidimensional time series (MTS) analysis. The proposed approach converts MTS into one-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Xu Yan , Yaoting Jiang , Wenyi Liu , Didi Yi , Jianjun Wei

Human mortality data sets can be expressed as multiway data arrays, the dimensions of which correspond to categories by which mortality rates are reported, such as age, sex, country and year. Regression models for such data typically assume…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-15 Bailey K. Fosdick , Peter D. Hoff

The proliferation of mobile devices has led to the collection of large amounts of population data. This situation has prompted the need to utilize this rich, multidimensional data in practical applications. In response to this trend, we…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-18 Tomoya Wakayama , Shonosuke Sugasawa

In this paper we develop statistical inference tools for high dimensional functional time series. We introduce a new concept of physical dependent processes in the space of square integrable functions, which adopts the idea of basis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-16 Zhou Zhou , Holger Dette

In this paper a sublinear time algorithm is presented for the reconstruction of functions that can be represented by just few out of a potentially large candidate set of Fourier basis functions in high spatial dimensions, a so-called…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-06-24 Lutz Kämmerer , Felix Krahmer , Toni Volkmer

We propose a novel approach to the problem of clustering hierarchically aggregated time-series data, which has remained an understudied problem though it has several commercial applications. We first group time series at each aggregated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-30 Xing Han , Tongzheng Ren , Jing Hu , Joydeep Ghosh , Nhat Ho

We introduce a generalization of Higuchi's estimator of the fractal dimension as a new way to characterize the multifractal spectrum of univariate time series. The resulting multifractal Higuchi dimension analysis (MF-HDA) method considers…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-05-25 Carlos Carrizales-Velazquez , Reik V. Donner , Lev Guzmán-Vargas

World modelling is essential for understanding and predicting the dynamics of complex systems by learning both spatial and temporal dependencies. However, current frameworks, such as Transformers and selective state-space models like…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-03-03 Li Nanbo , Firas Laakom , Yucheng Xu , Wenyi Wang , Jürgen Schmidhuber

Electricity load forecasting enables the grid operators to optimally implement the smart grid's most essential features such as demand response and energy efficiency. Electricity demand profiles can vary drastically from one region to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-15 Abdul Wahab , Muhammad Anas Tahir , Naveed Iqbal , Faisal Shafait , Syed Muhammad Raza Kazmi

High-dimensional matrix-variate time series data are becoming widely available in many scientific fields, such as economics, biology, and meteorology. To achieve significant dimension reduction while preserving the intrinsic matrix…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-20 Elynn Y. Chen , Ruey S. Tsay , Rong Chen

Multivariate time series (MTS) prediction is ubiquitous in real-world fields, but MTS data often contains missing values. In recent years, there has been an increasing interest in using end-to-end models to handle MTS with missing values.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-11 Zhao-Yu Zhang , Shao-Qun Zhang , Yuan Jiang , Zhi-Hua Zhou