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Predictive models make mistakes. Hence, there is a need to quantify the uncertainty associated with their predictions. Conformal inference has emerged as a powerful tool to create statistically valid prediction regions around point…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-14 Luben M. C. Cabezas , Mateus P. Otto , Rafael Izbicki , Rafael B. Stern

Automated feature engineering (AFE) enables AI systems to autonomously construct high-utility representations from raw tabular data. However, existing AFE methods rely on statistical heuristics, yielding brittle features that fail under…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-19 Arun Vignesh Malarkkan , Wangyang Ying , Yanjie Fu

Survival data with time-varying covariates are common in practice. If relevant, they can improve on the estimation of survival function. However, the traditional survival forests - conditional inference forest, relative risk forest and…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-06 Weichi Yao , Halina Frydman , Denis Larocque , Jeffrey S. Simonoff

Random forests (RFs) are among the most popular supervised learning algorithms due to their nonlinear flexibility and ease-of-use. However, as black box models, they can only be interpreted via algorithmically-defined feature importance…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-26 Abhineet Agarwal , Ana M. Kenney , Yan Shuo Tan , Tiffany M. Tang , Bin Yu

Fitting spatio-temporal models for areal data is crucial in many fields such as cancer epidemiology. However, when data sets are very large, many issues arise. The main objective of this paper is to propose a general procedure to analyze…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-06 E. Orozco-Acosta , A. Adin , M. D. Ugarte

Optimization-based state estimation is useful for nonlinear or constrained dynamic systems for which few general methods with established properties are available. The two fundamental forms are moving horizon estimation (MHE) which uses the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-09-27 Wuhua Hu

Resting-state functional MRI (rs-fMRI) is increasingly employed in multi-site research to aid neurological disorder analysis. Existing studies usually suffer from significant cross-site/domain data heterogeneity caused by site effects such…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-25 Yuqi Fang , Jinjian Wu , Qianqian Wang , Shijun Qiu , Andrea Bozoki , Huaicheng Yan , Mingxia Liu

Random forest regression is a powerful non-parametric method that adapts to local data characteristics through data-driven partitioning, making it effective across diverse application domains. However, the piecewise constant nature of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Ziyi Liu , Phuc Luong , Mario Boley , Daniel F. Schmidt

Stochastic variational inference and its derivatives in the form of variational autoencoders enjoy the ability to perform Bayesian inference on large datasets in an efficient manner. However, performing inference with a VAE requires a…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2023-08-17 Ahmad Ayaz Amin

We present and analyze a model aiming at recovering as dynamical outcomes of tree-grass interactions the wide range of vegetation physiognomies observable in the savanna biome along rainfall gradients at regional/continental scales. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-13 Ivric Valaire Yatat Djeumen , Yves Dumont , Anna Doizy , P. Couteron

Tree-based ensemble methods, as Random Forests and Gradient Boosted Trees, have been successfully used for regression in many applications and research studies. Furthermore, these methods have been extended in order to deal with uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-20 Myriam Tami , Marianne Clausel , Emilie Devijver , Adrien Dulac , Eric Gaussier , Stefan Janaqi , Meriam Chebre

Many fine-grained classification tasks, like rare animal identification, have limited training data and consequently classifiers trained on these datasets often fail to generalize to variations in the domain like changes in weather or…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Lisa Dunlap , Alyssa Umino , Han Zhang , Jiezhi Yang , Joseph E. Gonzalez , Trevor Darrell

We propose a new class of physics-informed neural networks, called physics-informed Variational Autoencoder (PI-VAE), to solve stochastic differential equations (SDEs) or inverse problems involving SDEs. In these problems the governing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-09 Weiheng Zhong , Hadi Meidani

Personalized cardiac mechanics modeling is a powerful tool for understanding the biomechanics of cardiac function in health and disease and assisting in treatment planning. However, current models are limited to using medical images…

Medical Physics · Physics 2024-04-09 Lei Shi , Ian Chen , Hiroo Takayama , Vijay Vedula

Monitoring and understanding forest dynamics is essential for environmental conservation and management. This is why the Swiss National Forest Inventory (NFI) provides countrywide vegetation height maps at a spatial resolution of 0.5 m. Its…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Yuchang Jiang , Marius Rüetschi , Vivien Sainte Fare Garnot , Mauro Marty , Konrad Schindler , Christian Ginzler , Jan D. Wegner

In the framework of scalar-on-function regression models, in which several functional variables are employed to predict a scalar response, we propose a methodology for selecting relevant functional predictors while simultaneously providing…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-19 Hedayat Fathi , Marzia A. Cremona , Federico Severino

Technological developments and open data policies have made large, global environmental datasets accessible to everyone. For analysing such datasets, including spatiotemporal correlations using traditional models based on Gaussian processes…

Computation · Statistics 2020-07-01 Marius Appel , Edzer Pebesma

Unsupervised domain adaptation (UDA) involves a supervised loss in a labeled source domain and an unsupervised loss in an unlabeled target domain, which often faces more severe overfitting (than classical supervised learning) as the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-08-17 Jiaxing Huang , Dayan Guan , Aoran Xiao , Shijian Lu

The R package DynForest implements random forests for predicting a continuous, a categorical or a (multiple causes) time-to-event outcome based on time-fixed and time-dependent predictors. The main originality of DynForest is that it…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-12 Anthony Devaux , Cécile Proust-Lima , Robin Genuer

Random forests are a learning algorithm proposed by Breiman [Mach. Learn. 45 (2001) 5--32] that combines several randomized decision trees and aggregates their predictions by averaging. Despite its wide usage and outstanding practical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-11 Erwan Scornet , Gérard Biau , Jean-Philippe Vert