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Data assimilation involves estimating the state of a system by combining observations from various sources with a background estimate of the state. The weights given to the observations and background state depend on their specified error…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-13 Olivier Goux , Anthony Weaver , Selime Gürol , Oliver Guillet , Andrea Piacentini

Producing high-quality forecasts of key climate variables, such as temperature and precipitation, on subseasonal time scales has long been a gap in operational forecasting. This study explores an application of machine learning (ML) models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Elena Orlova , Haokun Liu , Raphael Rossellini , Benjamin A. Cash , Rebecca Willett

Attenuation bias -- the systematic underestimation of regression coefficients due to measurement errors in input variables -- affects astronomical data-driven models. For linear regression, this problem was solved by treating the true input…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2026-03-30 Yuan-Sen Ting

In recent years, machine learning (ML) has been proposed to devise data-driven parametrisations of unresolved processes in dynamical numerical models. In most cases, the ML training leverages high-resolution simulations to provide a dense,…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-12-09 Julien Brajard , Alberto Carrassi , Marc Bocquet , Laurent Bertino

This study integrates a data-driven model for estimating the unfrozen water content into the thermo-hydraulic coupling simulation of frozen soils. An artificial neural network (ANN) was employed to develop this data-driven model using a…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2025-08-05 Mingpeng Liu , Peizhi Zhuang , Raul Fuentes

Low-order thermoacoustic models are qualitatively correct, but they are typically quantitatively inaccurate. We propose a time-domain bias-aware method to make qualitatively low--order models quantitatively (more) accurate. First, we…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-11-10 Andrea Nóvoa , Luca Magri

Data assimilation refers to the problem of finding trajectories of a prescribed dynamical model in such a way that the output of the model (usually some function of the model states) follows a given time series of observations. Typically…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-05-30 Jochen Bröcker , Ivan G. Szendro

Machine learning is now used in many areas of astrophysics, from detecting exoplanets in Kepler transit signals to removing telescope systematics. Recent work demonstrated the potential of using machine learning algorithms for atmospheric…

Advancements in numerical weather prediction models have accelerated, fostering a more comprehensive understanding of physical phenomena pertaining to the dynamics of weather and related computing resources. Despite these advancements,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-11-04 Alqamah Sayeed , Yunsoo Choi , Jia Jung , Yannic Lops , Ebrahim Eslami , Ahmed Khan Salman

Due to computational constraints, climate simulations cannot resolve a range of small-scale physical processes, which have a significant impact on the large-scale evolution of the climate system. Parameterization is an approach to capture…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-11-12 Cem Gultekin , Adam Subel , Cheng Zhang , Matan Leibovich , Pavel Perezhogin , Alistair Adcroft , Carlos Fernandez-Granda , Laure Zanna

Climate change results in altered air and water temperatures. Increases affect physicochemical properties, such as oxygen concentration, and can shift species distribution and survival, with consequences for ecosystem functioning and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-11 Stefanie Mohr , Konstantina Drainas , Juergen Geist

With the increasing penetration of high-frequency sensors across a number of biological and physical systems, the abundance of the resulting observations offers opportunities for higher statistical accuracy of down-stream estimates, but…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-06 Shushu Zhang , Vivak Patel

In this paper, we study the problem of parameter estimation in a sensor network, where the measurements and updates of some sensors might be arbitrarily manipulated by adversaries. Despite the presence of such misbehaviors, normally…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-06-06 Jiaqi Yan , Kuo Li , Hideaki Ishii

Ensemble Kalman methods were initially developed to solve nonlinear data assimilation problems in oceanography, but are now popular in applications far beyond their original use cases. Of particular interest is climate model calibration. As…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-11-21 Rebecca Gjini , Matthias Morzfeld , Oliver R. A. Dunbar , Tapio Schneider

In situ and remotely sensed observations have potential to facilitate data-driven predictive models for oceanography. A suite of machine learning models, including regression, decision tree and deep learning approaches were developed to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-06-24 Stefan Wolff , Fearghal O'Donncha , Bei Chen

The prediction of tropical rain rates from atmospheric profiles poses significant challenges, mainly due to the heavy-tailed distribution exhibited by tropical rainfall. This study introduces over-parameterized neural networks not only to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-22 Hojun You , Jiayi Wang , Raymond K. W. Wong , Courtney Schumacher , R. Saravanan , Mikyoung Jun

It is important to calculate and analyze temperature and humidity prediction accuracies among quantitative meteorological forecasting. This study manipulates the extant neural network methods to foster the predictive accuracy. To achieve…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-01-26 Ki Hong Shin , Jae Won Jung , Sung Kyu Seo , Cheol Hwan You , Dong In Lee , Jisun Lee , Ki Ho Chang , Woon Seon Jung , Kyungsik Kim

Satellite-derived data products and climate model simulations of geophysical variables like precipitation, often exhibit systematic biases compared to in-situ measurements. Bias correction and spatial downscaling are fundamental components…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Sumanta Chandra Mishra Sharma , Adway Mitra , Auroop Ratan Ganguly

Forecasting the weather is an increasingly data intensive exercise. Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models are becoming more complex, with higher resolutions, and there are increasing numbers of different models in operation. While the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-17 Charlie Kirkwood , Theo Economou , Henry Odbert , Nicolas Pugeault

The use of machine learning (ML) models in meteorology has attracted significant attention for their potential to improve weather forecasting efficiency and accuracy. GraphCast and NeuralGCM, two promising ML-based weather models, are at…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-11-25 Xiaoxu Tian , Daniel Holdaway , Daryl Kleist