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The Hidden Markov Model (HMM) is a widely-used statistical model for handling sequential data. However, the presence of missing observations in real-world datasets often complicates the application of the model. The EM algorithm and Gibbs…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-06 Dongrong Li , Tianwei Yu , Xiaodan Fan

Recent crash frequency studies incorporate spatiotemporal correlations, but these studies have two key limitations: i) none of these studies accounts for temporal variation in model parameters; and ii) Gibbs sampler suffers from convergence…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-11 Prasad Buddhavarapu , Prateek Bansal , Jorge A. Prozzi

The sample correlation coefficient $R$ plays an important role in many statistical analyses. We study the moments of $R$ under the bivariate Gaussian model assumption, provide a novel approximation for its finite sample mean and connect it…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-23 Daniel Salnikov

The cumulative shrinkage process is an increasing shrinkage prior that can be employed within models in which additional terms are supposed to play a progressively negligible role. A natural application is to Gaussian factor models, where…

Computation · Statistics 2020-08-13 Sirio Legramanti

We present a modified Gibbs sampler for general state spaces. We establish that this modification can lead to substantial gains in statistical efficiency while maintaining the overall quality of convergence. We illustrate our results in two…

Computation · Statistics 2013-08-28 Alicia A. Johnson , James M. Flegal

Bayesian analysis of data from the general linear mixed model is challenging because any nontrivial prior leads to an intractable posterior density. However, if a conditionally conjugate prior density is adopted, then there is a simple…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-19 Jorge Carlos Román , James P. Hobert

Finite mixture models are frequently used to uncover latent structures in high-dimensional datasets (e.g.\ identifying clusters of patients in electronic health records). The inference of such structures can be performed in a Bayesian…

Component-wise MCMC algorithms, including Gibbs and conditional Metropolis-Hastings samplers, are commonly used for sampling from multivariate probability distributions. A long-standing question regarding Gibbs algorithms is whether a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-11 Qian Qin , Galin L. Jones

This article studies the convergence rate of the sample mean for $\varphi$-mixing dependent random variables with finite means and infinite variances. Dividing the sample mean into sum of the average of the main parts and the average of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-20 F. Q. Tang , D. Han

Standard Gibbs sampling applied to a multivariate normal distribution with a specified precision matrix is equivalent in fundamental ways to the Gauss-Seidel iterative solution of linear equations in the precision matrix. Specifically, the…

Computation · Statistics 2015-05-14 Colin Fox , Albert Parker

Penalized likelihood and quasi-likelihood methods dominate inference in high-dimensional linear mixed-effects models. Sampling-based Bayesian inference is less explored due to the computational bottlenecks introduced by the random effects…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-24 Sreya Sarkar , Kshitij Khare , Sanvesh Srivastava

Composite likelihood usually ignores dependencies among response components, while variational approximation to likelihood ignores dependencies among parameter components. We derive a Gaussian variational approximation to the composite…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-23 Libai Xu , Nancy Reid , Dehan Kong

Variational Bayesian inference and (collapsed) Gibbs sampling are the two important classes of inference algorithms for Bayesian networks. Both have their advantages and disadvantages: collapsed Gibbs sampling is unbiased but is also…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Max Welling , Yee Whye Teh , Hilbert Kappen

Latent autoregressive processes are a popular choice to model time varying parameters. These models can be formulated as nonlinear state space models for which inference is not straightforward due to the high number of parameters. Therefore…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-01 Alexander Kreuzer , Claudia Czado

The emergence of big data has led to so-called convergence complexity analysis, which is the study of how Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms behave as the sample size, $n$, and/or the number of parameters, $p$, in the underlying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-24 Bryant Davis , James P. Hobert

Bayesian posterior distributions are widely used for inference, but their dependence on a statistical model creates some challenges. In particular, there may be lots of nuisance parameters that require prior distributions and posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-12 Nicholas Syring , Ryan Martin

Response-biased sampling, in which samples are drawn from a popula- tion according to the values of the response variable, is common in biomedical, epidemiological, economic and social studies. In particular, the complete obser- vations in…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-31 Kani Chen , Yuanyuan Lin , Yuan Yao , Chaoxu Zhou

This paper investigates the rate of convergence for the central limit theorem of linear spectral statistic (LSS) associated with large-dimensional sample covariance matrices. We consider matrices of the form ${\mathbf…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-05 Jian Cui , Jiang Hu , Zhidong Bai , Guorong Hu

In this paper, we present the Bayesian inference procedures for the parameters of the multivariate random effects model derived under the assumption of an elliptically contoured distribution when the Berger and Bernardo reference and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-26 Olha Bodnar , Taras Bodnar

This paper establishes sharp dimension-free concentration and expectation bounds for the deviation of a sample cross-covariance matrix from its mean. For sub-Gaussian random vectors, we prove a high-probability operator-norm bound governed…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Jiaheng Chen , Daniel Sanz-Alonso