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We propose a new approach to solve optimal stopping problems via simulation. Working within the backward dynamic programming/Snell envelope framework, we augment the methodology of Longstaff-Schwartz that focuses on approximating the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-09-04 Robert B. Gramacy , Mike Ludkovski

We present numerical simulation of 2D turbulent flow using a new model for the subgrid scales which are computed using a dynamic equation linking the subgrid scales with the resolved velocity. This equation is not postulated, but derived…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-07 J. -P. Laval , B. Dubrulle , S. Nazarenko

The classical fluctuation-dissipation theorem predicts the average response of a dynamical system to an external deterministic perturbation via time-lagged statistical correlation functions of the corresponding unperturbed system. In this…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-02-28 Rafail V. Abramov

Multiscale dynamics are frequently present in real-world processes, such as the atmosphere-ocean and climate science. Because of time scale separation between a small set of slowly evolving variables and much larger set of rapidly changing…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-04-08 Rafail V. Abramov

The theory of slow manifolds is an important tool in the study of deterministic dynamical systems, giving a practical method by which to reduce the number of relevant degrees of freedom in a model, thereby often resulting in a considerable…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-07-01 George W A Constable , Alan J McKane , Tim Rogers

Mathematical models for complex systems are often accompanied with uncertainties. The goal of this paper is to extract a stochastic differential equation governing model with observation on stationary probability distributions. We develop a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-04-05 Xiaoli Chen , Hui Wang , Jinqiao Duan

We present Link Density (LD) computed from the Recurrence Network (RN) of a time series data as an effective measure that can detect dynamical transitions in a system. We illustrate its use using time series from the standard Rossler system…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-05-31 Rinku Jacob , R. Misra , K P Harikrishnan , G Ambika

Stochastic collocation (SC) is a well-known non-intrusive method of constructing surrogate models for uncertainty quantification. In dynamical systems, SC is especially suited for full-field uncertainty propagation that characterizes the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-10-18 Saibal De , Reese E. Jones , Hemanth Kolla

We investigate stochastic averaging theory for locally Lipschitz discrete-time nonlinear systems with stochastic perturbation and its applications to convergence analysis of discrete-time stochastic extremum seeking algorithms. Firstly, by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-02-18 Shu-Jun Liu , Miroslav Krstic

A calculational approach in fluid turbulence is presented. Use is made of the attracting nature of the fluid-dynamic dynamical system. An approach is offered that effectively propagates the statistics in time. Loss of sensitivity to an…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2010-05-18 Edsel A. Ammons

We examine nonlinear dynamical systems of ordinary differential equations or differential algebraic equations. In an uncertainty quantification, physical parameters are replaced by random variables. The inner variables as well as a quantity…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-04-15 Roland Pulch

An approach for the description of stochastic systems is derived. Some of the variables in the system are studied forward in time, others backward in time. The approach is based on a perturbation expansion in the strength of the coupling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-04 Piero Olla

Electron collisions, described by stochastic differential equations (SDEs), were simulated using a second-order weak convergence algorithm. Using stochastic analysis, we constructed an SDE for energetic electrons in Lorentz plasma to…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2018-11-15 Wentao Wu , Jian Liu , Hong Qin

This work is concerned with the finite-horizon optimal covariance steering of networked systems governed by discrete-time stochastic linear dynamics. In contrast with existing work that has only considered systems with dynamically decoupled…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Ahmed Khalil , Yoonjae Lee , Efstathios Bakolas

Estimation of nonlinear dynamic models from data poses many challenges, including model instability and non-convexity of long-term simulation fidelity. Recently Lagrangian relaxation has been proposed as a method to approximate simulation…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-10-12 Jack Umenberger , Ian R. Manchester

Discrete stochastic optimization considers the problem of minimizing (or maximizing) loss functions defined on discrete sets, where only noisy measurements of the loss functions are available. The discrete stochastic optimization problem is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-11-04 Qi Wang

Scientific applications often contain large, computationally-intensive, and irregular parallel loops or tasks that exhibit stochastic characteristics. Applications may suffer from load imbalance during their execution on high-performance…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2019-10-16 Ali Mohammed , Ahmed Eleliemy , Florina M. Ciorba , Franziska Kasielke , Ioana Banicescu

End-to-end learning of dynamical systems with black-box models, such as neural ordinary differential equations (ODEs), provides a flexible framework for learning dynamics from data without prescribing a mathematical model for the dynamics.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-20 Paidamoyo Chapfuwa , Sherri Rose , Lawrence Carin , Edward Meeds , Ricardo Henao

4D-variational data assimilation is applied to the Lorenz '63 model to introduce a new method for parameter estimation in chaotic climate models. The approach aims to optimise an Earth system model (ESM), for which no adjoint exists, by…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-18 Philip David Kennedy , Abhirup Banerjee , Armin Köhl , Detlef Stammer

Ordinary differential equations provide an attractive framework for modeling temporal dynamics in a variety of scientific settings. We show how consistent estimation for parameters in ODE models can be obtained by modifying a direct…

Applications · Statistics 2016-01-20 Sarah E. Holte