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We define two minimum distance estimators for dependent data by minimizing some approximated Maximum Mean Discrepancy distances between the true empirical distribution of observations and their assumed (parametric) model distribution. When…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-19 Pierre Alquier , Jean-David Fermanian , Benjamin Poignard

In this paper, we introduce a new estimator for the emission densities of a nonparametric hidden Markov model. It is adaptive and minimax with respect to each state's regularity--as opposed to globally minimax estimators, which adapt to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-17 Luc Lehéricy

This paper studies a distributed state estimation problem for both continuous- and discrete-time linear systems. A simply structured distributed estimator (comprising interconnected local estimators) is first described for estimating the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-30 Lili Wang , Ji Liu , Brian B. O. Anderson , A. Stephen Morse

This paper details how to parameterize the posterior distribution of state-space systems to generate improved optimization problems for system identification using variational inference. Three different parameterizations of the assumed…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-15 Dimas Abreu Archanjo Dutra

We consider stationary hidden Markov models with finite state space and nonparametric modeling of the emission distributions. It has remained unknown until very recently that such models are identifiable. In this paper, we propose a new…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-29 Yohann De Castro , Élisabeth Gassiat , Claire Lacour

The increasing amount of controllable generation and consumption in distribution grids poses a severe challenge in keeping voltage values within admissible ranges. Existing approaches have considered different optimal power flow…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-07-25 Miguel Picallo , Adolfo Anta , Bart De Schutter

We consider the continuous-time setting of linear time-invariant (LTI) systems in feedback with multiplicative stochastic uncertainties. The objective of the paper is to characterize the conditions of Mean-Square Stability (MSS) using a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-06-26 Maurice Filo , Bassam Bamieh

Optimal state estimation for linear discrete-time systems is considered. Motivated by the literature on differential privacy, the measurements are assumed to be corrupted by Laplace noise. The optimal least mean square error estimate of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-09-02 Farhad Farokhi , Jezdimir Milosevic , Henrik Sandberg

Variance estimation is important for statistical inference. It becomes non-trivial when observations are masked by serial dependence structures and time-varying mean structures. Existing methods either ignore or sub-optimally handle these…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-03 Kin Wai Chan

We present a new finite-time analysis of the estimation error of the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) estimator for stable linear time-invariant systems. We characterize the number of observed samples (the length of the observed trajectory)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-27 Yassir Jedra , Alexandre Proutiere

A linear Gaussian state-space smoothing algorithm is presented for estimation of derivatives from a sequence of noisy measurements. The algorithm uses numerically stable square-root formulas, can handle simultaneous independent measurements…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-17 Robert Piche

In this paper, we consider stochastic realization theory of Linear Switched Systems (LSS) with i.i.d. switching. We characterize minimality of stochastic LSSs and show existence and uniqueness (up to isomorphism) of minimal LSSs in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-05 Elie Rouphael , Manas Mejari , Mihaly Petreczky , Lotfi Belkoura

Reinforcement learning methods for robotics are increasingly successful due to the constant development of better policy gradient techniques. A precise (low variance) and accurate (low bias) gradient estimator is crucial to face…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-21 João Carvalho , Davide Tateo , Fabio Muratore , Jan Peters

We address the problem of estimating steady-state quantities associated to systems of stochastic chemical kinetics. In most cases of interest these systems are analytically intractable, and one has to resort to computational methods to…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-01-21 Andreas Milias-Argeitis , John Lygeros , Mustafa Khammash

The paper suggests a generalization of the Sign-Perturbed Sums (SPS) finite sample system identification method for the identification of closed-loop observable stochastic linear systems in state-space form. The solution builds on the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-11 Szabolcs Szentpéteri , Balázs Csanád Csáji

Stochastic processes are often used to model complex scientific problems in fields ranging from biology and finance to engineering and physical science. This paper investigates rate-optimal estimation of the volatility matrix of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-30 Minjing Tao , Yazhen Wang , Harrison H. Zhou

This article proposes an approach to design output-feedback controllers for unknown continuous-time linear time-invariant systems using only input-output data from a single experiment. To address the lack of state and derivative…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-29 Alessandro Bosso , Marco Borghesi , Andrea Iannelli , Giuseppe Notarstefano , Andrew R. Teel

A powerful result from behavioral systems theory known as the fundamental lemma allows for predictive control akin to Model Predictive Control (MPC) for linear time invariant (LTI) systems with unknown dynamics purely from data. While most…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-28 Sebastian Kerz , Johannes Teutsch , Tim Brüdigam , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

We consider the problem of direct data-driven predictive control for unknown stochastic linear time-invariant (LTI) systems with partial state observation. Building upon our previous research on data-driven stochastic control, this paper…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-12 Ruiqi Li , John W. Simpson-Porco , Stephen L. Smith

In this paper, we present a generalization of the certainty equivalence principle of stochastic control. One interpretation of the classical certainty equivalence principle for linear systems with output feedback and quadratic costs is as…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-04 Berk Bozkurt , Aditya Mahajan , Ashutosh Nayyar , Yi Ouyang