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Existing models to extract temporal relations between events lack a principled method to incorporate external knowledge. In this study, we introduce Bayesian-Trans, a Bayesian learning-based method that models the temporal relation…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-02-13 Xingwei Tan , Gabriele Pergola , Yulan He

For many infectious disease outbreaks, the at-risk population changes their behavior in response to the outbreak severity, causing the transmission dynamics to change in real-time. Behavioral change is often ignored in epidemic modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-25 Caitlin Ward , Rob Deardon , Alexandra M. Schmidt

In this paper we propose a Bayesian nonparametric approach to modelling sparse time-varying networks. A positive parameter is associated to each node of a network, which models the sociability of that node. Sociabilities are assumed to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-18 Cian Naik , Francois Caron , Judith Rousseau , Yee Whye Teh , Konstantina Palla

Recently developed information communication technologies, particularly the Internet, have affected how we, both as individuals and as a society, create, store, and recall information. Internet also provides us with a great opportunity to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-05 Ruth García-Gavilanes , Anders Mollgaard , Milena Tsvetkova , Taha Yasseri

Predicting human interaction is challenging as the on-going activity has to be inferred based on a partially observed video. Essentially, a good algorithm should effectively model the mutual influence between the two interacting subjects.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-05-29 Yichao Yan , Bingbing Ni , Xiaokang Yang

This work examines a social learning problem, where dispersed agents connected through a network topology interact locally to form their opinions (beliefs) as regards certain hypotheses of interest. These opinions evolve over time, since…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-26 Michele Cirillo , Virginia Bordignon , Vincenzo Matta , Ali H. Sayed

Time-varying network topologies can deeply influence dynamical processes mediated by them. Memory effects in the pattern of interactions among individuals are also known to affect how diffusive and spreading phenomena take place. In this…

In this paper we consider a network scenario in which agents can evaluate each other according to a score graph that models some physical or social interaction. The goal is to design a distributed protocol, run by the agents, allowing them…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-06-14 Francesco Sasso , Angelo Coluccia , Giuseppe Notarstefano

Interactions and time shape many aspects of life. Everyday activities -- like conversations, emails, money transfers, citations, and even acts of violence -- are relational events: interactions between a sender and a receiver at a specific…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-09 Martina Boschi , Ernst C. Wit

A Bayesian network is a graphical model that encodes probabilistic relationships among variables of interest. When used in conjunction with statistical techniques, the graphical model has several advantages for data analysis. One, because…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-11 David Heckerman

Tracing a student's knowledge growth given the past exercise answering is a vital objective in automatic tutoring systems to customize the learning experience. Yet, achieving this objective is a non-trivial task as it involves modeling the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-10-04 Seif Gad , Sherif Abdelfattah , Ghodai Abdelrahman

Predicting other people's action is key to successful social interactions, enabling us to adjust our own behavior to the consequence of the others' future actions. Studies on action recognition have focused on the importance of individual…

To analyze the impacts of certain types of public health interventions we need to estimate the treatment effects and outcomes as these apply to heterogeneous open populations. Dynamically modifying populations containing risk groups that…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-14 Aditi Shenvi , Jim Q. Smith

Interpreting the environmental, behavioural and psychological data from in-home sensory observations and measurements can provide valuable insights into the health and well-being of individuals. Presents of neuropsychiatric and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-24 Roonak Rezvani , Samaneh Kouchaki , Ramin Nilforooshan , David J. Sharp , Payam Barnaghi

Memory and forgetting constitute two sides of the same coin, and although the first has been rigorously investigated, the latter is often overlooked. A number of experiments under the realm of psychology and experimental neuroscience have…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2019-07-23 Antonios Georgiou , Mikhail Katkov , Misha Tsodyks

Dynamic social networks can be conceptualized as sequences of dyadic interactions between individuals over time. The relational event model has been the workhorse to analyze such interaction sequences in empirical social network research.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-01-09 Rumana Lakdawala , Roger Leenders , Joris Mulder

In many social complex systems, in which agents are linked by non-linear interactions, the history of events strongly influences the whole network dynamics. However, a class of "commonly accepted beliefs" seems rarely studied. In this…

The problem of estimating event truths from conflicting agent opinions in a social network is investigated. An autoencoder learns the complex relationships between event truths, agent reliabilities and agent observations. A Bayesian network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-26 Jielong Yang , Wee Peng Tay

Modern deep learning approaches have achieved groundbreaking performance in modeling and classifying sequential data. Specifically, attention networks constitute the state-of-the-art paradigm for capturing long temporal dynamics. This paper…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-05-07 Harris Partaourides , Kostantinos Papadamou , Nicolas Kourtellis , Ilias Leontiadis , Sotirios Chatzis

Perceptions of political bias in the media are formed directly, through the independent consumption of the published outputs of a media organization, and indirectly, through observing the collective responses of political allies and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-06-28 Nicholas Kah Yean Low , Andrew Melatos