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Principal variables analysis (PVA) is a technique for selecting a subset of variables that capture as much of the information in a dataset as possible. Existing approaches for PVA are based on the Pearson correlation matrix, which is not…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-29 Dylan Clark-Boucher , Jeffrey W. Miller

Instrumental variables regression is a tool that is commonly used in the analysis of observational data. The instrumental variables are used to make causal inference about the effect of a certain exposure in the presence of unmeasured…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-07 Valentin Vancak , Arvid Sjölander

Longitudinal studies frequently incorporate covariates that evolve over time, creating complex dependence structures between outcomes and predictors. When covariates are time dependent, standard power analysis tools--largely developed for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Niloofar Ramezani , Oliver Hurst

Modelling longitudinal data is an important yet challenging task. These datasets can be high-dimensional, contain non-linear effects and time-varying covariates. Gaussian process (GP) prior-based variational autoencoders (VAEs) have emerged…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-18 Priscilla Ong , Manuel Haußmann , Otto Lönnroth , Harri Lähdesmäki

Statistical models are central to machine learning with broad applicability across a range of downstream tasks. The models are controlled by free parameters that are typically estimated from data by maximum-likelihood estimation or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-16 Vaidotas Simkus , Benjamin Rhodes , Michael U. Gutmann

The present paper deals with the perturbation analysis of set-valued inclusion problems, a problem format whose relevance has recently emerged in such contexts as robust and vector optimization as well as in vector equilibrium theory. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-03 Amos Uderzo

We examine asymptotic properties of the OLS estimator when the values of the regressor of interest are assigned randomly and independently of other regressors. We find that the OLS variance formula in this case is often simplified,…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-03-21 Denis Chetverikov , Jinyong Hahn , Zhipeng Liao , Andres Santos

Automated Short Answer Scoring (ASAS) is a critical component in educational assessment. While traditional ASAS systems relied on rule-based algorithms or complex deep learning methods, recent advancements in Generative Language Models…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-08-08 Zifan Wang , Christopher Ormerod

Understanding cause-specific mortality rates is crucial for monitoring population health and designing public health interventions. Worldwide, two-thirds of deaths do not have a cause assigned. Verbal autopsy (VA) is a well-established tool…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-26 Zehang Richard Li , Zhenke Wu , Irena Chen , Samuel J. Clark

This paper is especially written for students and demonstrates the correct use of nominal and ordinal scaled variables in regression analysis by means of so-called dummy variables. We start out with examples of body mass index (BMI)…

Applications · Statistics 2015-11-24 Manfred te Grotenhuis , Paula Thijs

The recognition network in deep latent variable models such as variational autoencoders (VAEs) relies on amortized inference for efficient posterior approximation that can scale up to large datasets. However, this technique has also been…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-28 Rui Shu , Hung H. Bui , Jay Whang , Stefano Ermon

Instrumental variables analysis using genetic markers as instruments is now a widely used technique in epidemiology and biostatistics. As single markers tend to explain only a small proportion of phenotypic variation, there is increasing…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-09 Paul S. Clarke , Tom M. Palmer , Frank Windmeijer

We propose a multilevel stochastic approximation (MLSA) scheme for the computation of the value-at-risk (VaR) and expected shortfall (ES) of a financial loss, which can only be computed via simulations conditionally on the realisation of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-14 Stéphane Crépey , Noufel Frikha , Azar Louzi

A growing statistical literature focuses on causal inference in the context of experiments where the target of inference is the average treatment effect in a finite population and random assignment determines which subjects are allocated to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-04 Jonas M. Mikhaeil , Donald P. Green

Forming a reliable judgement of a machine learning (ML) model's appropriateness for an application ecosystem is critical for its responsible use, and requires considering a broad range of factors including harms, benefits, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-12 Ben Hutchinson , Negar Rostamzadeh , Christina Greer , Katherine Heller , Vinodkumar Prabhakaran

The reduced-rank vector autoregressive (VAR) model can be interpreted as a supervised factor model, where two factor modelings are simultaneously applied to response and predictor spaces. This article introduces a new model, called vector…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-16 Di Wang , Xiaoyu Zhang , Guodong Li , Ruey Tsay

A major limitation of machine learning (ML) prediction models is that they recover associational, rather than causal, predictive relationships between variables. In high-stakes automation applications of ML this is problematic, as the model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Jianqiao Mao , Max A. Little

Sparsity is a central aspect of interpretability in machine learning. Typically, sparsity is measured in terms of the size of a model globally, such as the number of variables it uses. However, this notion of sparsity is not particularly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Yiyang Sun , Tong Wang , Cynthia Rudin

The variational autoencoder (VAE) is a popular, deep, latent-variable model (DLVM) due to its simple yet effective formulation for modeling the data distribution. Moreover, optimizing the VAE objective function is more manageable than other…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Surojit Saha , Sarang Joshi , Ross Whitaker

Value-at-risk (VaR) and expected shortfall (ES) are two commonly utilized metrics for quantifying financial risk. In this study, we review the widely employed Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) models. These…

Computation · Statistics 2024-05-14 Kanon Kamronnaher , Andrew Bellucco , Whitney K. Huang , Colin M. Gallagher