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This work presents a procedure that can quickly identify and isolate methane emission sources leading to expedient remediation. Minimizing the time required to identify a leak and the subsequent time to dispatch repair crews can…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-04 Kashif Rashid , Lukasz Zielinski , Junyi Yuan , Andrew Speck

Change point detection is a crucial aspect of analyzing time series data, as the presence of a change point indicates an abrupt and significant change in the process generating the data. While many algorithms for the problem of change point…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-23 Mario Krause

Suppose that local characteristics of several independent compound Poisson and Wiener processes change suddenly and simultaneously at some unobservable disorder time. The problem is to detect the disorder time as quickly as possible after…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-04-01 Savas Dayanik , H. Vincent Poor , Semih O. Sezer

Radar must adapt to changing environments, and we propose changepoint detection as a method to do so. In the world of increasingly congested radio frequencies, radars must adapt to avoid interference. Many radar systems employ the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-15 Samuel Haug , Austin Egbert , Robert J. Marks , Charles Baylis , Anthony Martone

Identifying changes in the generative process of sequential data, known as changepoint detection, has become an increasingly important topic for a wide variety of fields. A recently developed approach, which we call EXact Online Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-16 Michael Byrd , Linh Nghiem , Jing Cao

A new method is proposed for estimating the rate of fugitive emissions of particulate matter from multiple time-dependent sources via measurements of deposition and concentration. We cast this source inversion problem within the Bayesian…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-01 Bamdad Hosseini , John M. Stockie

This work delves into presenting a probabilistic method for analyzing linear process data with weakly dependent innovations, focusing on detecting change-points in the mean and estimating its spectral density. We develop a test for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Ramkrishna Jyoti Samanta

A common approach to detect multiple changepoints is to minimise a measure of data fit plus a penalty that is linear in the number of changepoints. This paper shows that the general finite sample behaviour of such a method can be related to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-15 Chao Zheng , Idris A. Eckley , Paul Fearnhead

Forecasting natural gas consumption, considering seasonality and trends, is crucial in planning its supply and consumption and optimizing the cost of obtaining it, mainly by industrial entities. However, in times of threats to its supply,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Radek Svoboda , Sebastian Basterrech , Jedrzej Kozal , Jan Platos , Michal Wozniak

Changepoint detection is commonly formulated by minimizing the sum of in-sample losses to quantify the model's overall fit. However, for flexible modeling procedures -- especially those involving high-dimensional parameter spaces or…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Chengde Qian , Guanghui Wang , Zhaojun Wang , Changliang Zou

A simultaneous change-point detection and estimation in a piece-wise constant model is a common task in modern statistics. If, in addition, the whole estimation can be performed automatically, in just one single step without going through…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-16 Gabriela Ciuperca , Matúš Maciak

With the rapid industrialization and technological advancements, innovative engineering technologies which are cost effective, faster and easier to implement are essential. One such area of concern is the rising number of accidents…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-14 Parag Narkhede , Rahee Walambe , Shruti Mandaokar , Pulkit Chandel , Ketan Kotecha , George Ghinea

Estimating parameters of mixture model has wide applications ranging from classification problems to estimating of complex distributions. Most of the current literature on estimating the parameters of the mixture densities are based on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-23 Yuantong Li , Qi Ma , Sujit K. Ghosh

Bayesian change-point detection, together with latent variable models, allows to perform segmentation over high-dimensional time-series. We assume that change-points lie on a lower-dimensional manifold where we aim to infer subsets of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-04 Lorena Romero-Medrano , Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez

A method for change point detection is proposed. We consider a univariate sequence of independent random variables with piecewise constant expectation and variance, apart from which the distribution may vary periodically. We aim to detect…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-23 Michael Messer

Change point detection becomes more and more important as datasets increase in size, where unsupervised detection algorithms can help users process data. To detect change points, a number of unsupervised algorithms have been developed which…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-18 Rebecca Gedda , Larisa Beilina , Ruomu Tan

The problem of locating an odor source in turbulent flows is central to key applications such as environmental monitoring and disaster response. We address this challenge by designing an algorithm based on Bayesian inference, which uses…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-04-11 Lorenzo Piro , Robin A. Heinonen , Massimo Cencini , Luca Biferale

In this paper, we present a change point detection method for detecting change points in multivariate nonstationary wind speed time series. The change point method identifies changes in the covariance structure and decomposes the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-25 Sakitha Ariyarathne , Harsha Gangammanavar , Raanju R. Sundararajan

Gas leakage is a serious hazard in a variety of sectors, including industrial, domestic, and gas-powered vehicles. The installation of gas leak detection systems has emerged as a critical preventative measure to solve this problem.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-06 Ayush Singh , Harikrishnan Pisharody Gopalkrishnan , Mahesh Raveendranatha Panicker

This paper proposes an online, provably robust, and scalable Bayesian approach for changepoint detection. The resulting algorithm has key advantages over previous work: it provides provable robustness by leveraging the generalised Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-15 Matias Altamirano , François-Xavier Briol , Jeremias Knoblauch