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Population heterogeneity, especially in individuals' contact networks, plays an important role in transmission dynamics of infectious diseases. For vaccine-preventable diseases, outstanding issues like vaccine hesitancy and availability of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-12-29 Alina Glaubitz , Feng Fu

Voluntary vaccination is essential to protect oneself from infection and suppress the spread of infectious diseases. Voluntary vaccination behavior is influenced by factors such as age and interaction patterns. Differences in health…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-12-11 Yanyi Nie , Tao Lin , Yanbing Liu , Wei Wang

During epidemics people may reduce their social and economic activity to lower their risk of infection. Such social distancing strategies will depend on information about the course of the epidemic but also on when they expect the epidemic…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-04-08 Simon K. Schnyder , John J. Molina , Ryoichi Yamamoto , Matthew S. Turner

During the COVID-19 pandemic, estimating the total deaths averted by vaccination has been of great public health interest. Instead of estimating total deaths averted by vaccination among both vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals, some…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-09 Katherine M. Jia , Christopher B. Boyer , Alyssa Bilinski , Marc Lipsitch

Seasonal influenza presents an ongoing challenge to public health. The rapid evolution of the flu virus necessitates annual vaccination campaigns, but the decision to get vaccinated or not in a given year is largely voluntary, at least in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-21 Irena Papst , Kevin P. O'Keeffe , Steven H. Strogatz

We propose a kinetic model for understanding the link between opinion formation phenomena and epidemic dynamics. The recent pandemic has brought to light that vaccine hesitancy can present different phases and temporal and spatial…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-10-31 Andrea Bondesan , Giuseppe Toscani , Mattia Zanella

Epidemic models are used to analyze the progression or outcome of an epidemic under different control policies like vaccinations, quarantines, lockdowns, use of face-masks, pharmaceutical interventions, etc. When these models accurately…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-04-19 Carlos Hernandez-Suarez , Osval Montsinos Lopez , Ramon Solano-Barajas

Opposition to vaccination has long been a non-negligible public health phenomenon resulted from people's varied perceptions toward vaccination (e.g., vaccine-phobia). This paper investigates the voluntary vaccination behavior of a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-09-04 Liqun Lu , Yanfeng Ouyang

Knowing whether vaccine protection wanes over time is important for health policy and drug development. However, quantifying waning effects is difficult. A simple contrast of vaccine efficacy at two different times compares different…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-15 Matias Janvin , Mats J. Stensrud

We study equilibrium distancing during epidemics. Distancing reduces the individual's probability of getting infected but comes at a cost. It creates a single-peaked epidemic, flattens the curve and decreases the size of the epidemic. We…

General Economics · Economics 2021-03-02 Satoshi Fukuda , Nenad Kos , Christoph Wolf

Two observational methods are currently being used to monitor post-deployment vaccine effectiveness: the obvious crude method comparing rate testing positive per head of vaccinated population with that rate per head of unvaccinated…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-18 Roger F. Sewell

We aim to make inferences about a smooth, finite-dimensional parameter by fusing data from multiple sources together. Previous works have studied the estimation of a variety of parameters in similar data fusion settings, including in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-03 Sijia Li , Alex Luedtke

Network-based intervention strategies can be effective and cost-efficient approaches to curtailing harmful contagions in myriad settings. As studied, these strategies are often impractical to implement, as they typically assume complete…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-09-09 Samuel F. Rosenblatt , Jeffrey A. Smith , G. Robin Gauthier , Laurent Hébert-Dufresne

Understanding waning of vaccine-induced protection is important for both immunology and public health. Population heterogeneities in underlying (pre-vaccination) susceptibility and vaccine response can cause measured vaccine effectiveness…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-08-02 Ariel Nikas , Hasan Ahmed , Veronika I. Zarnitsyna

We study an optimal control problem where the objective is to find the best vaccine allocation during an epidemic outbreak. The epidemic dynamics is described by an age-structured SIR model with nonlocal interactions. Both the infection and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Luís Almeida , Romain Ducasse , Elisa Paparelli

This work consists of an epidemic model with vaccination coupled with an opinion dynamics. Our objective was to study how disease risk perception can influence opinions about vaccination and therefore the spreading of the disease.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-11-20 Marcelo A. Pires , André L. Oestereich , Nuno Crokidakis

A major focus of debate about rationing guidelines for COVID-19 vaccines is whether and how to prioritize access for minority populations that have been particularly affected by the pandemic, and been the subject of historical and…

General Economics · Economics 2020-09-08 Parag A. Pathak , Harald Schmidt , Adam Solomon , Edwin Song , Tayfun Sönmez , M. Utku Ünver

Over a year after the start of the COVID-19 epidemics, we are still facing the virus and it is hard to correctly predict its future spread over weeks to come, as well as the impacts of potential political interventions. Current epidemic…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2021-12-03 Benoit Doussin , Carole Adam , Didier Georges

Compartmental models have long served as important tools in mathematical epidemiology, with their usefulness highlighted by the recent COVID-19 pandemic. However, most of the classical models fail to account for certain features of this…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-08-21 Monique Chyba , Taylor Klotz , Yuriy Mileyko , Corey Shanbrom

We introduce an immunization method where the percentage of required vaccinations for immunity are close to the optimal value of a targeted immunization scheme of highest degree nodes. Our strategy retains the advantage of being purely…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Lazaros K. Gallos , Fredrik Liljeros , Panos Argyrakis , Armin Bunde , Shlomo Havlin