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In order to meet regulatory approval, pharmaceutical companies often must demonstrate that new vaccines reduce the total risk of a post-infection outcome like transmission, symptomatic disease, severe illness, or death in randomized,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-23 Rob Trangucci , Yang Chen , Jon Zelner

Besides maintaining health precautions, vaccination has been the only prevention from SARS-CoV-2, though no clinically proved 100% effective vaccine has been developed till date. At this stage, to withhold the debris of this pandemic,…

The difference in COVID 19 death rates across political regimes has caught a lot of attention. The "efficient autocracy" view suggests that autocracies may be more efficient at putting in place policies that contain COVID 19 spread. On the…

General Economics · Economics 2021-01-26 Guilhem Cassan , Milan Van Steenvoort

Background: Despite the consensus that vaccines play an important role in combating the global spread of infectious diseases, vaccine inequity is still rampant with deep-seated mentality of self-priority. This study aims to evaluate the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-10-16 Zhenyu Han , Qianyue Hao , Qiwei He , Katherine Budeski , Depeng Jin , Fengli Xu , Kun Tang

One long-standing question in epidemiological research is how best to allocate limited amounts of vaccine or similar preventative measures in order to minimize the severity of an epidemic. Much of the literature on the problem of vaccine…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-12-02 Krzysztof Drewniak , Joseph Helsing , Armin R. Mikler

The spreading of Covid-19 pandemic has highlighted the close link between economics and health in the context of emergency management. A widespread vaccination campaign is considered the main tool to contain the economic consequences. This…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-02-09 Emanuele Bernardi , Lorenzo Pareschi , Giuseppe Toscani , Mattia Zanella

Effective vaccine prioritization is critical for epidemic control, yet real outbreaks exhibit memory effects that inflate state space and make long-term prediction and optimization challenging. As a result, many strategies are tuned to…

Biological Physics · Physics 2025-11-11 Mi Feng , Liang Tian , Changsong Zhou

Efficient testing and vaccination protocols are critical aspects of epidemic management. To study the optimal allocation of limited testing and vaccination resources in a heterogeneous contact network of interacting susceptible, recovered,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-12 Mingtao Xia , Lucas Böttcher , Tom Chou

The paper describes a method to understand time required to vaccinate against viruses in total as well as subpopulations. As a demonstration, a model based estimate for time required to vaccinate H1N1 in India, given its administrative…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-15 Arni S. R. Srinivasa Rao , Thomas Kurien

Real-time vaccination following an outbreak can effectively mitigate the damage caused by an infectious disease. However, in many cases, available resources are insufficient to vaccinate the entire at-risk population, logistics result in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-03-29 Chantal Nguyen , Jean M. Carlson

The potential waning of the vaccination immunity to COVID-19 could pose threats to public health, as it is tenable that the timing of such waning would synchronize with the near-complete restoration of normalcy. Should also testing be…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-28 Agnieszka Truszkowska , Lorenzo Zino , Sachit Butail , Emanuele Caroppo , Zhong-Ping Jiang , Alessandro Rizzo , Maurizio Porfiri

Vaccination policies play a central role in public health interventions and models are often used to assess the effectiveness of these policies. Many vaccines are leaky, in which case the observed vaccine effectiveness depends on the force…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-21 Gray Manicom , Emily Harvey , Joshua Looker , David Wu , Oliver Maclaren , Dion O' Neale

Herd immunity is shaped not only by the infection capacity of a spreading epidemic or the contact structure of the hosting population, but also by how and under what circumstances individuals acquire immunity. Immunization strategies may…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-02-20 Sámuel G. Balogh , Gergely Ódor , Márton Karsai

Compartmental epidemic models have been widely used for predicting the course of epidemics, from estimating the basic reproduction number to guiding intervention policies. Studies commonly acknowledge these models' assumptions but less…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-23 Alexander F. Siegenfeld , Pratyush K. Kollepara , Yaneer Bar-Yam

An insufficient supply of effective SARS-CoV-2 vaccine in most countries demands an effective vaccination strategy to minimize the damage caused by the disease. Currently, many countries vaccinate their population in descending order of age…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-09-28 Bukyoung Jhun , Hoyun Choi

Often, vaccination programs are carried out based on self-interest rather than being mandatory. Owing to the perceptions about risks associated with vaccines and the `herd immunity' effect, it may provide suboptimal vaccination coverage for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-07-20 Hai-Feng Zhang , Zhi-Xi Wu , Xiao-Ke Xu , Michael Small , Bing-Hong Wang

Background: The Cox model and its extensions assuming proportional hazards is widely used to estimate vaccine efficacy (VE). In the typical situation that VE wanes over time, the VE estimates are not only sensitive to study duration and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-10 Ziwei Zhao , Xiangmei Ma , Paul Milligan , Yin Bun Cheung

We propose a dynamic allocation procedure that increases power and efficiency when measuring an average treatment effect in sequential randomized trials. Subjects arrive iteratively and are either randomized or paired via a matching…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-05-23 Adam Kapelner , Abba Krieger

Intuitively, sampling is likely to be more efficient for prevalence estimation, if the cases (or positives) have a relatively higher representation in the sample than in the population. In case the virus is transmitted via personal…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-18 Li-Chun Zhang

As observed during the COVID-19 pandemic, high-income countries, such as the U.S., may exhibit vaccine nationalism during a pandemic: stockpiling doses of vaccine for their own citizens and being reluctant to distribute doses of the vaccine…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-21 Abraham Holleran , Susan E. Martonosi , Michael Veatch
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