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This paper establishes optimal convergence rates for estimation of structured covariance operators of Gaussian processes. We study banded operators with kernels that decay rapidly off-the-diagonal and $L^q$-sparse operators with an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-01 Omar Al-Ghattas , Jiaheng Chen , Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Nathan Waniorek

We propose a novel estimation approach for the covariance matrix based on the $l_1$-regularized approximate factor model. Our sparse approximate factor (SAF) covariance estimator allows for the existence of weak factors and hence relaxes…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-06-14 Maurizio Daniele , Winfried Pohlmeier , Aygul Zagidullina

One of the major challenges in multivariate analysis is the estimation of population covariance matrix from sample covariance matrix (SCM). Most recent covariance matrix estimators use either shrinkage transformations or asymptotic results…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-10 Samruddhi Deshmukh , Amartansh Dubey

We study the sample complexity of estimating the covariance matrix $T$ of a distribution $\mathcal{D}$ over $d$-dimensional vectors, under the assumption that $T$ is Toeplitz. This assumption arises in many signal processing problems, where…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-31 Yonina C. Eldar , Jerry Li , Cameron Musco , Christopher Musco

This paper explores the data-aided regularization of the direct-estimate combiner in the uplink of a distributed multiple-input multiple-output system. The network-wide combiner can be computed directly from the pilot signal received at…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-22 Bikshapathi Gouda , Italo Atzeni , Antti Tölli

We consider the problem of finding tuned regularized parameter estimators for linear models. We start by showing that three known optimal linear estimators belong to a wider class of estimators that can be formulated as a solution to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-03 Per Mattsson , Dave Zachariah , Petre Stoica

Estimating covariance matrices with high-dimensional complex data presents significant challenges, particularly concerning positive definiteness, sparsity, and numerical stability. Existing robust sparse estimators often fail to guarantee…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-30 Shaoxin Wang , Ziyun Ma

The state-of-the-art methods for estimating high-dimensional covariance matrices all shrink the eigenvalues of the sample covariance matrix towards a data-insensitive shrinkage target. The underlying shrinkage transformation is either…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-25 Man-Chung Yue , Yves Rychener , Daniel Kuhn , Viet Anh Nguyen

The ensemble covariance matrix of a wide sense stationary signal spatially sampled by a full linear array is positive semi-definite and Toeplitz. However, the direct augmented covariance matrix of an augmentable sparse array is Toeplitz but…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-08 Kaushallya Adhikari

We introduce a new sparse sliced inverse regression estimator called Cholesky matrix penalization and its adaptive version for achieving sparsity in estimating the dimensions of the central subspace. The new estimators use the Cholesky…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-21 Linh Nghiem , Francis K. C. Hui , Samuel Mueller , A. H. Welsh

Existing methods of vector autoregressive model for multivariate time series analysis make use of low-rank matrix approximation or Tucker decomposition to reduce the dimension of the over-parameterization issue. In this paper, we propose a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-05 Sijia Xia , Michael K. Ng , Xiongjun Zhang

Regularization has become a primary tool for developing reliable estimators of the covariance matrix in high-dimensional settings. To curb the curse of dimensionality, numerous methods assume that the population covariance (or inverse…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-19 Jacob Bien

When shrinking a covariance matrix towards (a multiple) of the identity matrix, the trace of the covariance matrix arises naturally as the optimal scaling factor for the identity target. The trace also appears in other context, for example…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-01 Ansgar Steland

Estimating a sparse covariance matrix is a fundamental problem in high-dimensional statistics. However, thresholding methods developed for independent data are generally not directly applicable to high-dimensional time series, where…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Wenhao Zhang , Zhaoxing Gao

We propose a model to forecast large realized covariance matrices of returns, applying it to the constituents of the S\&P 500 daily. To address the curse of dimensionality, we decompose the return covariance matrix using standard firm-level…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-29 Rafael Alves , Diego S. de Brito , Marcelo C. Medeiros , Ruy M. Ribeiro

Large spatial datasets are becoming ubiquitous in environmental sciences with the explosion in the amount of data produced by sensors that monitor and measure the Earth system. Consequently, the geostatistical analysis of these data…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-06 Thomas Romary , Nicolas Desassis

This paper focuses on the estimation of the sample covariance matrix from low-dimensional random projections of data known as compressive measurements. In particular, we present an unbiased estimator to extract the covariance structure from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-01 Farhad Pourkamali-Anaraki

Estimating a covariance matrix is an important task in applications where the number of variables is larger than the number of observations. Shrinkage approaches for estimating a high-dimensional covariance matrix are often employed to…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-18 Anestis Touloumis

Estimation of the mean vector and covariance matrix is of central importance in the analysis of multivariate data. In the framework of generalized linear models, usually the variances are certain functions of the means with the normal…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-25 Anupam Kundu , Mohsen Pourahmadi

Time-varying parameter (TVP) regression models can involve a huge number of coefficients. Careful prior elicitation is required to yield sensible posterior and predictive inferences. In addition, the computational demands of Markov Chain…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-05-15 Niko Hauzenberger , Florian Huber , Gary Koop