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Accurate forecasts of electricity prices are crucial for the management of electric power systems and the development of smart applications. European electricity prices have risen substantially and became highly volatile after the Russian…

Demand-side management provides a great potential for improving the efficiency and reliability of energy systems. This requires a mechanism to connect the market level and the demand side. The flexibility function is a novel approach that…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-27 Seyed Shahabaldin Tohidi , Tobias K. S. Ritschel , Georgios Tsaousoglou , Uffe Høgsbro Thygesen , Henrik Madsen

This work presents a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network for forecasting a monthly electricity demand time series with a one-year horizon. The novelty of this work is the use of pattern representation of the seasonal time series as an…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-29 Paweł Pełka , Grzegorz Dudek

We consider dynamic pricing with many products under an evolving but low-dimensional demand model. Assuming the temporal variation in cross-elasticities exhibits low-rank structure based on fixed (latent) features of the products, we show…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-12 Jonas Mueller , Vasilis Syrgkanis , Matt Taddy

With the evolution of power systems as it is becoming more intelligent and interactive system while increasing in flexibility with a larger penetration of renewable energy sources, demand prediction on a short-term resolution will…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-20 Saad Emshagin , Wayes Koroni Halim , Rasha Kashef

Recently, the volatility associated with marginal prices has increased due to large scale integration of renewable generation. Price volatility is undesirable from a consumer perspective. To address this issue, we present a framework for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-12-11 Shantanu Chakraborty , Kyri Baker , Milos Cvetkovic , Remco Verzijlbergh , Zofia Lukszo

In energy intensive industrial systems, an evaporative cooling process may introduce operational flexibility. Such flexibility refers to a systems ability to deviate from its scheduled energy consumption. Identifying the flexibility, and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-20 Manu Lahariya , Farzaneh Karami , Chris Develder , Guillaume Crevecoeur

Demand response (DR) is a cost-effective and environmentally friendly approach for mitigating the uncertainties in renewable energy integration by taking advantage of the flexibility of customers' demands. However, existing DR programs…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-05-11 Joshua Comden , Zhenhua Liu , Yue Zhao

Studies looking at electricity market designs for very high shares of wind and solar often conclude that the energy-only market will break down. Without fuel costs, it is said that there is nothing to set prices. Symptoms of breakdown…

General Economics · Economics 2025-10-29 Tom Brown , Fabian Neumann , Iegor Riepin

In this paper, statistical machine learning algorithms, as well as deep neural networks, are used to predict the values of the price gap between day-ahead and real-time electricity markets. Several exogenous features are collected and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-24 Nika Nizharadze , Arash Farokhi Soofi , Saeed D. Manshadi

Ensuring sustainability demands more efficient energy management with minimized energy wastage. Therefore, the power grid of the future should provide an unprecedented level of flexibility in energy management. To that end, intelligent…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-11-29 Daniel L. Marino , Kasun Amarasinghe , Milos Manic

This paper discusses the revenue management (RM) problem to maximize revenue by pricing items or services. One challenge in this problem is that the demand distribution is unknown and varies over time in real applications such as airline…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-09 Kazuma Shimizu , Junya Honda , Shinji Ito , Shinji Nakadai

As a measure of the long-term contribution produced by customers in a service or product relationship, life-time value, or LTV, can more comprehensively find the optimal strategy for service delivery. However, it is challenging to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Zizhao Zhang , Yifei Zhao , Guangda Huzhang

The high dimensionality and complexity of neuroimaging data necessitate large datasets to develop robust and high-performing deep learning models. However, the neuroimaging field is notably hampered by the scarcity of such datasets. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Yutong Gao , Charles A. Ellis , Vince D. Calhoun , Robyn L. Miller

Renewable Energy Sources play a key role in smart energy systems. To achieve 100% renewable energy, utilizing the flexibility potential on the demand side becomes the cost-efficient option to balance the grid. However, it is not trivial to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-01 Seyed Shahabaldin Tohidi , Henrik Madsen , Davide Calì , Tobias K. S. Ritschel

Volatility prediction for financial assets is one of the essential questions for understanding financial risks and quadratic price variation. However, although many novel deep learning models were recently proposed, they still have a "hard…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-24 German Rodikov , Nino Antulov-Fantulin

Income- and price-elasticity of demand quantify the responsiveness of markets to changes in income, and in prices, respectively. Under the assumptions of utility maximization and preference-independence (additive preferences), mathematical…

Applications · Statistics 2016-04-27 Lorenzo Sabatelli

Most electricity systems worldwide are deploying advanced metering infrastructures to collect relevant operational data. In particular, smart meters allow tracking electricity load consumption at a very disaggregated level and at high…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-09 Andrés M. Alonso , F. Javier Nogales , Carlos Ruiz

The flexible loads in power systems, such as interruptible and transferable loads, are critical flexibility resources for mitigating power imbalances. Despite their potential, accurate modeling of these loads is a challenging work and has…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-06 Mingji Chen , Shuai Lu , Wei Gu , Zhaoyang Dong , Yijun Xu , Jiayi Ding

In this paper we investigate a dynamic pricing model for constant demand elasticity where customers have a probability distribution on the number of items they order. This is a generalization from standard models which restrict customers to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-03-01 Nyles Breecher , Richard Stockbridge