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Bailey showed that the general pointwise forecasting for stationary and ergodic time series has a negative solution. However, it is known that for Markov chains the problem can be solved. Morvai showed that there is a stopping time sequence…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-06-19 Gusztav Morvai , Benjamin Weiss

Let $G$ be a connected semisimple real Lie group with finite center, and $\mu$ a probability measure on $G$ whose support generates a Zariski-dense subgroup of $G$. We consider the right $\mu$-random walk on $G$ and show that each random…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-10-18 Timothée Bénard

We connect this question to a problem of estimating the probability that the image of certain random matrices does not intersect with a subset of the unit sphere $\mathbb{S}^{n-1}$. In this way, the case of a discretized Brownian motion is…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-19 Konstantin Tikhomirov , Pierre Youssef

This paper studies anchored expansion, a non-uniform version of the strong isoperimetric inequality. We show that every graph with i-anchored expansion contains a subgraph with isoperimetric (Cheeger) constant at least i. We prove a…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Balint Virag

We introduce a technique using nonbacktracking random walk for estimating the spectral radius of simple random walk. This technique relates the density of nontrivial cycles in simple random walk to that in nonbacktracking random walk. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-10 Russell Lyons , Yuval Peres

Consider the extreme value of a Bernoulli random walk on the one-dimensional integer lattice, with reflection at 0, over a finite discrete time interval. Only the asymmetric (biased) case is discussed. Asymptotic mean/variance results are…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2018-08-27 Steven R. Finch

Directed covers of finite graphs are also known as periodic trees or trees with finitely many cone types. We expand the existing theory of directed covers of finite graphs to those of infinite graphs. While the lower growth rate still…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-10-05 Lorenz A. Gilch , Sebastian Müller

The exact formula for the average hitting time (HT, as an abbreviation) of simple random walks from one vertex to any other vertex on the square $C^2_N$ of an $N$-vertex cycle graph $C_N$ was given by N. Chair [\textit{Journal of…

The chromatic polynomial $P(G,x)$ of a graph $G$ of order $n$ can be expressed as $\sum\limits_{i=1}^n(-1)^{n-i}a_{i}x^i$, where $a_i$ is interpreted as the number of broken-cycle free spanning subgraphs of $G$ with exactly $i$ components.…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2020-08-12 Fengming Dong , Jun Ge , Helin Gong , Bo Ning , Zhangdong Ouyang , Eng Guan Tay

Let $p=\frac{1+\varepsilon}{n}$. It is known that if $N=\varepsilon^3n\to\infty$ then w.h.p. $G_{n,p}$ has a unique giant largest component. We show that if in addition, $\varepsilon=\varepsilon(n)\to 0$ then w.h.p. the cover time of…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2022-11-23 Alan Frieze , Wesley Pegden , Tomasz Tkocz

We propose a model of random walks on weighted graphs where the weights are interval valued, and connect it to reversible imprecise Markov chains. While the theory of imprecise Markov chains is now well established, this is a first attempt…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-09-20 Damjan Škulj

We study branching random walks on Cayley graphs. A first result is that the trace of a transient branching random walk on a Cayley graph is a.s. transient for the simple random walk. In addition, it has a.s. critical percolation…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-22 Itai Benjamini , Sebastian Müller

Let $\mathcal{T}$ be a supercritical Galton-Watson tree with a bounded offspring distribution that has mean $\mu >1$, conditioned to survive. Let $\varphi_{\mathcal{T}}$ be a random embedding of $\mathcal{T}$ into $\mathbb{Z}^d$ according…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-14 Remco van der Hofstad , Tim Hulshof , Jan Nagel

This note presents conjectures on polynomial/algebraic/sub-exponential convergence of transition probabilities for $\lambda$-null recurrent and $\lambda$-transient Markov chains in continuous time. The only known positive examples are in…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-14 Phil. Pollett

We consider nonelementary random walks on general hyperbolic spaces. Without any moment condition on the walk, we show that it escapes linearly to infinity, with exponential error bounds. We even get such exponential bounds up to the rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-18 Sébastien Gouëzel

Given a finite graph G, a vertex of the lamplighter graph consists of a zero-one labeling of the vertices of G, and a marked vertex of G. For transitive graphs G, we show that, up to constants, the relaxation time for simple random walk in…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Yuval Peres , David Revelle

Among observables characterising the random exploration of a graph or lattice, the cover time, namely the time to visit every site, continues to attract widespread interest. Much insight about cover times is gained by mapping to the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-07-08 Gcina Maziya , Luca Cocconi , Gunnar Pruessner , Nicholas Moloney

Consider a simple graph in which a random walk begins at a given vertex. It moves at each step with equal probability to any neighbor of its current vertex, and ends when it has visited every vertex. We call such a random walk a random…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2023-03-14 Calum Buchanan , Paul Horn , Puck Rombach

We consider a random walk among a Poisson system of moving traps on ${\mathbb Z}$. In earlier work [DGRS12], the quenched and annealed survival probabilities of this random walk have been investigated. Here we study the path of the random…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-01 Siva Athreya , Alexander Drewitz , Rongfeng Sun

Random transvections generate a walk on the space of symplectic forms on $\mathbf{F}_q^{2n}$. The main result is establishing cutoff for this Markov chain. After $n+c$ steps, the walk is close to uniform while before $n-c$, it is far from…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-15 Jimmy He