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Nonparametric Bayesian approaches based on Gaussian processes have recently become popular in the empirical learning community. They encompass many classical methods of statistics, like Radial Basis Functions or various splines, and are…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 J. C. Lemm

Although discrete mixture modeling has formed the backbone of the literature on Bayesian density estimation, there are some well known disadvantages. We propose an alternative class of priors based on random nonlinear functions of a uniform…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Suprateek Kundu , David B. Dunson

Probabilistic regression techniques in control and robotics applications have to fulfill different criteria of data-driven adaptability, computational efficiency, scalability to high dimensions, and the capacity to deal with different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-31 Hany Abdulsamad , Peter Nickl , Pascal Klink , Jan Peters

This paper builds on recent research that focuses on regression modeling of continuous bounded data, such as proportions measured on a continuous scale. Specifically, it deals with beta regression models with mixed effects from a Bayesian…

The Student-$t$ distribution is widely used in statistical modeling of datasets involving outliers since its longer-than-normal tails provide a robust approach to hand such data. Furthermore, data collected over time may contain censored or…

This research shows that under certain mathematical conditions, a threshold autoregressive model (TAR) can represent the leverage effect based on its conditional variance function. Furthermore, the analytical expressions for the third and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-19 Oscar Espinosa , Fabio Nieto

For exchangeable data, mixture models are an extremely useful tool for density estimation due to their attractive balance between smoothness and flexibility. When additional covariate information is present, mixture models can be extended…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-01 Sara Wade , Vanda Inacio , Sonia Petrone

In this paper, a generalized multivariate Student-t mixture model is developed for classification and clustering of Low Probability of Intercept radar waveforms. A Low Probability of Intercept radar signal is characterized by a pulse…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-01 Guillaume Revillon , Ali Mohammad-Djafari , Cyrille Enderli

With uncertain changes of the economic environment, macroeconomic downturns during recessions and crises can hardly be explained by a Gaussian structural shock. There is evidence that the distribution of macroeconomic variables is skewed…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-05-25 Sune Karlsson , Stepan Mazur , Hoang Nguyen

Vector autoregressive (VAR) models assume linearity between the endogenous variables and their lags. This assumption might be overly restrictive and could have a deleterious impact on forecasting accuracy. As a solution, we propose…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-03-10 Florian Huber , Luca Rossini

Most of previous works and applications of Bayesian factor model have assumed the normal likelihood regardless of its validity. We propose a Bayesian factor model for heavy-tailed high-dimensional data based on multivariate Student-$t$…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-10 Jaejoon Lee , Jaeyong Lee

Finite mixtures are a cornerstone of Bayesian modelling, and it is well-known that sampling from the resulting posterior distribution can be a hard task. In particular, popular reversible Markov chain Monte Carlo schemes are often slow to…

Computation · Statistics 2025-10-06 Filippo Ascolani , Giacomo Zanella

We propose the finite mixture of skewed sub-Gaussian stable distributions. The maximum likelihood estimator for the parameters of proposed finite mixture model is computed through the expectation-maximization algorithm. The proposed model…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-30 Mahdi Teimouri

We present a new latent-variable model employing a Gaussian mixture integrated with a feature selection procedure (the Bernoulli part of the model) which together form a "Latent Bernoulli-Gauss" distribution. The model is applied to MAP…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-07-06 Amnon Shashua , Gabi Pragier

We study Bayesian estimation of mixture models and argue in favor of fitting the marginal posterior distribution over component assignments directly, rather than Gibbs sampling from the joint posterior on components and parameters as is…

Computation · Statistics 2025-11-03 M. E. J. Newman

A structural Gaussian mixture vector autoregressive model is introduced. The shocks are identified by combining simultaneous diagonalization of the reduced form error covariance matrices with constraints on the time-varying impact matrix.…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-10 Savi Virolainen

Gaussian process priors are commonly used in aerospace design for performing Bayesian optimization. Nonetheless, Gaussian processes suffer two significant drawbacks: outliers are a priori assumed unlikely, and the posterior variance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-19 Brendan D. Tracey , David H. Wolpert

Markov switching models are often used to analyze financial returns because of their ability to capture frequently observed stylized facts. In this paper we consider a multivariate Student-t version of the model as a viable alternative to…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-04 Mauro Bernardi , Antonello Maruotti , Lea Petrella

Mixtures of Gaussian Bayesian networks have previously been studied under full-covariance assumptions, where each mixture component has its own covariance matrix. We propose a mixture model with tied-covariance, in which all components…

Computation · Statistics 2025-11-11 Marco Grzegorczyk

Finite mixtures are a broad class of models useful in scenarios where observed data is generated by multiple distinct processes but without explicit information about the responsible process for each data point. Estimating Bayesian mixture…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-17 Šimon Kucharský , Paul Christian Bürkner