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Time series anomaly detection has garnered considerable attention across diverse domains. While existing methods often fail to capture the underlying mechanisms behind anomaly generation in time series data. In addition, time series anomaly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-07 Yutong Xia , Yingying Zhang , Yuxuan Liang , Lunting Fan , Qingsong Wen , Roger Zimmermann

The challenge of efficiently identifying anomalies in data sequences is an important statistical problem that now arises in many applications. Whilst there has been substantial work aimed at making statistical analyses robust to outliers,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-12 Alexander T. M. Fisch , Idris A. Eckley , Paul Fearnhead

Monitoring a process over time is so important in manufacturing processes to reduce the waste of money and time. Some charts as Shewhart, CUSUM, and EWMA are common to monitor a process with a single intended attribute which is used in…

We introduce a methodology for efficient monitoring of processes running on hosts in a corporate network. The methodology is based on collecting streams of system calls produced by all or selected processes on the hosts, and sending them…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2017-07-14 Michael Dymshits , Ben Myara , David Tolpin

One of the most important features of financial time series data is volatility. There are often structural changes in volatility over time, and an accurate estimation of the volatility of financial time series requires careful…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-24 Huaiyu Hu , Ashis Gangopadhyay

The ability to detect when a system undergoes an incipient fault is of paramount importance in preventing a critical failure. Classic methods for fault detection (including model-based and data-driven approaches) rely on thresholding error…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-13 Camilo Ramírez , Jorge F. Silva , Ferhat Tamssaouet , Tomás Rojas , Marcos E. Orchard

In this paper we discuss dynamic ARMA-type regression models for time series taking values in $(0,\infty)$. In the proposed model, the conditional mean is modeled by a dynamic structure containing autoregressive and moving average terms,…

Monitoring of project performance is a crucial task of project managers that significantly affect the project success or failure. Earned Value Management (EVM) is a well-known tool to evaluate project performance and effective technique for…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-20 Nooshin Yousefi , Ahmad Sobhani , Leila Moslemi Naeni , Kenneth R. Currie

Recent progress in fault detection and identification increasingly relies on sophisticated techniques for fault detection, applied through either centralized or distributed approaches. Instead of increasing the sophistication of the fault…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-29 Enrique Luna Villagomez , Vladimir Mahalec

Time series anomaly detection (TSAD) is becoming increasingly vital due to the rapid growth of time series data across various sectors. Anomalies in web service data, for example, can signal critical incidents such as system failures or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-06 Jiaxin Zhuang , Leon Yan , Zhenwei Zhang , Ruiqi Wang , Jiawei Zhang , Yuantao Gu

Deviations from expected behavior during runtime, known as anomalies, have become more common due to the systems' complexity, especially for microservices. Consequently, analyzing runtime monitoring data, such as logs, traces for…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-08-16 Monika Steidl , Benedikt Dornauer , Michael Felderer , Rudolf Ramler , Mircea-Cristian Racasan , Marko Gattringer

This paper challenges the dominance of stochastic trend models by introducing the Seasonal-Trend-Stationary ARMA (STSA) framework, which represents univariate nonstationary time series as stationary fluctuations around deterministic trend…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-26 Zhandos Abdikhadir , Terence Tai Leung Chong

Batch processes show several sources of variability, from raw materials' properties to initial and evolving conditions that change during the different events in the manufacturing process. In this chapter, we will illustrate with an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-21 Imanol Arzac-Garmendia , Mattia Vallerio , Carlos Perez-Galvan , Francisco J. Navarro-Brull

Dynamic statistical process monitoring methods have been widely studied and applied in modern industrial processes. These methods aim to extract the most predictable temporal information and develop the corresponding dynamic monitoring…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-10 Wei Fan , Qinqin Zhu , Shaojun Ren , Liang Zhang , Fengqi Si

Anomalies in univariate time series often refer to abnormal values and deviations from the temporal patterns from majority of historical observations. In multivariate time series, anomalies also refer to abnormal changes in the inter-series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-07 Katrina Chen , Mingbin Feng , Tony S. Wirjanto

Unsupervised fault detection in multivariate time series plays a vital role in ensuring the stable operation of complex systems. Traditional methods often assume that normal data follow a single Gaussian distribution and identify anomalies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Hong Liu , Xiuxiu Qiu , Yiming Shi , Miao Xu , Zelin Zang , Zhen Lei

This paper presents a new parameter estimation algorithm for the adaptive control of a class of time-varying plants. The main feature of this algorithm is a matrix of time-varying learning rates, which enables parameter estimation error…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-18 Joseph E. Gaudio , Anuradha M. Annaswamy , Eugene Lavretsky , Michael A. Bolender

Machine failures decrease up-time and can lead to extra repair costs or even to human casualties and environmental pollution. Recent condition monitoring techniques use artificial intelligence in an effort to avoid time-consuming manual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-14 Kilian Hendrickx , Wannes Meert , Yves Mollet , Johan Gyselinck , Bram Cornelis , Konstantinos Gryllias , Jesse Davis

Time series anomaly detection plays a critical role in automated monitoring systems. Most previous deep learning efforts related to time series anomaly detection were based on recurrent neural networks (RNN). In this paper, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-03 Tailai Wen , Roy Keyes

The detection of serial dependence in binary or binomial valued time series is difficult using standard time series methods, particularly when there are regression effects to be modelled. In this paper we derive score-type tests for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-06 W. T. M. Dunsmuir , J. Y. He
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