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In his, by now, classical work from 1981, Nerman made extensive use of a crucial martingale $(W_t)_{t \geq 0}$ to prove convergence in probability, in mean and almost surely, of supercritical general branching processes (a.k.a.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-02 Alexander Iksanov , Konrad Kolesko , Matthias Meiners

Consider a supercritical Crump-Mode-Jagers process $(\mathcal{Z}_{t}^{\varphi})_{t \geq 0}$ counted with a random characteristic $\varphi$ that depends on an individual's life and their descendant process up to a fixed generation. Under…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Gabriel Berzunza Ojeda , Harlan Connor

Consider a supercritical Crump--Mode--Jagers process such that all births are at integer times (the lattice case). Let $\widehat\mu(z)$ be the generating function of the intensity of the offspring process, and consider the complex roots of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-30 Svante Janson

We establish a Law of Large Numbers and a Central Limit Theorem for a class of Crump Mode Jagers continuous time branching processes, where the birth rate is age dependent, and also random (different from one individual to the next), in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Ibrahima Dramé , Etienne Pardoux

We consider a supercritical general branching population where the lifetimes of individuals are i.i.d. with arbitrary distribution and each individual gives birth to new individuals at Poisson times independently from each others. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-21 Benoît Henry

Suppose $\{X_{t}:t\ge 0\}$ is a supercritical superprocess on a Luzin space $E$, with a non-local branching mechanism and probabilities $\mathbb{P}_{\delta_{x}}$, when initiated from a unit mass at $x\in E$. By ``supercritical", we mean…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-11 Ting Yang

In the spirit of a classical results for Crump-Mode-Jagers processes, we prove a strong law of large numbers for homogenous fragmentation processes. Specifically, for self-similar fragmentation processes, including homogenous processes, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-09-18 S. C. Harris , R. Knobloch , A. E. Kyprianou

We investigate the asymptotic behaviour of networks of interacting non-linear Hawkes processes modeling a homogeneous population of neurons in the large population limit. In particular, we prove a functional central limit theorem for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-06 Sophie Heesen , Wilhelm Stannat

We prove a law of large numbers and functional central limit theorem for a class of multivariate Hawkes processes with time-dependent reproduction rate. We address the difficulties induced by the use of non-convolutive Volterra processes by…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-30 Thomas Deschatre , Pierre Gruet , Antoine Lotz

Consider a supercritical Crump--Mode--Jagers process such that all births are at integer times (the lattice case). We show that under a certain condition on the intensity of the offspring process, the second-order fluctuations of the age…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-30 Svante Janson

Let $f$ be a Rademacher or Steinhaus random multiplicative function. For various arithmetically interesting subsets $\mathcal A\subseteq [1, N]\cap\mathbb N$ such that the distribution of $\sum_{n\in \mathcal A} f(n)$ is approximately…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-04 Besfort Shala

Let $(Z_t^{(q, H)})_{t \geq 0}$ denote a Hermite process of order $q \geq 1$ and self-similarity parameter $H \in (\frac{1}{2}, 1)$. Consider the Hermite-driven moving average process $$X_t^{(q, H)} = \int_0^t x(t-u) dZ^{(q, H)}(u), \qquad…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-19 T. T. Diu Tran

We consider the adjacency matrix $A$ of a large random graph and study fluctuations of the function $f_n(z,u)=\frac{1}{n}\sum_{k=1}^n\exp\{-uG_{kk}(z)\}$ with $G(z)=(z-iA)^{-1}$. We prove that the moments of fluctuations normalized by…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-05-14 M. Shcherbina , B. Tirozzi

Consider a general branching process, a.k.a. Crump-Mode-Jagers process, generated by a perturbed random walk $\eta_1$, $\xi_1+\eta_2$, $\xi_1+\xi_2+\eta_3,\ldots$. Here, $(\xi_1,\eta_1)$, $(\xi_2, \eta_2),\ldots$ are independent identically…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-17 Alexander Iksanov , Alexander Marynych , Bohdan Rashytov

Homogeneous normalized random measures with independent increments (hNRMIs) represent a broad class of Bayesian nonparametric priors and thus are widely used. In this paper, we obtain the strong law of large numbers, the central limit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-22 Junxi Zhang , Shui Feng , Yaozhong Hu

We prove, for any $\beta >0$, a central limit theorem for the fluctuations of linear statistics in the Sine-$\beta$ process, which is the infinite volume limit of the random microscopic behavior in the bulk of one-dimensional log-gases at…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-11 Thomas Leblé

The Ewens-Pitman model defines a distribution on random partitions of $\{1,\ldots,n\}$, with parameters $\alpha \in [0,1)$ and $\theta > -\alpha$; the case $\alpha=0$ reduces to the classical Ewens model from population genetics. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Bernard Bercu , Claudia Contardi , Emanuele Dolera , Stefano Favaro

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of a fully-coupled slow-fast McKean-Vlasov stochastic system. Using the non-linear Poisson equation on Wasserstein space, we first establish the strong convergence in the averaging principle…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-14 Yun Li , Longjie Xie

Let us consider i.i.d. random variables $\{a_k,b_k\}_{k \geq 1}$ defined on a common probability space $(\Omega, \mathcal F, \mathbb P)$, following a symmetric Rademacher distribution and the associated random trigonometric polynomials…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-25 Jürgen Angst , Guillaume Poly

In 1981, Karp and Sipser proved a law of large numbers for the matching number of a sparse Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph, in an influential paper pioneering the so-called differential equation method for analysis of random graph processes.…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-01-28 Margalit Glasgow , Matthew Kwan , Ashwin Sah , Mehtaab Sawhney
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