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This work introduces an online Bayesian game-theoretic method for behavior identification in multi-agent dynamical systems. By casting Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman optimality conditions as linear-in-parameter residuals, the method enables fast…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-09 Francesco Bianchin , Robert Lefringhausen , Sandra Hirche

We consider in discrete time, a general class of sequential stochastic dynamic games with asymmetric information with the following features. The underlying system has Markovian dynamics controlled by the agents' joint actions. Each agent's…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2023-01-16 Yi Ouyang , Hamidreza Tavafoghi , Demosthenis Teneketzis

We consider a mean-field game model where the cost functions depend on a fixed parameter, called \textit{state}, which is unknown to players. Players learn about the state from a a stream of private signals they receive throughout the game.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-01 Eran Shmaya , Bruno Ziliotto

Prediction is a well-studied machine learning task, and prediction algorithms are core ingredients in online products and services. Despite their centrality in the competition between online companies who offer prediction-based products,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-05-08 Omer Ben-Porat , Moshe Tennenholtz

We present a novel variant of fictitious play dynamics combining classical fictitious play with Q-learning for stochastic games and analyze its convergence properties in two-player zero-sum stochastic games. Our dynamics involves players…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-06-03 Muhammed O. Sayin , Francesca Parise , Asuman Ozdaglar

Zero-determinant strategies are memory-one strategies in repeated games which unilaterally enforce linear relations between expected payoffs of players. Recently, the concept of zero-determinant strategies was extended to the class of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-07 Masahiko Ueda

We consider a large population of learning agents noncooperatively selecting strategies from a common set, influencing the dynamics of an exogenous system (ES) we seek to stabilize at a desired equilibrium. Our approach is to design a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-17 Jair Certório , Nuno C. Martins , Richard J. La , Murat Arcak

In game-theoretic learning, several agents are simultaneously following their individual interests, so the environment is non-stationary from each player's perspective. In this context, the performance of a learning algorithm is often…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-10-19 Yu-Guan Hsieh , Kimon Antonakopoulos , Panayotis Mertikopoulos

In the classical Bayesian persuasion model an informed player and an uninformed one engage in a static interaction. The informed player, the sender, knows the state of nature, while the uninformed one, the receiver, does not. The informed…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-11-30 Ehud Lehrer , Dimitry Shaiderman

Learning in zero-sum games studies a situation where multiple agents competitively learn their strategy. In such multi-agent learning, we often see that the strategies cycle around their optimum, i.e., Nash equilibrium. When a game…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-03-06 Yuma Fujimoto , Kaito Ariu , Kenshi Abe

In the Bayesian reinforcement learning (RL) setting, a prior distribution over the unknown problem parameters -- the rewards and transitions -- is assumed, and a policy that optimizes the (posterior) expected return is sought. A common…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-27 Aviv Tamar , Daniel Soudry , Ev Zisselman

In this work, we study the system of interacting non-cooperative two Q-learning agents, where one agent has the privilege of observing the other's actions. We show that this information asymmetry can lead to a stable outcome of population…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-26 Ezra Tampubolon , Haris Ceribasic , Holger Boche

We analyze the stability of a nonlinear dynamical model describing the noncooperative strategic interactions among the agents of a finite collection of populations. Each agent selects one strategy at a time and revises it repeatedly…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-21 Murat Arcak , Nuno C. Martins

We describe an algorithm for computing best response strategies in a class of two-player infinite games of incomplete information, defined by payoffs piecewise linear in agents' types and actions, conditional on linear comparisons of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-07-19 Daniel Reeves , Michael P. Wellman

We consider an infinite collection of agents who make decisions, sequentially, about an unknown underlying binary state of the world. Each agent, prior to making a decision, receives an independent private signal whose distribution depends…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-09-07 Kimon Drakopoulos , Asuman Ozdaglar , John Tsitsiklis

In decision-dependent games, multiple players optimize their decisions under a data distribution that shifts with their joint actions, creating complex dynamics in applications like market pricing. A practical consequence of these dynamics…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-09-04 Guangzheng Zhong , Yang Liu , Jiming Liu

Collective intelligence emerges across biological, physical, and artificial systems without central coordination, yet a unifying principle governing such behaviour remains elusive. The Free Energy Principle explains how individual agents…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-01 Djamel Bouchaffra , Faycal Ykhlef , Mustapha Lebbah , Hanane Azzag

We consider a discrete-time nonatomic routing game with variable demand and uncertain costs. Given a routing network with single origin and destination, the cost function of each edge depends on some uncertain persistent state parameter. At…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-10-04 Emilien Macault , Marco Scarsini , Tristan Tomala

We extend the concept of meta-Nash equilibrium, introduced by Eshaghi Gordji and Bagha [2026] for complete-information games, to environments with incomplete information. We define a meta-Bayesian Nash equilibrium as a profile of…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-19 Madjid Eshaghi Gordji , Esmaiel Abounoori , Mohamadali Berahman

We exhibit optimal control strategies for a simple toy problem in which the underlying dynamics depend on a parameter that is initially unknown and must be learned. We consider a cost function posed over a finite time interval, in contrast…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-02-27 Charles L. Fefferman , Bernat Guillen Pegueroles , Clarence W. Rowley , Melanie Weber
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