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The accurate estimation of the state of complex uncertain physical systems requires reconciling theoretical models, with inherent imperfections, with noisy experimental data. In this work, we propose an effective hybrid approach that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Stiven Briand Massala , Ludovic Chamoin , Massimo Picca Ciamarra

Dynamical weather and climate prediction models underpin many studies of the Earth system and hold the promise of being able to make robust projections of future climate change based on physical laws. However, simulations from these models…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-09-04 Peter A. G. Watson

Latent force models, a class of hybrid modeling approaches, integrate physical knowledge of system dynamics with a latent force - an unknown, unmeasurable input modeled as a Gaussian process. In this work, we introduce two optimal state…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-24 Tobias M. Wolff , Victor G. Lopez , Matthias A. Müller , Thomas Beckers

We present a method for the unattended gray-box identification of sensor models commonly used by localization algorithms in the field of robotics. The objective is to determine the most likely sensor model for a time series of unknown…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Christian Brommer , Alessandro Fornasier , Jan Steinbrener , Stephan Weiss

The application of deep learning toward discovery of data-driven models requires careful application of inductive biases to obtain a description of physics which is both accurate and robust. We present here a framework for discovering…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-12-02 Ravi G. Patel , Nathaniel A. Trask , Mitchell A. Wood , Eric C. Cyr

In this work, we introduce a generalized framework for multiscale state-space modeling that incorporates nested nonlinear dynamics, with a specific focus on Bayesian learning under switching regimes. Our framework captures the complex…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-31 Nayely Vélez-Cruz , Manfred D. Laubichler

Neural networks predictions are unreliable when the input sample is out of the training distribution or corrupted by noise. Being able to detect such failures automatically is fundamental to integrate deep learning algorithms into robotics.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-02-18 Antonio Loquercio , Mattia Segù , Davide Scaramuzza

State estimation of dynamical systems is crucial for providing new decision-making and system automation information in different applications. However, the assumptions on the standard computational models for sensor measurements can be…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-25 Aamir Hussain Chughtai , Arslan Majal , Muhammad Tahir , Momin Uppal

In the present paper, a flexible and parsimonious model of the vibrations of nonlinear mechanical systems is introduced in the form of state-space equations. It is shown that the nonlinear model terms can be formed using a limited number of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-10-31 Jean-Philippe Noël , Johan Schoukens , Gaetan Kerschen

To operate process engineering systems in a safe and reliable manner, predictive models are often used in decision making. In many cases, these are mechanistic first principles models which aim to accurately describe the process. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-20 Timur Bikmukhametov , Johannes Jäschke

This paper presents a machine learning framework for Bayesian systems identification from noisy, sparse and irregular observations of nonlinear dynamical systems. The proposed method takes advantage of recent developments in differentiable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-21 Yibo Yang , Mohamed Aziz Bhouri , Paris Perdikaris

A model-based approach to forecasting chaotic dynamical systems utilizes knowledge of the physical processes governing the dynamics to build an approximate mathematical model of the system. In contrast, machine learning techniques have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-09 Jaideep Pathak , Alexander Wikner , Rebeckah Fussell , Sarthak Chandra , Brian Hunt , Michelle Girvan , Edward Ott

Incorporating a priori physics knowledge into machine learning leads to more robust and interpretable algorithms. In this work, we combine deep learning techniques and classic numerical methods for differential equations to address two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-04 Caitlin Ho , Andrea Arnold

In a landscape where scientific discovery is increasingly driven by data, the integration of machine learning (ML) with traditional scientific methodologies has emerged as a transformative approach. This paper introduces a novel,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-26 Yunjin Tong

The gray-box modeling approach, which uses a semi-physical thermal network model, has been widely used in building prediction applications, such as model predictive control (MPC). However, unmeasured disturbances, such as occupants,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-08 Sang woo Ham , Donghun Kim

While the Graybox characterization method allows for implicit noise models and is platform-agnostic, the method lacks uncertainty quantification. Characterization of quantum devices is a crucial process that enables researchers to gain…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-09-30 Poramet Pathumsoot , Michal Hajdušek , Rodney Van Meter

An inference method for Gaussian process augmented state-space models are presented. This class of grey-box models enables domain knowledge to be incorporated in the inference process to guarantee a minimum of performance, still they are…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-17 Anton Kullberg , Isaac Skog , Gustaf Hendeby

This work presents a probabilistic digital twin framework for response prediction in dynamical systems governed by misspecified physics. The approach integrates Gaussian Process Latent Force Models (GPLFM) and Bayesian Neural Networks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Sahil Kashyap , Rajdip Nayek

An incremental/online state dynamic learning method is proposed for identification of the nonlinear Gaussian state space models. The method embeds the stochastic variational sparse Gaussian process as the probabilistic state dynamic model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-31 Vahid Bastani , Lucio Marcenaro , Carlo Regazzoni

The ubiquity of multiscale interactions in complex systems is well-recognized, with development and heredity serving as a prime example of how processes at different temporal scales influence one another. This work introduces a novel…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-04 Nayely Vélez-Cruz , Manfred D. Laubichler