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Second-order information -- such as curvature or data covariance -- is critical for optimisation, diagnostics, and robustness. However, in many modern settings, only the gradients are observable. We show that the gradients alone can reveal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Arash Jamshidi , Katsiaryna Haitsiukevich , Kai Puolamäki

We study online inference and asymptotic covariance estimation for the stochastic gradient descent (SGD) algorithm. While classical methods (such as plug-in and batch-means estimators) are available, they either require inaccessible…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-24 Ziyang Wei , Wanrong Zhu , Jingyang Lyu , Wei Biao Wu

Stochastic models with global parameters and latent variables are common, and for which variational inference (VI) is popular. However, existing methods are often either slow or inaccurate in high dimensions. We suggest a fast and accurate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-26 Weiben Zhang , Michael Stanley Smith , Worapree Maneesoonthorn , Ruben Loaiza-Maya

Score-driven models update time-varying parameters using conditional likelihood scores. This paper develops a Bayesian interpretation of such updates through Tweedie's formula, which connects posterior mean corrections with marginal scores.…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-27 Peter Reinhard Hansen , Chen Tong

We present a unifying framework for adapting the update direction in gradient-based iterative optimization methods. As natural special cases we re-derive classical momentum and Nesterov's accelerated gradient method, lending a new intuitive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-12 Aleksandar Botev , Guy Lever , David Barber

Stochastic coordinate descent algorithms are efficient methods in which each iterate is obtained by fixing most coordinates at their values from the current iteration, and approximately minimizing the objective with respect to the remaining…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-02 Eméric Gbaguidi

The paper proposes a new covariance estimator for large covariance matrices when the variables have a natural ordering. Using the Cholesky decomposition of the inverse, we impose a banded structure on the Cholesky factor, and select the…

Applications · Statistics 2008-12-18 Elizaveta Levina , Adam Rothman , Ji Zhu

A method is introduced for approximate marginal likelihood inference via adaptive Gaussian quadrature in mixed models with a single grouping factor. The core technical contribution is an algorithm for computing the exact gradient of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-13 Alex Stringer

Bayesian filtering is a cornerstone of state estimation in complex systems such as aerospace systems, yet exact solutions are available only for linear Gaussian models. In practice,nonlinear systems are handled through tractable…

This paper introduces two variational inference approaches for infinite-dimensional inverse problems, developed through gradient descent with a constant learning rate. The proposed methods enable efficient approximate sampling from the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-05 Jiaming Sui , Junxiong Jia , Jinglai Li

Estimating large covariance matrices has been a longstanding important problem in many applications and has attracted increased attention over several decades. This paper deals with two methods based on pre-existing works to impose sparsity…

Applications · Statistics 2017-12-06 Ahmad W. Bitar , Jean-Philippe Ovarlez , Loong-Fah Cheong

We introduce Gradient Agreement Filtering (GAF) to improve on gradient averaging in distributed deep learning optimization. Traditional distributed data-parallel stochastic gradient descent involves averaging gradients of microbatches to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-31 Francois Chaubard , Duncan Eddy , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

In optimization, the natural gradient method is well-known for likelihood maximization. The method uses the Kullback-Leibler divergence, corresponding infinitesimally to the Fisher-Rao metric, which is pulled back to the parameter space of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-26 Anton Mallasto , Tom Dela Haije , Aasa Feragen

Finding an unconstrained and statistically interpretable reparameterization of a covariance matrix is still an open problem in statistics. Its solution is of central importance in covariance estimation, particularly in the recent…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-02-09 Mohsen Pourahmadi

It has been observed in a variety of contexts that gradient descent methods have great success in solving low-rank matrix factorization problems, despite the relevant problem formulation being non-convex. We tackle a particular instance of…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2016-06-28 Dejiao Zhang , Laura Balzano

Stochastic dynamics on sparse graphs and disordered systems often lead to complex behaviors characterized by heterogeneity in time and spatial scales, slow relaxation, localization, and aging phenomena. The mathematical tools and…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-06-05 Mattia Tarabolo , Luca Dall'Asta

Gaussian processes are widely used as priors for unknown functions in statistics and machine learning. To achieve computationally feasible inference for large datasets, a popular approach is the Vecchia approximation, which is an ordered…

Computation · Statistics 2023-04-11 Myeongjong Kang , Matthias Katzfuss

Gradient-based solvers risk convergence to local optima, leading to incorrect researcher inference. Heuristic-based algorithms are able to ``break free" of these local optima to eventually converge to the true global optimum. However, given…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-17 Zachary Porreca

The Cholesky decomposition is a fundamental tool for solving linear systems with symmetric and positive definite matrices which are ubiquitous in linear algebra, optimization, and machine learning. Its numerical stability can be improved by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Filip de Roos , Fabio Muratore

Using quasi-Newton methods in stochastic optimization is not a trivial task given the difficulty of extracting curvature information from the noisy gradients. Moreover, pre-conditioning noisy gradient observations tend to amplify the noise.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-02 Andre Carlon , Luis Espath , Raul Tempone