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This paper examines the usefulness of high frequency data in estimating the covariance matrix for portfolio choice when the portfolio size is large. A computationally convenient nonlinear shrinkage estimator for the integrated covariance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-22 Cheng Liu , Ningning Xia , Jun Yu

In this paper, new results in random matrix theory are derived which allow us to construct a shrinkage estimator of the global minimum variance (GMV) portfolio when the shrinkage target is a random object. More specifically, the shrinkage…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-19 Taras Bodnar , Nestor Parolya , Erik Thorsen

Principal component analysis (PCA) is one of the most commonly used statistical procedures with a wide range of applications. Consider the points $X_1, X_2,..., X_n$ are vectors drawn i.i.d. from a distribution with mean zero and covariance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-24 Jiangning Chen

The use of improved covariance matrix estimators as an alternative to the sample estimator is considered an important approach for enhancing portfolio optimization. Here we empirically compare the performance of 9 improved covariance…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-04-27 Ester Pantaleo , Michele Tumminello , Fabrizio Lillo , Rosario N. Mantegna

We consider the problem of optimizing a portfolio of financial assets, where the number of assets can be much larger than the number of observations. The optimal portfolio weights require estimating the inverse covariance matrix of excess…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-29 Anik Burman , Sayantan Banerjee

Linear shrinkage estimators of a covariance matrix --- defined by a weighted average of the sample covariance matrix and a pre-specified shrinkage target matrix --- are popular when analysing high-throughput molecular data. However, their…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-24 Harry Gray , Gwenaël G. R. Leday , Catalina A. Vallejos , Sylvia Richardson

We study the problem of estimating the leading eigenvectors of a high-dimensional population covariance matrix based on independent Gaussian observations. We establish lower bounds on the rates of convergence of the estimators of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-07 Debashis Paul , Iain M. Johnstone

This paper is concerned with optimizing the global minimum-variance portfolio's (GMVP) weights in high-dimensional settings where both observation and population dimensions grow at a bounded ratio. Optimizing the GMVP weights is highly…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-13 Maaz Mahadi , Tarig Ballal , Muhammad Moinuddin , Tareq Y. Al-Naffouri , Ubaid Al-Saggaf

Estimating a covariance matrix is an important task in applications where the number of variables is larger than the number of observations. Shrinkage approaches for estimating a high-dimensional covariance matrix are often employed to…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-18 Anestis Touloumis

In this study, we construct two tests for the weights of the global minimum variance portfolio (GMVP) in a high-dimensional setting, namely, when the number of assets $p$ depends on the sample size $n$ such that $\frac{p}{n}\to c \in (0,1)$…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-19 Taras Bodnar , Solomiia Dmytriv , Nestor Parolya , Wolfgang Schmid

In high-dimensional data settings where $p\gg n$, many penalized regularization approaches were studied for simultaneous variable selection and estimation. However, with the existence of covariates with weak effect, many existing variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-24 Xiaoli Gao , S. E. Ahmed , Yang Feng

This paper considers the estimation and inference of the low-rank components in high-dimensional matrix-variate factor models, where each dimension of the matrix-variates ($p \times q$) is comparable to or greater than the number of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-20 Elynn Y. Chen , Jianqing Fan

This paper focuses on investigating Stein's invariant shrinkage estimators for large sample covariance matrices and precision matrices in high-dimensional settings. We consider models that have nearly arbitrary population covariance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-24 Xiucai Ding , Yun Li , Fan Yang

The global minimum-variance portfolio is a typical choice for investors because of its simplicity and broad applicability. Although it requires only one input, namely the covariance matrix of asset returns, estimating the optimal solution…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-08 Sven Husmann , Antoniya Shivarova , Rick Steinert

We study estimation of the covariance matrix under relative condition number loss $\kappa(\Sigma^{-1/2} \hat{\Sigma} \Sigma^{-1/2})$, where $\kappa(\Delta)$ is the condition number of matrix $\Delta$, and $\hat{\Sigma}$ and $\Sigma$ are the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-18 David L. Donoho , Behrooz Ghorbani

We propose a model to forecast large realized covariance matrices of returns, applying it to the constituents of the S\&P 500 daily. To address the curse of dimensionality, we decompose the return covariance matrix using standard firm-level…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-29 Rafael Alves , Diego S. de Brito , Marcelo C. Medeiros , Ruy M. Ribeiro

Considering the shortcomings of the traditional sample covariance matrix estimation, this paper proposes an improved global minimum variance portfolio model and named spectral corrected and regularized global minimum variance portfolio…

Applications · Statistics 2023-08-30 Hua Li , Jiafu Huang

Recently, in the context of covariance matrix estimation, in order to improve as well as to regularize the performance of the Tyler's estimator [1] also called the Fixed-Point Estimator (FPE) [2], a "shrinkage" fixed-point estimator has…

Applications · Statistics 2015-06-18 Frederic Pascal , Yacine Chitour , Yihui Quek

We propose a distributionally robust formulation for simultaneously estimating the covariance matrix and the precision matrix of a random vector.The proposed model minimizes the worst-case weighted sum of the Frobenius loss of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-19 Renjie Chen , Viet Anh Nguyen , Huifu Xu

This paper introduces a simple principle for robust high-dimensional statistical inference via an appropriate shrinkage on the data. This widens the scope of high-dimensional techniques, reducing the moment conditions from sub-exponential…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-08 Jianqing Fan , Weichen Wang , Ziwei Zhu