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This work establishes a novel link between the problem of PAC-learning high-dimensional graphical models and the task of (efficient) counting and sampling of graph structures, using an online learning framework. We observe that if we apply…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-14 Arnab Bhattacharyya , Sutanu Gayen , Philips George John , Sayantan Sen , N. V. Vinodchandran

Posterior sampling is a task of central importance in Bayesian inference. For many applications in Bayesian meta-analysis and Bayesian transfer learning, the prior distribution is unknown and needs to be estimated from samples. In practice,…

Computation · Statistics 2024-08-06 Chenyang Zhong , Shouxuan Ji , Tian Zheng

We develop optimal algorithms for learning undirected Gaussian trees and directed Gaussian polytrees from data. We consider both problems of distribution learning (i.e. in KL distance) and structure learning (i.e. exact recovery). The first…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-12 Yuhao Wang , Ming Gao , Wai Ming Tai , Bryon Aragam , Arnab Bhattacharyya

In many domains, we are interested in analyzing the structure of the underlying distribution, e.g., whether one variable is a direct parent of the other. Bayesian model-selection attempts to find the MAP model and use its structure to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Nir Friedman , Daphne Koller

This paper brings explicit considerations of distributed computing architectures and data structures into the rigorous design of Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods. A theoretical result established recently by the authors shows that…

Computation · Statistics 2014-06-24 Anthony Lee , Nick Whiteley

Recently, adaptive graph convolutional network based traffic prediction methods, learning a latent graph structure from traffic data via various attention-based mechanisms, have achieved impressive performance. However, they are still…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-02 Jun Fu , Wei Zhou , Zhibo Chen

Decision trees are commonly used predictive models due to their flexibility and interpretability. This paper is directed at quantifying the uncertainty of decision tree predictions by employing a Bayesian inference approach. This is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-28 Jodie A. Cochrane , Adrian Wills , Sarah J. Johnson

In the modern age of social media and networks, graph representations of real-world phenomena have become an incredibly useful source to mine insights. Often, we are interested in understanding how entities in a graph are interconnected.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-16 Aneesh Komanduri , Justin Zhan

Bayesian Neural Networks(BNNs) with high-dimensional parameters pose a challenge for posterior inference due to the multi-modality of the posterior distributions. Stochastic Gradient MCMC(SGMCMC) with cyclical learning rate scheduling is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-20 SeungHyun Kim , Seohyeon Jung , Seonghyeon Kim , Juho Lee

Deep learning models, such as convolutional neural networks, have long been applied to image and multi-media tasks, particularly those with structured data. More recently, there has been more attention to unstructured data that can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-17 Rohitash Chandra , Ayush Bhagat , Manavendra Maharana , Pavel N. Krivitsky

We consider the problem of estimating a sparse precision matrix of a multivariate Gaussian distribution, including the case where the dimension $p$ is large. Gaussian graphical models provide an important tool in describing conditional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-08 Sayantan Banerjee , Subhashis Ghosal

The graph structure of a Bayesian network (BN) can be learned from data using the well-known score-and-search approach. Previous work has shown that incorporating structured representations of the conditional probability distributions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Charupriya Sharma , Peter van Beek

Determining subgroups that respond especially well (or poorly) to specific interventions (medical or policy) requires new supervised learning methods tailored specifically for causal inference. Bayesian Causal Forest (BCF) is a recent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-16 Nikolay Krantsevich , Jingyu He , P. Richard Hahn

In the field of decision trees, most previous studies have difficulty ensuring the statistical optimality of a prediction of new data and suffer from overfitting because trees are usually used only to represent prediction functions to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-13 Yuta Nakahara , Shota Saito , Naoki Ichijo , Koki Kazama , Toshiyasu Matsushima

Bayesian Decision Trees are known for their probabilistic interpretability. However, their construction can sometimes be costly. In this article we present a general Bayesian Decision Tree algorithm applicable to both regression and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-23 Giuseppe Nuti , Lluís Antoni Jiménez Rugama , Andreea-Ingrid Cross

Acyclic digraphs are the underlying representation of Bayesian networks, a widely used class of probabilistic graphical models. Learning the underlying graph from data is a way of gaining insights about the structural properties of a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-06 Jack Kuipers , Giusi Moffa

Bayesian phylogenetics typically estimates a posterior distribution, or aspects thereof, using Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. These methods integrate over tree space by applying local rearrangements to move a tree through its space as a…

Bayesian networks are probabilistic graphical models widely employed to understand dependencies in high dimensional data, and even to facilitate causal discovery. Learning the underlying network structure, which is encoded as a directed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-03 Jack Kuipers , Polina Suter , Giusi Moffa

D. Wilson~\cite{[Wi]} in the 1990's described a simple and efficient algorithm based on loop-erased random walks to sample uniform spanning trees and more generally weighted trees or forests spanning a given graph. This algorithm provides a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-29 L. Avena , F. Castell , A. Gaudilliere , C. Melot

We study the problem of learning a tree Ising model from samples such that subsequent predictions made using the model are accurate. The prediction task considered in this paper is that of predicting the values of a subset of variables…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-15 Guy Bresler , Mina Karzand