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Multivariate time series forecasting is widely applied in fields such as transportation, energy, and finance. However, the data commonly suffers from issues of multi-scale characteristics, weak correlations, and noise interference, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Xiang Ao

Continuous-time state-space models (SSMs) are flexible tools for analysing irregularly sampled sequential observations that are driven by an underlying state process. Corresponding applications typically involve restrictive assumptions…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-29 Sina Mews , Roland Langrock , Marius Ötting , Houda Yaqine , Jost Reinecke

In many applications, survey data are collected from different survey centers in different regions. It happens that in some circumstances, response variables are completely observed while the covariates have missing values. In this paper,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-07 Zhihua Ma , Guanyu Hu , Ming-Hui Chen

Detecting anomalies in multivariate time series(MTS) data plays an important role in many domains. The abnormal values could indicate events, medical abnormalities,cyber-attacks, or faulty devices which if left undetected could lead to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Usman Anjum , Samuel Lin , Justin Zhan

We study detection methods for multivariable signals under dependent noise. The main focus is on three-dimensional signals, i.e. on signals in the space-time domain. Examples for such signals are multifaceted. They include geographic and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-20 Annabel Prause , Ansgar Steland

With the recent advancements of data driven approaches using deep neural networks, music source separation has been formulated as an instrument-specific supervised problem. While existing deep learning models implicitly absorb the spatial…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-16 Darius Petermann , Minje Kim

Due to the increasing recording capability, functional data analysis has become an important research topic. For functional data the study of outlier detection and/or the development of robust statistical procedures has started recently.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-13 Graciela Boente , Daniela Rodriguez , Mariela Sued

Latent space models (LSMs) are often used to analyze dynamic (time-varying) networks that evolve in continuous time. Existing approaches to Bayesian inference for these models rely on Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms, which cannot handle…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-19 Joshua Daniel Loyal

In many real-world scenarios, distribution shifts exist in the streaming data across time steps. Many complex sequential data can be effectively divided into distinct regimes that exhibit persistent dynamics. Discovering the shifted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-07 Weijieying Ren , Tianxiang Zhao , Wei Qin , Kunpeng Liu

Multivariate data sources with components of different information value seem to appear frequently in practice. Models in which the components change their homogeneity at different times are of significant importance. The fact whether any…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-04 Krzysztof Szajowski

Singular spectrum analysis (SSA) as a nonparametric tool for decomposition of an observed time series into sum of interpretable components such as trend, oscillations and noise is considered. The separability of these series components by…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-25 Nina Golyandina , Alex Shlemov

Statistical dependence between hypotheses poses a significant challenge to the stability of large scale multiple hypotheses testing. Ignoring it often results in an unacceptably large spread in the false positive proportion even though the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-15 Sairam Rayaprolu , Zhiyi Chi

A variational inference-based framework for training a multi-output Gaussian process latent variable model, specifically tailored to the tails-up spatio-temporal stream network, is developed. Training, given a censored observational data…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-21 Marno Basson , Tobias M. Louw , Theresa R. Smith

Both the current trends in technology such as smartphones, general mobile devices, stationary sensors, and satellites as well as a new user mentality of using this technology to voluntarily share enriched location information produces a…

Databases · Computer Science 2020-09-03 Andreas Zuefle

Blind source separation is one of the major analysis tool to extract relevant information from multichannel data. While being central, joint deconvolution and blind source separation (DBSS) methods are scarce. To that purpose, a DBSS…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-09 R. Carloni Gertosio , J. Bobin

We develop the methodology and a detailed case study in use of a class of Bayesian predictive synthesis (BPS) models for multivariate time series forecasting. This extends the recently introduced foundational framework of BPS to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Kenichiro McAlinn , Knut Are Aastveit , Jouchi Nakajima , Mike West

Bayesian Positive Source Separation (BPSS) is a useful unsupervised approach for hyperspectral data unmixing, where numerical non-negativity of spectra and abundances has to be ensured, such in remote sensing. Moreover, it is sensible to…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2010-12-17 Frederic Schmidt , Albrecht Schmidt , Erwan Treguier , Mael Guiheneuf , Said Moussaoui , Nicolas Dobigeon

We investigate spatial confounding in the presence of multivariate disease dependence. In the "analysis model perspective" of spatial confounding, adding a spatially dependent random effect can lead to significant variance inflation of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-13 Kyle Lin Wu , Sudipto Banerjee

We propose a new blind source separation algorithm based on mixtures of alpha-stable distributions. Complex symmetric alpha-stable distributions have been recently showed to better model audio signals in the time-frequency domain than…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-13 Nicolas Keriven , Antoine Deleforge , Antoine Liutkus

Multivariate Time Series (MTS) forecasting plays a vital role in a wide range of applications. Recently, Spatial-Temporal Graph Neural Networks (STGNNs) have become increasingly popular MTS forecasting methods due to their state-of-the-art…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-22 Zezhi Shao , Zhao Zhang , Fei Wang , Wei Wei , Yongjun Xu
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