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Subsampling and block-based bootstrap methods have been used in a wide range of inference problems for time series. To accommodate the dependence, these resampling methods involve a bandwidth parameter, such as subsampling window width and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-04-05 Xiaofeng Shao , Dimitris N. Politis

There are two notoriously hard problems in cluster analysis, estimating the number of clusters, and checking whether the population to be clustered is not actually homogeneous. Given a dataset, a clustering method and a cluster validation…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-10 Christian Hennig , Chien-Ju Lin

This paper considers the instrumental variable quantile regression model (Chernozhukov and Hansen, 2005, 2013) with a binary endogenous treatment. It offers two identification results when the treatment status is not directly observed. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-24 Takuya Ura

Heavy-tailed errors impair the accuracy of the least squares estimate, which can be spoiled by a single grossly outlying observation. As argued in the seminal work of Peter Huber in 1973 [{\it Ann. Statist.} {\bf 1} (1973) 799--821], robust…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-16 Wen-Xin Zhou , Koushiki Bose , Jianqing Fan , Han Liu

We provide a new flexible framework for inference with the instrumental variable model. Rather than using linear specifications, functions characterizing the effects of instruments and other explanatory variables are estimated using machine…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-03 Robert E. McCulloch , Rodney A. Sparapani , Brent R. Logan , Purushottam W. Laud

We consider the performance of the bootstrap in high-dimensions for the setting of linear regression, where $p<n$ but $p/n$ is not close to zero. We consider ordinary least-squares as well as robust regression methods and adopt a minimalist…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-03 Noureddine El Karoui , Elizabeth Purdom

This paper provides an entire inference procedure for the autoregressive model under (conditional) heteroscedasticity of unknown form with a finite variance. We first establish the asymptotic normality of the weighted least absolute…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-10 Ke Zhu

This paper introduces a class of jackknife-based test statistics for linear regression models with endogeneity and heteroskedasticity in the presence of many potentially weak instrumental variables. The tests may be used when considering…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-20 Federico Crudu , Giovanni Mellace , Zsolt Sándor

Mendelian randomization (MR) considers using genetic variants as instrumental variables (IVs) to infer causal effects in observational studies. However, the validity of causal inference in MR can be compromised when the IVs are potentially…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-06 Ziya Xu , Sai Li

Causal inference studies whether the presence of a variable influences an observed outcome. As measured by quantities such as the "average treatment effect," this paradigm is employed across numerous biological fields, from vaccine and drug…

The bootstrap is a popular and convenient method for quantifying the authority of an empirical ordering of attributes, for example of a ranking of the performance of institutions or of the influence of genes on a response variable. In the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-20 Peter Hall , Hugh Miller

The bootstrap is a popular data-driven method to quantify statistical uncertainty, but for modern high-dimensional problems, it could suffer from huge computational costs due to the need to repeatedly generate resamples and refit models. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-21 Henry Lam , Zhenyuan Liu

In many modern statistical problems, the limited available data must be used both to develop the hypotheses to test, and to test these hypotheses-that is, both for exploratory and confirmatory data analysis. Reusing the same dataset for…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-24 Youngjoo Yun , Rina Foygel Barber

We develop a new permutation test for inference on a subvector of coefficients in linear models. The test is exact when the regressors and the error terms are independent. Then, we show that the test is asymptotically of correct level,…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-13 Xavier D'Haultfœuille , Purevdorj Tuvaandorj

Inference methods for computing confidence intervals in parametric settings usually rely on consistent estimators of the parameter of interest. However, it may be computationally and/or analytically burdensome to obtain such estimators in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-20 Samuel Orso , Mucyo Karemera , Maria-Pia Victoria-Feser , Stéphane Guerrier

Data-driven risk analysis involves the inference of probability distributions from measured or simulated data. In the case of a highly reliable system, such as the electricity grid, the amount of relevant data is often exceedingly limited,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-11 Simon H. Tindemans , Goran Strbac

Standard statistical methods that do not take proper account of the complexity of survey design can lead to erroneous inferences when applied to survey data due to unequal selection probabilities, clustering, and other design features. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-04 Jae-kwang Kim , J. N. K. Rao , Zhonglei Wang

Cross-validation is a widely used technique for evaluating the performance of prediction models, ranging from simple binary classification to complex precision medicine strategies. It helps correct for optimism bias in error estimates,…

Drawing statistical inferences from large datasets in a model-robust way is an important problem in statistics and data science. In this paper, we propose methods that are robust to large and unequal noise in different observational units…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-10 Edgar Dobriban , Weijie J. Su , Yachong Yang , Zhixiang Zhang

The classical tests in the instrumental variable model can behave arbitrarily if the data is contaminated. For instance, one outlying observation can be enough to change the outcome of a test. We develop a framework to construct testing…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-03-26 Jens Klooster , Mikhail Zhelonkin