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The analysis of adverse events (AEs) is a key component in the assessment of a drug's safety profile. Inappropriate analysis methods may result in misleading conclusions about a therapy's safety and consequently its benefit-risk ratio. The…

We consider the problem of estimating the average treatment effect (ATE) in a semi-supervised learning setting, where a very small proportion of the entire set of observations are labeled with the true outcome but features predictive of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-27 David Cheng , Ashwin Ananthakrishnan , Tianxi Cai

We consider the problem of estimating the effects of a binary treatment on a continuous outcome of interest from observational data in the absence of confounding by unmeasured factors. We provide a new estimator of the population average…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-04 James Robins , Mariela Sued , Quanhong Lei-Gomez , Andrea Rotnitzky

Epidemiologists and applied statisticians often believe that relative effect measures conditional on covariates, such as risk ratios and mean ratios, are ``transportable'' across populations. Here, we examine the identification of causal…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-24 Issa J. Dahabreh , Sarah E. Robertson , Jon A. Steingrimsson

The hazard ratio, typically estimated using Cox's famous proportional hazards model, is the most common effect measure used to describe the association or effect of a covariate on a time-to-event outcome. In recent years the hazard ratio…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-15 Jonathan W. Bartlett , Dominic Magirr , Tim P. Morris

A very classical problem in statistics is to test the stochastic superiority of one distribution to another. However, many existing approaches are developed for independent samples and, moreover, do not take censored data into account. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-19 Dennis Dobler , Kathrin Möllenhoff

We consider the conditional treatment effect for competing risks data in observational studies. While it is described as a constant difference between the hazard functions given the covariates, we do not assume specific functional forms for…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-28 Denise Rava , Ronghui Xu

Mid-study design modifications are becoming increasingly accepted in confirmatory clinical trials, so long as appropriate methods are applied such that error rates are controlled. It is therefore unfortunate that the important case of…

Applications · Statistics 2014-05-08 Dominic Magirr , Thomas Jaki , Franz Koenig , Martin Posch

We define the notions of absolute average and median treatment effects as causal estimands on general metric spaces such as Riemannian manifolds, propose estimators using stratification, and prove several properties, including strong…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-08 Ha-Young Shin , Kyusoon Kim , Kwonsang Lee , Hee-Seok Oh

For ordinal outcomes, the average treatment effect is often ill-defined and hard to interpret. Echoing Agresti and Kateri (2017), we argue that the relative treatment effect can be a useful measure especially for ordinal outcomes, which is…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-06 Jiannan Lu , Yunshu Zhang , Peng Ding

In epidemiological cohort studies, the relative risk (also known as risk ratio) is a major measure of association to summarize the results of two treatments or exposures. Generally, it measures the relative change in disease risk as a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-05 Gopal Nath , Krishna K. Saha , Suojin Wang

In clinical and epidemiological studies, hazard ratios are often applied to compare treatment effects between two groups for survival data. For competing risks data, the corresponding quantities of interest are cause-specific hazard ratios…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-21 Hongji Wu , Hao Yuan , Zijing Yang , Yawen Hou , Zheng Chen

Survivorship analysis allows to statistically analyze situations that can be modeled as waiting times to an event. These waiting times are characterized by the cumulative hazard rate, which can be estimated by the Nelson-Aalen estimator or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-04 Niklas Hohmann

The failure of a system can result from the simultaneous effects of multiple causes, where assigning a specific cause may be inappropriate or unavailable. Examples include contributing causes of death in epidemiology and the aetiology of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-13 Kai Wang , Yuqin Mu , Shenyi Zhang , Zhengjun Zhang , Chengxiu Ling

Competing risks data are common in medical studies, and the sub-distribution hazard (SDH) ratio is considered an appropriate measure. However, because the limitations of hazard itself are not easy to interpret clinically and because the SDH…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-19 Jingjing Lyu , Yawen Hou , Zheng Chen

Safety analyses in terms of adverse events (AEs) are an important aspect of benefit-risk assessments of therapies. Compared to efficacy analyses AE analyses are often rather simplistic. The probability of an AE of a specific type is…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-20 Regina Stegherr , Claudia Schmoor , Michael Lübbert , Tim Friede , Jan Beyersmann

Survival time is the primary endpoint of many randomized controlled trials, and a treatment effect is typically quantified by the hazard ratio under the assumption of proportional hazards. Awareness is increasing that in many settings this…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-04 Robin Ristl , Heiko Götte , Armin Schüler , Martin Posch , Franz König

Competing risk is a common phenomenon when dealing with time-to-event outcomes in biostatistical applications. An attractive estimand in this setting is the "number of life-years lost due to a specific cause of death", Andersen et al.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Simon Christoffer Ziersen , Torben Martinussen

An emerging challenge for time-to-event data is studying semi-competing risks, namely when two event times are of interest: a non-terminal event time (e.g. age at disease diagnosis), and a terminal event time (e.g. age at death). The…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-12 Daniel Nevo , Malka Gorfine

When estimating treatment effects, the golden standard is to conduct a randomized experiment and then contrast outcomes associated with the treatment group and the control group. However, in many cases, randomized experiments are either…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-08 Kevin Han