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Large-scale datasets are increasingly being used to inform decision making. While this effort aims to ground policy in real-world evidence, challenges have arisen as selection bias and other forms of distribution shifts often plague…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-07 Santiago Cortes-Gomez , Mateo Dulce , Carlos Patino , Bryan Wilder

This paper examines the identification and estimation of treatment effects in staggered adoption designs -- a common extension of the canonical Difference-in-Differences (DiD) model to multiple groups and time-periods -- in the presence of…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-24 Clara Augustin , Daniel Gutknecht , Cenchen Liu

Clinical decision support tools (DST) promise improved healthcare outcomes by offering data-driven insights. While effective in lab settings, almost all DSTs have failed in practice. Empirical research diagnosed poor contextual fit as the…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2019-04-23 Qian Yang , Aaron Steinfeld , John Zimmerman

Spuriousness arises when there is an association between two or more variables in a dataset that are not causally related. In this work, we propose an explainability framework to preemptively disentangle the nature of such spurious…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Barproda Halder , Faisal Hamman , Pasan Dissanayake , Qiuyi Zhang , Ilia Sucholutsky , Sanghamitra Dutta

Model transparency is a prerequisite in many domains and an increasingly popular area in machine learning research. In the medical domain, for instance, unveiling the mechanisms behind a disease often has higher priority than the diagnostic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-23 João Pereira , Erik S. G. Stroes , Aeilko H. Zwinderman , Evgeni Levin

Societal biases in the usage of words, including harmful stereotypes, are frequently learned by common word embedding methods. These biases manifest not only between a word and an explicit marker of its stereotype, but also between words…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-05-25 Erin George , Joyce Chew , Deanna Needell

Machine learning predictions are increasingly used to supplement incomplete or costly-to-measure outcomes in fields such as biomedical research, environmental science, and social science. However, treating predictions as ground truth…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-29 Yilin Song , Dan M. Kluger , Harsh Parikh , Tian Gu

In repeated Measure Designs with multiple groups, the primary purpose is to compare different groups in various aspects. For several reasons, the number of measurements and therefore the dimension of the observation vectors can depend on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-20 Paavo Sattler , Markus Pauly

Most Bayesian response-adaptive designs unbalance randomization rates towards the most promising arms with the goal of increasing the number of positive treatment outcomes during the study, even though the primary aim of the trial is…

Applications · Statistics 2018-07-02 Steffen Ventz , Matteo Cellamare , Sergio Bacallado , Lorenzo Trippa

The debiased estimator is a crucial tool in statistical inference for high-dimensional model parameters. However, constructing such an estimator involves estimating the high-dimensional inverse Hessian matrix, incurring significant…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-18 Jiyuan Tu , Weidong Liu , Xiaojun Mao , Mingyue Xu

We present a novel approach for training deep neural networks in a Bayesian way. Classical, i.e. non-Bayesian, deep learning has two major drawbacks both originating from the fact that network parameters are considered to be deterministic.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-11 Konstantin Posch , Jan Steinbrener , Jürgen Pilz

It is common to conduct causal inference in matched observational studies by proceeding as though treatment assignments within matched sets are assigned uniformly at random and using this distribution as the basis for inference. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-14 Samuel D. Pimentel , Yaxuan Huang

We propose a pointwise inference algorithm for high-dimensional linear models with time-varying coefficients. The method is based on a novel combination of the nonparametric kernel smoothing technique and a Lasso bias-corrected ridge…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-17 Xiaohui Chen , Yifeng He

A central challenge in any study of the effects of beliefs on outcomes, such as decisions and behavior, is the risk of omitted variables bias. Omitted variables, frequently unmeasured or even unknown, can induce correlations between beliefs…

General Economics · Economics 2025-08-05 Raanan Sulitzeanu-Kenan , Micha Mandel , Yosef Rinott

Identifying unfamiliar inputs, also known as out-of-distribution (OOD) detection, is a crucial property of any decision making process. A simple and empirically validated technique is based on deep ensembles where the variance of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-19 Seijin Kobayashi , Pau Vilimelis Aceituno , Johannes von Oswald

Image set recognition has been widely applied in many practical problems like real-time video retrieval and image caption tasks. Due to its superior performance, it has grown into a significant topic in recent years. However, images with…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Chuan-Xian Ren , You-Wei Luo , Xiao-Lin Xu , Dao-Qing Dai , Hong Yan

A fundamental approach in neuroscience research is to test hypotheses based on neuropsychological and behavioral measures, i.e., whether certain factors (e.g., related to life events) are associated with an outcome (e.g., depression). In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-01 Magdalini Paschali , Qingyu Zhao , Ehsan Adeli , Kilian M. Pohl

Diffusion models are the mainstream approach for time series generation tasks. However, existing diffusion models for time series generation require retraining the entire framework to introduce specific conditional guidance. There also…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-25 Mingchun Sun , Rongqiang Zhao , Hengrui Hu , Songyu Ding , Jie Liu

Difference-in-differences is undoubtedly one of the most widely used methods for evaluating the causal effect of an intervention in observational (i.e., nonrandomized) settings. The approach is typically used when pre- and post-exposure…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-21 Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen , Chan Park , David Richardson

Multiple measures, such as WEAT or MAC, attempt to quantify the magnitude of bias present in word embeddings in terms of a single-number metric. However, such metrics and the related statistical significance calculations rely on treating…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-06-16 Alicja Dobrzeniecka , Rafal Urbaniak