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This paper proposes a polynomial-time algorithm to construct the monotone stepwise curve that minimizes the sum of squared errors with respect to a given cloud of data points. The fitted curve is also constrained on the maximum number of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-01 Víctor Bucarey , Martine Labbé , Juan M. Morales , Salvador Pineda

We present an efficient and validated method for approximating the stationary measures of random dynamical systems with smooth additive noise. The approach leverages the strong regularizing properties of the associated transfer operator…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Stefano Galatolo , Charles Lopez Vereau , Luigi Marangio , Isaia Nisoli

Modeling the temporal behavior of data is of primordial importance in many scientific and engineering fields. Baseline methods assume that both the dynamic and observation equations follow linear-Gaussian models. However, there are many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-03 Xavier Alameda-Pineda , Vincent Drouard , Radu Horaud

We consider the problem of estimating the asymptotic variance of a function defined on a Markov chain, an important step for statistical inference of the stationary mean. We design a novel recursive estimator that requires $O(1)$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-24 Shubhada Agrawal , Prashanth L. A. , Siva Theja Maguluri

Second order stochastic optimization methods, such as the linear method, couple the updates of different parameters and, in so doing, allow statistical uncertainty in one parameter to affect the update of other parameters. In simple tests,…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-08-26 Trine Kay Quady , Eric Neuscamman

Compound Poisson distributions have been employed by many authors to fit experimental data, typically via the method of moments or maximum likelihood estimation. We propose a new technique and apply it to several sets of published data. It…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 S. R. Mane

Exponential family extensions of principal component analysis (EPCA) have received a considerable amount of attention in recent years, demonstrating the growing need for basic modeling tools that do not assume the squared loss or Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-03-19 Arto Klami , Seppo Virtanen , Samuel Kaski

We consider Bayesian analysis of a class of multiple changepoint models. While there are a variety of efficient ways to analyse these models if the parameters associated with each segment are independent, there are few general approaches…

Computation · Statistics 2009-10-19 Paul Fearnhead , Zhen Liu

In this paper, we study the problem of computing a Principal Component Analysis of data affected by Poisson noise. We assume samples are drawn from independent Poisson distributions. We want to estimate principle components of a fixed…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-25 Toby Kenney , Tianshu Huang , Hong Gu

For continuous-time linear stochastic dynamical systems driven by Wiener processes, we consider the problem of designing ensemble filters when the observation process is randomly time-sampled. We propose a continuous-discrete McKean--Vlasov…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Aneel Tanwani , Olga Yufereva

Gaussian mixture models (GMMs) are ubiquitous in statistical learning, particularly for unsupervised problems. While full GMMs suffer from the overparameterization of their covariance matrices in high-dimensional spaces, spherical GMMs…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-10 Tom Szwagier , Pierre-Alexandre Mattei , Charles Bouveyron , Xavier Pennec

In this paper, we prove that a class of autonomous piecewise continuous systems of fractional order has well-defined Lyapunov exponents. For this purpose, based on some known results from differential inclusions of integer and fractional…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2014-08-26 Marius-F. Danca

In this paper, we study the estimation of partially linear models for spatial data distributed over complex domains. We use bivariate splines over triangulations to represent the nonparametric component on an irregular two-dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-03 Li Wang , Guannan Wang , Min-Jun Lai , Lei Gao

This paper discusses the problem of adaptive estimation of a univariate object like the value of a regression function at a given point or a linear functional in a linear inverse problem. We consider an adaptive procedure originated from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-26 Vladimir Spokoiny , Céline Vial

We consider a 1D periodic atomistic model, for which we formulate and analyze an adaptive variant of a quasicontinuum method. We establish a posteriori error estimates for the energy norm and for the energy, based on a posteriori residual…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-02-15 Christoph Ortner , Hao Wang

Identifying and characterizing relationships between treatments, exposures, or other covariates and time-to-event outcomes has great significance in a wide range of biomedical settings. In research areas such as multi-center clinical…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-02 Hillary M. Heiling , Naim U. Rashid , Quefeng Li , Xianlu L. Peng , Jen Jen Yeh

We introduce the problem of estimation of the parameters of a dynamically selected population in an infinite sequence of random variables and provide its application in the statistical inference based on record values from a non-stationary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-01 Morteza Amini , Nader Nematollahi

Given $iid$ observations from an unknown absolute continuous distribution defined on some domain $\Omega$, we propose a nonparametric method to learn a piecewise constant function to approximate the underlying probability density function.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-13 Dangna Li , Kun Yang , Wing Hung Wong

The problem of estimating a random vector x from noisy linear measurements y = A x + w with unknown parameters on the distributions of x and w, which must also be learned, arises in a wide range of statistical learning and linear inverse…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-06-20 Alyson K. Fletcher , Mojtaba Sahraee-Ardakan , Philip Schniter , Sundeep Rangan

In this paper, we consider the Group Lasso estimator of the covariance matrix of a stochastic process corrupted by an additive noise. We propose to estimate the covariance matrix in a high-dimensional setting under the assumption that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-10-26 Jérémie Bigot , Rolando Biscay , Jean-Michel Loubes , Lilian Muniz Alvarez
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