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We study discrete random fields $\{X_t: t\in \mathbb{Z}^d\}$ parameterized on the $d$-dimensional integer lattice $\mathbb{Z}^d$. For a fixed threshold $u$, the excursion set $\{t \in \mathbb{Z}^d : X_t > u\}$ decomposes into connected…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-22 Dan Cheng , John Ginos

Extrapolation methods use the last few iterates of an optimization algorithm to produce a better estimate of the optimum. They were shown to achieve optimal convergence rates in a deterministic setting using simple gradient iterates. Here,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-08-04 Damien Scieur , Alexandre d'Aspremont , Francis Bach

We study the level-set percolation of the Gaussian free field on Z^d, d bigger or equal to 3. We consider a level alpha such that the excursion-set of the Gaussian free field above alpha percolates. We derive large deviation estimates on…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-30 Alain-Sol Sznitman

Current statistics literature on statistical inference of random fields typically assumes that the fields are stationary or focuses on models of non-stationary Gaussian fields with parametric/semiparametric covariance families, which may…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-04 Yunyi Zhang , Zhou Zhou

We develop a novel computational method for evaluating the extreme excursion probabilities arising for random initialization of nonlinear dynamical systems. The method uses a Markov chain Monte Carlo or a Laplace approximation approach to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-02-03 Vishwas Rao , Mihai Anitescu

The excursion set approach uses the statistics of the density field smoothed on a wide range of scales, to gain insight into a number of interesting processes in nonlinear structure formation, such as cluster assembly, merging and…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2014-10-13 Marcello Musso , Ravi K. Sheth

This paper presents a new approach to the estimation of the deformation of an isotropic Gaussian random field on $\mathbb{R}^2$ based on dense observations of a single realization of the deformed random field. Under this framework we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Ethan B. Anderes , Michael L. Stein

Smooth random Gaussian functions play an important role in mathematical physics, a main example being the random plane wave model conjectured by Berry to give a universal description of high-energy eigenfunctions of the Laplacian on generic…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-19 Dmitry Beliaev , Stephen Muirhead

Consider a centered smooth Gaussian random field $\{X(t), t\in T \}$ with a general (nonconstant) variance function. In this work, we demonstrate that as $u \to \infty$, the excursion probability $\mathbb{P}\{\sup_{t\in T} X(t) \geq u\}$…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-12 Dan Cheng

Insight into a number of interesting questions in cosmology can be obtained from the first crossing distributions of physically motivated barriers by random walks with correlated steps. We write the first crossing distribution as a formal…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2014-07-09 Marcello Musso , Ravi K. Sheth

We present a method, based on the correlation function of excursion sets above a given threshold, to test the Gaussianity of the CMB temperature fluctuations in the sky. In particular, this method can be applied to discriminate between…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-30 R. B. Barreiro , J. L. Sanz , E. Martinez-Gonzalez , J. Silk

We establish a central limit theorem and an invariance principle for stationary random fields, with projective-type conditions. Our result is obtained via an m-dependent approximation method. As applications, we establish invariance…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-12 Yizao Wang , Michael Woodroofe

This paper introduces stationary and multi-self-similar random fields which account for stochastic volatility and have type G marginal law. The stationary random fields are constructed using volatility modulated mixed moving average fields…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-13 Almut E. D. Veraart

Recently, Hammond and Sheffield introduced a model of correlated random walks that scale to fractional Brownian motions with long-range dependence. In this paper, we consider a natural generalization of this model to dimension $d\geq 2$. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-21 Hermine Biermé , Olivier Durieu , Yizao Wang

We study the complexity of sampling from the stationary distribution of a mean-field SDE, or equivalently, the complexity of minimizing a functional over the space of probability measures which includes an interaction term. Our main insight…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-08 Yunbum Kook , Matthew S. Zhang , Sinho Chewi , Murat A. Erdogdu , Mufan Bill Li

Extrapolation is defined as making predictions beyond the range of the data used to estimate a statistical model. In ecological studies, it is not always obvious when and where extrapolation occurs because of the multivariate nature of the…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-09 Meridith L Bartley , Ephraim M Hanks , Erin M Schliep , Patricia A Soranno , Tyler Wagner

The present work investigates two properties of level crossings of a stationary Gaussian process $X(t)$ with autocorrelation function $R_X(\tau)$. We show firstly that if $R_X(\tau)$ admits finite second and fourth derivatives at the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-04-01 Van Minh Nguyen

A stationary random sequence admits under some assumptions a representation as the sum of two others: one of them is a martingale difference sequence, and another is a so-called coboundary. Such a representation can be used for proving some…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-24 Mikhail Gordin

We study non-Gaussian random fields constructed by the selection normal distribution, and we term them selection Gaussian random fields. The selection Gaussian random field can capture skewness, multi-modality, and to some extend heavy…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-06 Kjartan Rimstad , Henning Omre

This work presents a new procedure for obtaining predictive distributions in the context of Gaussian process (GP) modeling, with a relaxation of the interpolation constraints outside ranges of interest: the mean of the predictive…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-13 Sébastien Petit , Julien Bect , Emmanuel Vazquez