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We consider a class of semi-Markov processes (SMP) such that the embedded discrete time Markov chain may be non-homogeneous. The corresponding augmented processes are represented as semi-martingales using stochastic integral equation…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-14 Anindya Goswami , Subhamay Saha , Ravishankar Kapildev Yadav

This note investigates core properties of martingales, emphasizing the measure-theoretic formulation of conditional expectation, the martingale transform, and the upcrossing lemma. These results lead to the Martingale Convergence Theorem,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Xiandong Zou

We show that repulsive random variables can yield Monte Carlo methods with faster convergence rates than the typical $N^{-1/2}$, where $N$ is the number of integrand evaluations. More precisely, we propose stochastic numerical quadratures…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-18 Rémi Bardenet , Adrien Hardy

Partial identification approaches are a flexible and robust alternative to standard point-identification approaches in general instrumental variable models. However, this flexibility comes at the cost of a ``curse of cardinality'': the…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-30 Florian Gunsilius

We establish a local martingale $M$ associate with $f(X,Y)$ under some restrictions on $f$, where $Y$ is a process of bounded variation (on compact intervals) and either $X$ is a jump diffusion (a special case being a L\'evy process) or $X$…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-22 Offer Kella , Marc Yor

We characterize the event of convergence of a local supermartingale. Conditions are given in terms of its predictable characteristics and quadratic variation. The notion of extended local integrability plays a key role. We then apply these…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-25 Martin Larsson , Johannes Ruf

We identify the linear space spanned by the real-valued excessive functions of a Markov process with the set of those functions which are quasimartingales when we compose them with the process. Applications to semi-Dirichlet forms are…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-07 Iulian Cîmpean , Lucian Beznea

This paper presents a model of asymmetric bifurcating autoregressive process with random coefficients. We couple this model with a Galton Watson tree to take into account possibly missing observations. We propose least-squares estimators…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-18 Benoîte de Saporta , Anne Gégout-Petit , Laurence Marsalle

We propose an extension to Hawkes processes by treating the levels of self-excitation as a stochastic differential equation. Our new point process allows better approximation in application domains where events and intensities accelerate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-09-23 Young Lee , Kar Wai Lim , Cheng Soon Ong

We study the optimization of the expected long-term reward in finite partially observable Markov decision processes over the set of stationary stochastic policies. In the case of deterministic observations, also known as state aggregation,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-18 Mareike Dressler , Marina Garrote-López , Guido Montúfar , Johannes Müller , Kemal Rose

We study time-changed Markov processes to speed up the convergence of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms. The time-changed process is defined by adjusting the speed of time of a base process via a user-chosen, state-dependent…

Computation · Statistics 2025-04-08 Andrea Bertazzi , Giorgos Vasdekis

We consider large-scale nonlinear least squares problems with sparse residuals, each of them depending on a small number of variables. A decoupling procedure which results in a splitting of the original problems into a sequence of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-12 Natasa Krejic , Greta Malaspina , Lense Swaenen

We construct a family of self-similar Markov martingales with given marginal distributions. This construction uses the self-similarity and Markov property of a reference process to produce a family of Markov processes that possess the same…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-05 Jie Yen Fan , Kais Hamza , Fima Klebaner

We develop a general approach of the almost sure central limit theorem for the quasi-continuous vectorial martingales and we release a quadratic extension of this theorem while specifying speeds of convergence. As an application of this…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-06 Faouzi Chaabane , Ahmed Kebaier

In this paper we will give a categorical proof of the Radon-Nikodym theorem. We will do this by describing the trivial version of the result on finite probability spaces as a natural isomorphism. We then proceed to Kan extend this…

Category Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-16 Ruben Van Belle

Employing the ideas of non-linear preconditioning and testing of the classical proximal point method, we formalise common arguments in convergence rate and convergence proofs of optimisation methods to the verification of a simple…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-06 Tuomo Valkonen

We provide an overview on how to use the measurable selection techniques to derive the dynamic programming principle for a general stochastic optimal control/stopping problem. By considering its martingale problem formulation on the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-03 Nicole El Karoui , Xiaolu Tan

The enlargement of filtration theory is a study of semimartingales when the basic filtration changes. This theory provides particular techniques on stochastic calculus. We present here a technique, that we call the local solution method. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-28 Shiqi Song

Variational inequalities are a universal optimization paradigm that incorporate classical minimization and saddle point problems. Nowadays more and more tasks require to consider stochastic formulations of optimization problems. In this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-17 Alexander Pichugin , Maksim Pechin , Aleksandr Beznosikov , Vasilii Novitskii , Alexander Gasnikov

Mean-field models approximate large stochastic systems by simpler differential equations that are supposed to approximate the mean of the larger system. It is generally assumed that as the stochastic systems get larger (i.e., more people or…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-01 Benjamin Armbruster
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