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We present a novel Bayesian approach to analysing multiple time-series with the aim of detecting abnormal regions. These are regions where the properties of the data change from some normal or baseline behaviour. We allow for the…

Applications · Statistics 2015-08-17 Lawrence Bardwell , Paul Fearnhead

We introduce a statistical method to detect nonlinearity and nonstationarity in time series, that works even for short sequences and in presence of noise. The method has a discrimination power similar to that of the most advanced estimators…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2010-11-16 M. De Domenico , V. Latora

Many organisations manage service quality and monitor a large set devices and servers where each entity is associated with telemetry or physical sensor data series. Recently, various methods have been proposed to detect behavioural…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-05-10 Len Feremans , Boris Cule , Bart Goethals

We introduce a novel, practically relevant variation of the anomaly detection problem in multi-variate time series: intrinsic anomaly detection. It appears in diverse practical scenarios ranging from DevOps to IoT, where we want to…

Organizations rely heavily on time series metrics to measure and model key aspects of operational and business performance. The ability to reliably detect issues with these metrics is imperative to identifying early indicators of major…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-11 Sayan Chakraborty , Smit Shah , Kiumars Soltani , Anna Swigart , Luyao Yang , Kyle Buckingham

In this paper, we present the Sub-Adjacent Transformer with a novel attention mechanism for unsupervised time series anomaly detection. Unlike previous approaches that rely on all the points within some neighborhood for time point…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-01 Wenzhen Yue , Xianghua Ying , Ruohao Guo , DongDong Chen , Ji Shi , Bowei Xing , Yuqing Zhu , Taiyan Chen

Detecting changes in high-dimensional time series is difficult because it involves the comparison of probability densities that need to be estimated from finite samples. In this paper, we present the first feature extraction method tailored…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Duncan Blythe , Paul von Bünau , Frank Meinecke , Klaus-Robert Müller

This paper develops change-point methods for the spectrum of a locally stationary time series. We focus on series with a bounded spectral density that change smoothly under the null hypothesis but exhibits change-points or becomes less…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-08 Alessandro Casini , Pierre Perron

We introduce a community detection method that finds clusters in network time-series by introducing an algorithm that finds significantly interconnected nodes across time. These connections are either increasing, decreasing, or constant…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-07 Mark He , Joseph Glasser , Shankar Bhamidi , Nikhil Kaza

A time series represents a set of observations collected over time. Typically, these observations are captured with a uniform sampling frequency (e.g. daily). When data points are observed in uneven time intervals the time series is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-03 Pedro Costa , Vitor Cerqueira , João Vinagre

In this paper, we use variational recurrent neural network to investigate the anomaly detection problem on graph time series. The temporal correlation is modeled by the combination of recurrent neural network (RNN) and variational inference…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Daniel Hsu

The unsupervised detection of anomalies in time series data has important applications in user behavioral modeling, fraud detection, and cybersecurity. Anomaly detection has, in fact, been extensively studied in categorical sequences.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-02-24 Timothy LaRock , Vahan Nanumyan , Ingo Scholtes , Giona Casiraghi , Tina Eliassi-Rad , Frank Schweitzer

Methods of estimation and forecasting for stationary models are well known in classical time series analysis. However, stationarity is an idealization which, in practice, can at best hold as an approximation, but for many time series may be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-08 Shreyan Ganguly , Peter F. Craigmile

Subsequence-based time series classification algorithms provide accurate and interpretable models, but training these models is extremely computation intensive. The asymptotic time complexity of subsequence-based algorithms remains a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-18 Atif Raza , Stefan Kramer

Discovering shapelets -- i.e., discriminative temporal patterns within time series -- has been widely studied to address the inherent complexity of time-series classification (TSC) and to make model decision-making processes more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Seongjun Lee , Seokhyun Lee , Changhee Lee

Forecasting groups of time series is of increasing practical importance, e.g. forecasting the demand for multiple products offered by a retailer or server loads within a data center. The local approach to this problem considers each time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Pablo Montero-Manso , Rob J Hyndman

We propose a new framework for the detection of change-points in online, sequential data analysis. The approach utilizes nearest neighbor information and can be applied to sequences of multivariate observations or non-Euclidean data…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-01 Hao Chen

Sociotechnological and geospatial processes exhibit time varying structure that make insight discovery challenging. To detect abnormal moments in these processes, a definition of `normal' must be established. This paper proposes a new…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-12-15 Jace Robinson , Derek Doran

Detecting anomalies in discrete event logs is critical for ensuring system reliability, security, and efficiency. Traditional window-based methods for log anomaly detection often suffer from context bias and fuzzy localization, which hinder…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Jiaxing Qi , Chang Zeng , Zhongzhi Luan , Shaohan Huang , Shu Yang , Yao Lu , Hailong Yang , Depei Qian

Unsupervised fault detection in multivariate time series plays a vital role in ensuring the stable operation of complex systems. Traditional methods often assume that normal data follow a single Gaussian distribution and identify anomalies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Hong Liu , Xiuxiu Qiu , Yiming Shi , Miao Xu , Zelin Zang , Zhen Lei