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In the following article we consider approximate Bayesian parameter inference for observation driven time series models. Such statistical models appear in a wide variety of applications, including econometrics and applied mathematics. This…

Computation · Statistics 2013-04-01 Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas , Elena Ehrlich

Recent studies show the existing clinical tests to detect Cardio/cerebrovascular diseases (CVD) are ineffectual as they do not consider different stages of platelet activation or the molecular dynamics involved in platelet interactions.…

We develop a Bayesian inference method for discretely-observed stochastic differential equations (SDEs). Inference is challenging for most SDEs, due to the analytical intractability of the likelihood function. Nevertheless, forward…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-08 Petar Jovanovski , Andrew Golightly , Umberto Picchini

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a class of algorithmic methods in Bayesian inference using statistical summaries and computer simulations. ABC has become popular in evolutionary genetics and in other branches of biology. However…

Computation · Statistics 2011-05-03 Olivier Francois , Guillaume Laval

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is commonly used for parameter estimation and model comparison for intractable simulator-based models whose likelihood function cannot be evaluated. In this paper we instead investigate the feasibility…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-13 Marko Järvenpää , Jukka Corander

Topological Data Analysis (TDA) is an emergent field that aims to discover topological information hidden in a dataset. TDA tools have been commonly used to create filters and topological descriptors to improve Machine Learning (ML)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-07 Rolando Kindelan , José Frías , Mauricio Cerda , Nancy Hitschfeld

Models defined by stochastic differential equations (SDEs) allow for the representation of random variability in dynamical systems. The relevance of this class of models is growing in many applied research areas and is already a standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-06 Umberto Picchini

In this study, an image-assisted Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) parameter inverse method is proposed to identify the design parameters. In the proposed method, the images are mapped to a low-dimensional latent space by Variational…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-07-09 Jiaquan Wang , Yang Zeng , Xinchao Jiang , Hu Wang , Enying Li , Guangyao Li

Semiconductor device models are essential to understand the charge transport in thin film transistors (TFTs). Using these TFT models to draw inference involves estimating parameters used to fit to the experimental data. These experimental…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-29 Neel Chatterjee , Somya Sharma , Sarah Swisher , Snigdhansu Chatterjee

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) methods have gained in their popularity over the last decade because they expand the horizon of Bayesian parameter inference methods to the range of models for which only forward simulation is…

Computation · Statistics 2016-08-05 Majid K. Vakilzadeh , James L. Beck , Thomas Abrahamsson

Inferring parameter distributions of complex industrial systems from noisy time series data requires methods to deal with the uncertainty of the underlying data and the used simulation model. Bayesian inference is well suited for these…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-18 David N. John , Livia Stohrer , Claudia Schillings , Michael Schick , Vincent Heuveline

In recent years, methods of approximate parameter estimation have attracted considerable interest in complex problems where exact likelihoods are hard to obtain. In their most basic form, Bayesian methods such as Approximate Bayesian…

Computation · Statistics 2015-07-17 Johanna Bertl , Gregory Ewing , Carolin Kosiol , Andreas Futschik

Performing exact posterior inference in complex generative models is often difficult or impossible due to an expensive to evaluate or intractable likelihood function. Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is an inference framework that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-02-16 Jovana Mitrovic , Dino Sejdinovic , Yee Whye Teh

Topological Data Analysis (TDA) is an emergent field that aims to discover topological information hidden in a dataset. TDA tools have been commonly used to create filters and topological descriptors to improve Machine Learning (ML)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-09 Rolando Kindelan , José Frías , Mauricio Cerda , Nancy Hitschfeld

Almost all fields of science rely upon statistical inference to estimate unknown parameters in theoretical and computational models. While the performance of modern computer hardware continues to grow, the computational requirements for the…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-25 David J. Warne , Ruth E. Baker , Matthew J. Simpson

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a set of techniques for Bayesian inference when the likelihood is intractable but sampling from the model is possible. This work presents a simple yet effective ABC algorithm based on the…

Computation · Statistics 2019-03-01 Yanzhi Chen , Michael U. Gutmann

Machine learning models for repeated measurements are limited. Using topological data analysis (TDA), we present a classifier for repeated measurements which samples from the data space and builds a network graph based on the data topology.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-08 Henri Riihimäki , Wojciech Chachólski , Jakob Theorell , Jan Hillert , Ryan Ramanujam

Stochastic modelling provides an indispensable tool for understanding how random events at the molecular level influence cellular functions. In practice, the common challenge is to calibrate a large number of model parameters against the…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-17 Shuohao Liao , Tomas Vejchodsky , Radek Erban

Simulation models for pedestrian crowds are a ubiquitous tool in research and industry. It is crucial that the parameters of these models are calibrated carefully and ultimately it will be of interest to compare competing models to decide…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2020-05-13 Nikolai Bode

The goal of this paper is to explore the basic Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) algorithm via the lens of information theory. ABC is a widely used algorithm in cases where the likelihood of the data is hard to work with or…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-14 Konstantinos Spiliopoulos