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Related papers: Non-Parametric Quickest Mean Change Detection

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The aim of this paper is to establish non-asymptotic minimax rates of testing for goodness-of-fit hypotheses in a heteroscedastic setting. More precisely, we deal with sequences $(Y_j)_{j\in J}$ of independent Gaussian random variables,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-02-09 Béatrice Laurent , Jean-Michel Loubès , Clément Marteau

We consider the problem of estimating confidence intervals for the mean of a random variable, where the goal is to produce the smallest possible interval for a given number of samples. While minimax optimal algorithms are known for this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-19 Shengjia Zhao , Christopher Yeh , Stefano Ermon

Modeling non-stationary data is a challenging problem in the field of continual learning, and data distribution shifts may result in negative consequences on the performance of a machine learning model. Classic learning tools are often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-23 Sebastián Basterrech , Line Clemmensen , Gerardo Rubino

In the problem of quickest change detection (QCD), a change occurs at some unknown time in the distribution of a sequence of independent observations. This work studies a QCD problem where the change is either a bad change, which we aim to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-03 Yu-Zhen Janice Chen , Jinhang Zuo , Venugopal V. Veeravalli , Don Towsley

Time-series anomaly detection deals with the problem of detecting anomalous timesteps by learning normality from the sequence of observations. However, the concept of normality evolves over time, leading to a "new normal problem", where the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-23 Dongmin Kim , Sunghyun Park , Jaegul Choo

We present a distribution-free CUSUM procedure designed for online change detection in a time series of low-rank images, particularly when the change causes a mean shift. We represent images as matrix data and allow for temporal dependence,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-28 Tingnan Gong , Seong-Hee Kim , Yao Xie

This article considers a nonparametric method for detecting change points in non-stationary time series. The proposed method will divide the time series into several segments so that between two adjacent segments, the normalized spectral…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-05 Zixiang Guan , Gemai Chen

A nonparametric anomalous hypothesis testing problem is investigated, in which there are totally n sequences with s anomalous sequences to be detected. Each typical sequence contains m independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-12-15 Shaofeng Zou , Yingbin Liang , H. Vincent Poor , Xinghua Shi

We study the problem of detecting a common change point in large panel data based on a mean shift model, wherein the errors exhibit both temporal and cross-sectional dependence. A least squares based procedure is used to estimate the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-26 Monika Bhattacharjee , Moulinath Banerjee , George Michailidis

Estimation of mean shift in a temporally ordered sequence of random variables with a possible existence of change-point is an important problem in many disciplines. In the available literature of more than fifty years the estimation methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-14 Buddhananda Banerjee , Arnab Kumar Laha

We introduce a novel Bayesian method that can detect multiple structural breaks in the mean and variance of a length $T$ time-series. Our method quantifies uncertainty by returning $\alpha$-level credible sets around the estimated locations…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-14 Davis Berlind , Lorenzo Cappello , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

In this paper, we develop a new change detection algorithm for detecting a change in the Markov kernel over a metric space in which the post-change kernel is unknown. Under the assumption that the pre- and post-change Markov kernel is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-28 Hao Chen , Jiacheng Tang , Abhishek Gupta

Sequential change diagnosis is the joint problem of detection and identification of a sudden and unobservable change in the distribution of a random sequence. In this problem, the common probability law of a sequence of i.i.d. random…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-10-29 Savas Dayanik , Christian Goulding , H. Vincent Poor

This paper proposes new parametric model adequacy tests for possibly nonlinear and nonstationary time series models with noncontinuous data distribution, which is often the case in applied work. In particular, we consider the correct…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-10 Igor Kheifets , Carlos Velasco

We study change point detection and localization for univariate data in fully nonparametric settings in which, at each time point, we acquire an i.i.d. sample from an unknown distribution. We quantify the magnitude of the distributional…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-27 Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Yi Yu , Daren Wang , Alessandro Rinaldo

We develop algorithms for detecting multiple changepoints in functional data when the number of changepoints is unknown (unsupervised case), when it is specified apriori (supervised case), and when certain bounds are available…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-19 Sourav Chakrabarty , Anirvan Chakraborty , Shyamal K. De

A new class of stochastic processes called independent and periodically identically distributed (i.p.i.d.) processes is defined to capture periodically varying statistical behavior. A novel Bayesian theory is developed for detecting a…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-04-09 Taposh Banerjee , Prudhvi Gurram , Gene Whipps

The acquisition of the channel covariance matrix is of paramount importance to many strategies in multiple-input-multiple-output (MIMO) communications, such as the minimum mean-square error (MMSE) channel estimation. Therefore, plenty of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-13 Runnan Liu , Liang Liu , Dazhi He , Wenjun Zhang , Erik G. Larsson

We consider the offline change point detection and localization problem in the context of piecewise stationary networks, where the observable is a finite sequence of networks. We develop algorithms involving some suitably modified CUSUM…

The mean absolute deviation about the mean is an alternative to the standard deviation for measuring dispersion in a sample or in a population. For stationary, ergodic time series with a finite first moment, an asymptotic expansion for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-18 Johan Segers