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The goal of this paper is to develop an estimate for the entropy of random long-range correlated symbolic sequences with elements belonging to a finite alphabet. As a plausible model, we use the high-order additive stationary ergodic Markov…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-12-12 S. S. Melnik , O. V. Usatenko

This paper develops a new approach to the estimation of the degree of boundedness or stability of multidimensional nonlinear systems with time-dependent nonperiodic coefficients-an essential task in various engineering and natural science…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-06-16 Mark A. Pinsky

In this paper, we address the problem of detecting anomalies among a given set of binary processes via learning-based controlled sensing. Each process is parameterized by a binary random variable indicating whether the process is anomalous.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-04 Geethu Joseph , Chen Zhong , M. Cenk Gursoy , Senem Velipasalar , Pramod K. Varshney

Let $\{X_n\}_{n=0}^{\infty}$ be a stationary real-valued time series with unknown distribution. Our goal is to estimate the conditional expectation of $X_{n+1}$ based on the observations $X_i$, $0\le i\le n$ in a strongly consistent way.…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-06-19 G. Morvai , B. Weiss

In this paper we propose an open anomalous semi-Markovian random neural networks model with negative and positive signals with arbitrary random waiting times. We investigate the signal flow process in the anomalous random neural networks…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2024-06-28 Hong Zhang , Guohua Li

This paper considers the problem of learning, from samples, the dependency structure of a system of linear stochastic differential equations, when some of the variables are latent. In particular, we observe the time evolution of some…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-05-02 Ali Jalali , Sujay Sanghavi

In this work we introduce a method for estimating entropy rate and entropy production rate from finite symbolic time series. From the point of view of statistics, estimating entropy from a finite series can be interpreted as a problem of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-02-24 Raul Salgado-Garcia , Cesar Maldonado

To model recurrent interaction events in continuous time, an extension of the stochastic block model is proposed where every individual belongs to a latent group and interactions between two individuals follow a conditional inhomogeneous…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-30 Catherine Matias , Tabea Rebafka , Fanny Villers

Modeling of large populations of binary stellar systems is an intergral part of a many areas of astrophysics, from radio pulsars and supernovae to X-ray binaries, gamma-ray bursts, and gravitational-wave mergers. Binary population synthesis…

In this paper, we prove maximal inequalities and study the functional central limit theorem for the partial sums of linear processes generated by dependent innovations. Due to the general weights, these processes can exhibit long-range…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-21 Jérôme Dedecker , Florence Merlevède , Magda Peligrad

We revisit the problem of maximising the expected length of increasing subsequence that can be selected from a marked Poisson process by an online strategy. Resorting to a natural size variable, the problem is represented in terms of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-10 Alexander Gnedin , Amirlan Seksenbayev

We introduce a simple, yet novel entropy-based framework to drive token efficiency in large language models during reasoning tasks. Our approach uses Shannon entropy from token-level logprobs as a confidence signal to enable early stopping,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-29 Aman Sharma , Paras Chopra

This paper deals with the exponential stabilization of a time-delay system with an average of the state as the output. A general stability theorem with a guaranteed exponential decay-rate based on a Wirtinger-based inequality is provided.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-27 Matthieu Barreau , Alexandre Seuret , Frederic Gouaisbaut

We consider a binary sequence generated by thresholding a hidden continuous sequence. The hidden variables are assumed to have a compound symmetry covariance structure with a single parameter characterizing the common correlation. We study…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Haolei Weng , Yang Feng

We view sequential design as a model selection problem to determine which new observation is expected to be the most informative, given the existing set of observations. For estimating a probability distribution on a bounded interval, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-19 Madhurima Nath , Stephen Eubank

We prove limit theorems of an entirely new type for certain long memory regularly varying stationary infinitely divisible random processes. These theorems involve multiple phase transitions governed by how long the memory is. Apart from one…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-23 Gennady Samorodnitsky , Yizao Wang

We study the N-step binary stationary ergodic Markov chain and analyze its differential entropy. Supposing that the correlations are weak we express the conditional probability function of the chain through the pair correlation function and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 S. S. Melnik , O. V. Usatenko

The question whether a time series behaves as a random walk or as a station- ary process is an important and delicate problem, particularly arising in financial statistics, econometrics, and engineering. This paper studies the problem to…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-13 Ansgar Steland

This paper considers an opportunistic scheduling problem over a renewal system. A controller observes a random event at the beginning of each renewal frame and then chooses an action in response to the event, which affects the duration of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-06-10 Xiaohan Wei , Michael J. Neely

We characterize the identified sets of a wide range of stochastic choice models, including random utility, various models of boundedly-rational behavior, and dynamic discrete choice. In each of these settings, we show two distributions over…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-02-24 Peter Caradonna , Christopher Turansick
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