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This study evaluates the performance of 41 machine learning models, including 21 classifiers and 20 regressors, in predicting Bitcoin prices for algorithmic trading. By examining these models under various market conditions, we highlight…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-29 Abdul Jabbar , Syed Qaisar Jalil

With the rapid evolution of Web3.0, cryptocurrency has become a cornerstone of decentralized finance. While these digital assets enable efficient and borderless financial transactions, their pseudonymous nature has also attracted malicious…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-11-01 Zheng Che , Meng Shen , Zhehui Tan , Hanbiao Du , Liehuang Zhu , Wei Wang , Ting Chen , Qinglin Zhao , Yong Xie

The production of counterfeit money has a long history. It refers to the creation of imitation currency that is produced without the legal sanction of government. With the growth of the cryptocurrency ecosystem, there is expanding evidence…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-11-06 Bingyu Gao , Haoyu Wang , Pengcheng Xia , Siwei Wu , Yajin Zhou , Xiapu Luo , Graeth Tyson

The possibility to analyze everyday monetary transactions is limited by the scarcity of available data, as this kind of information is usually considered highly sensitive. Present econophysics models are usually employed on presumed random…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-04-01 Dániel Kondor , Márton Pósfai , István Csabai , Gábor Vattay

The number of users approaching the world of cryptocurrencies exploded in the last years, and consequently the daily interactions on their underlying distributed ledgers have intensified. In this paper, we analyze the flow of these digital…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2021-10-29 Luca Serena , Stefano Ferretti , Gabriele D'Angelo

Given a set of financial transactions (who buys from whom, when, and for how much), as well as prior information from buyers and sellers, how can we find fraudulent transactions? If we have labels for some transactions for known types of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Robson L. F. Cordeiro , Meng-Chieh Lee , Christos Faloutsos

Non Fungible Token (NFT) Industry has been witnessing multi-million dollar trade in recent times. With rapid innovation of the NFT market environment by technology, innovation, and decentralization, it is becoming hard to distinguish…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-19 Mayukh Mukhopadhyay , Kaushik Ghosh

Masterminds are entities organizing, coordinating, and orchestrating cryptocurrency pump-and-dump schemes, a form of trade-based manipulation undermining market integrity and causing financial losses for unwitting investors. Previous…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Honglin Fu , Yebo Feng , Cong Wu , Jiahua Xu

This study employs an event study methodology to investigate the market impact of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's (SEC) classification of crypto assets as securities. It explores how SEC interventions influence asset returns…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-04 Aman Saggu , Lennart Ante , Kaja Kopiec

Identifying reputable Ethereum projects remains a critical challenge within the expanding blockchain ecosystem. The ability to distinguish between legitimate initiatives and potentially fraudulent schemes is non-trivial. This work presents…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-03-21 Cyrus Malik , Josef Bajada , Joshua Ellul

Despite the fact that cryptocurrencies themselves have experienced an astonishing rate of adoption over the last decade, cryptocurrency fraud detection is a heavily under-researched problem area. Of all fraudulent activity regarding…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-11 Viswanath Chadalapaka , Kyle Chang , Gireesh Mahajan , Anuj Vasil

The cryptocurrency market is amongst the fastest-growing of all the financial markets in the world. Unlike traditional markets, such as equities, foreign exchange and commodities, cryptocurrency market is considered to have larger…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-06 Fan Fang , Waichung Chung , Carmine Ventre , Michail Basios , Leslie Kanthan , Lingbo Li , Fan Wu

Despite being described as a medium of exchange, cryptocurrencies do not have the typical attributes of a medium of exchange. Consequently, cryptocurrencies are more appropriately described as crypto assets. A common investment attribute…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-15 Yuan Hu , Svetlozar T. Rachev , Frank J. Fabozzi

Various problems of any credit card fraud detection based on machine learning come from the imbalanced aspect of transaction datasets. Indeed, the number of frauds compared to the number of regular transactions is tiny and has been shown to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-28 François de la Bourdonnaye , Fabrice Daniel

In relation to the traditional financial markets, the cryptocurrency market is a recent invention and the trading dynamics of all its components are readily recorded and stored. This fact opens up a unique opportunity to follow the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-11 Stanisław Drożdż , Jarosław Kwapień , Marcin Wątorek

Cryptocurrency is a cryptography-based digital asset with extremely volatile prices. Around USD 70 billion worth of cryptocurrency is traded daily on exchanges. Trading cryptocurrency is difficult due to the inherent volatility of the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-12 Hongshen Yang , Avinash Malik

Bitcoin is a peer-to-peer electronic payment system that has rapidly grown in popularity in recent years. Usually, the complete history of Bitcoin blockchain data must be queried to acquire variables with economic meaning. This task has…

General Economics · Economics 2025-08-11 Yulin Liu , Luyao Zhang , Yinhong Zhao

In recent years, cryptocurrencies have attracted growing attention from both private investors and institutions. Among them, Bitcoin stands out for its impressive volatility and widespread influence. This paper explores the predictability…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-29 Grégory Bournassenko

In a ring-signature-based anonymous cryptocurrency, signers of a transaction are hidden among a set of potential signers, called a ring, whose size is much smaller than the number of all users. The ring-membership relations specified by the…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-03-01 Christoph Egger , Russell W. F. Lai , Viktoria Ronge , Ivy K. Y. Woo , Hoover H. F. Yin

Anti-money laundering (AML) regulations play a critical role in safeguarding financial systems, but bear high costs for institutions and drive financial exclusion for those on the socioeconomic and international margins. The advent of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-08-08 Mark Weber , Giacomo Domeniconi , Jie Chen , Daniel Karl I. Weidele , Claudio Bellei , Tom Robinson , Charles E. Leiserson