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Macroeconomic variables are known to significantly impact equity markets, but their predictive power for price fluctuations has been underexplored due to challenges such as infrequency and variability in timing of announcements, changing…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-26 Martina Halousková , Štefan Lyócsa

The primary objective of this work is to develop a Neural Network based on LSTM to predict stock market movements using tweets. Word embeddings, used in the LSTM network, are initialised using Stanford's GloVe embeddings, pretrained…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-01-25 Kavyashree Ranawat , Stefano Giani

Stock price prediction is influenced by a variety of factors, including technical indicators, which makes Feature selection crucial for identifying the most relevant predictors. This study examines the impact of feature selection on stock…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-17 Fatemeh Moodi , Amir Jahangard-Rafsanjani

The methodology presented provides a quantitative way to characterize investor behavior and price dynamics within a particular asset class and time period. The methodology is applied to a data set consisting of over 250,000 data points of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-22 Gunduz Caginalp , Mark DeSantis

Volume prediction is one of the fundamental objectives in the Fintech area, which is helpful for many downstream tasks, e.g., algorithmic trading. Previous methods mostly learn a universal model for different stocks. However, this kind of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-04 Ruibo Chen , Wei Li , Zhiyuan Zhang , Ruihan Bao , Keiko Harimoto , Xu Sun

The US stock market experienced instability following the recession (2007-2009). COVID-19 poses a significant challenge to US stock traders and investors. Traders and investors should keep up with the stock market. This is to mitigate risks…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-06-07 Reza Nematirad , Amin Ahmadisharaf , Ali Lashgari

Full electronic automation in stock exchanges has recently become popular, generating high-frequency intraday data and motivating the development of near real-time price forecasting methods. Machine learning algorithms are widely applied to…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-29 Xuekui Zhang , Yuying Huang , Ke Xu , Li Xing

The recent advancements in Deep Learning (DL) research have notably influenced the finance sector. We examine the robustness and generalizability of fifteen state-of-the-art DL models focusing on Stock Price Trend Prediction (SPTP) based on…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-21 Matteo Prata , Giuseppe Masi , Leonardo Berti , Viviana Arrigoni , Andrea Coletta , Irene Cannistraci , Svitlana Vyetrenko , Paola Velardi , Novella Bartolini

Financial news contains useful information on public companies and the market. In this paper we apply the popular word embedding methods and deep neural networks to leverage financial news to predict stock price movements in the market.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2015-06-25 Yangtuo Peng , Hui Jiang

This paper presents a novel study on harnessing Large Language Models' (LLMs) outstanding knowledge and reasoning abilities for explainable financial time series forecasting. The application of machine learning models to financial time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Xinli Yu , Zheng Chen , Yuan Ling , Shujing Dong , Zongyi Liu , Yanbin Lu

Historically, the economic recession often came abruptly and disastrously. For instance, during the 2008 financial crisis, the SP 500 fell 46 percent from October 2007 to March 2009. If we could detect the signals of the crisis earlier, we…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-15 Yue Chen , Xingyi Andrew , Salintip Supasanya

With the heightened volatility in stock prices during the Covid-19 pandemic, the need for price forecasting has become more critical. We investigated the forecast performance of four models including Long-Short Term Memory, XGBoost,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-07 Navid Mottaghi , Sara Farhangdoost

Standard methods and theories in finance can be ill-equipped to capture highly non-linear interactions in financial prediction problems based on large-scale datasets, with deep learning offering a way to gain insights into correlations in…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-22 Ben Moews , Gbenga Ibikunle

Stock prediction, a subject closely related to people's investment activities in fully dynamic and live environments, has been widely studied. Current large language models (LLMs) have shown remarkable potential in various domains,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-13 Bohan Liang , Zijian Chen , Qi Jia , Kaiwei Zhang , Kaiyuan Ji , Guangtao Zhai

In this work we use Recurrent Neural Networks and Multilayer Perceptrons to predict NYSE, NASDAQ and AMEX stock prices from historical data. We experiment with different architectures and compare data normalization techniques. Then, we…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-30 Kerda Varaku

The stock market is a fundamental component of financial systems, reflecting economic health, providing investment opportunities, and influencing global dynamics. Accurate stock market predictions can lead to significant gains and promote…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Gonzalo Lopez Gil , Paul Duhamel-Sebline , Andrew McCarren

We construct the maximally predictable portfolio (MPP) of stocks using machine learning. Solving for the optimal constrained weights in the multi-asset MPP gives portfolios with a high monthly coefficient of determination, given the sample…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-06 Michael Pinelis , David Ruppert

Stock trend prediction plays a critical role in seeking maximized profit from stock investment. However, precise trend prediction is very difficult since the highly volatile and non-stationary nature of stock market. Exploding information…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-02-21 Ziniu Hu , Weiqing Liu , Jiang Bian , Xuanzhe Liu , Tie-Yan Liu

Predicting the S&P 500 index volatility is crucial for investors and financial analysts as it helps assess market risk and make informed investment decisions. Volatility represents the level of uncertainty or risk related to the size of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-25 Natalia Roszyk , Robert Ślepaczuk

As the number of publicly traded companies as well as the amount of their financial data grows rapidly, it is highly desired to have tracking, analysis, and eventually stock selections automated. There have been few works focusing on…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-04 Sercan Arik , Sukru Burc Eryilmaz , Adam Goldberg