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This paper introduces two new algorithms to accurately estimate the process noise covariance of a discrete-time Kalman filter online for robust orbit determination in the presence of dynamics model uncertainties. Common orbit determination…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-17 Nathan Stacey , Simone D'Amico

Most Kalman filter extensions assume Gaussian noise and when the noise is non-Gaussian, usually other types of filters are used. These filters, such as particle filter variants, are computationally more demanding than Kalman type filters.…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-19 Matti Raitoharju , Henri Nurminen , Demet Cilden-Guler , Simo Särkkä

The Kalman(-Bucy) filter is the natural choice for the state reconstruction of disturbed, linear dynamical systems based on flawed and incomplete measurements. Taking a deterministic viewpoint this work investigates possible extensions of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-06-03 Karl Kunisch , Jesper Schröder

Bayesian optimization is a sequential method for minimizing objective functions that are expensive to evaluate and about which few assumptions can be made. By using all gathered data to train a Gaussian process model for the function and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Jesse Schneider , William J. Welch

Robustness and adaptivity are two competing objectives in Kalman filters (KF). Robustness involves temporarily inflating prior estimates of noise covariances, while adaptivity updates prior beliefs by exploiting measurements. In practical…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Shilei Li , Dawei Shi , Hao Yu , Ling Shi

Using Bayesian transfer learning, we develop a particle filter approach for tracking a nonlinear dynamical model in a dual-tracking system where intensities of measurement noise for both sensors are asymmetric. The densities for Bayesian…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-24 Omar A. Alotaibi , Brian L. Mark , Mohammad Reza Fasihi

Randomized experiments are the gold standard for evaluating the effects of changes to real-world systems. Data in these tests may be difficult to collect and outcomes may have high variance, resulting in potentially large measurement error.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-27 Benjamin Letham , Brian Karrer , Guilherme Ottoni , Eytan Bakshy

We develop a general framework for state estimation in systems modeled with noise-polluted continuous time dynamics and discrete time noisy measurements. Our approach is based on maximum likelihood estimation and employs the calculus of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-16 Griffin M. Kearney , Makan Fardad

The classical state-space approach to optimal estimation of stochastic processes is efficient when the driving noises are generated by martingales. In particular, the weight function of the optimal linear filter, which solves a complicated…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-13 D. Afterman , P. Chigansky , M. Kleptsyna , D. Marushkevych

This paper presents an adaptive Kalman filter for a linear dynamic system perturbed by an additive disturbance. The objective is to estimate both of the state and the unknown disturbance concurrently, while learning the disturbance as a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-23 Taeyoung Lee

The nonlinear and stochastic relationship between noise covariance parameter values and state estimator performance makes optimal filter tuning a very challenging problem. Popular optimization-based tuning approaches can easily get trapped…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-06-13 Zhaozhong Chen , Harel Biggie , Nisar Ahmed , Simon Julier , Christoffer Heckman

Structural identification and damage detection can be generalized as the simultaneous estimation of input forces, physical parameters, and dynamical states. Although Kalman-type filters are efficient tools to address this problem, the…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-04 Daniz Teymouri , Omid Sedehi , Lambros S. Katafygiotis , Costas Papadimitriou

In this work, we present a new perspective on the origin and interpretation of adaptive filters. By applying Bayesian principles of recursive inference from the state-space model and using a series of simplifications regarding the structure…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Leszek Szczecinski , Jacob Benesty , Eduardo Vinicius Kuhn

We look at a stochastic time-varying optimization problem and we formulate online algorithms to find and track its optimizers in expectation. The algorithms are derived from the intuition that standard prediction and correction steps can be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-11 Andrea Simonetto , Paolo Massioni

In this paper, we propose control-theoretic methods as tools for the design of online optimization algorithms that are able to address dynamic, noisy, and partially uncertain time-varying quadratic objective functions. Our approach…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-03 Umberto Casti , Sandro Zampieri

This paper is on learning the Kalman gain by policy optimization method. Firstly, we reformulate the finite-horizon Kalman filter as a policy optimization problem of the dual system. Secondly, we obtain the global linear convergence of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-30 Haoran Li , Yuan-Hua Ni

The literature dealing with data-driven analysis and control problems has significantly grown in the recent years. Most of the recent literature deals with linear time-invariant systems in which the uncertainty (if any) is assumed to be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-12 Daniele Alpago , Florian Dorfler , John Lygeros

The Kalman filter is an established tool for the analysis of dynamic systems with normally distributed noise, and it has been successfully applied in numerous application areas. It provides sequentially calculated estimates of the system…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-10-26 S. Eichstädt , N. Makarava , C. Elster

In this paper, we focus on sensor placement in linear dynamic estimation, where the objective is to place a small number of sensors in a system of interdependent states so to design an estimator with a desired estimation performance. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-18 Vasileios Tzoumas , Ali Jadbabaie , George J. Pappas

Impulsed noise outliers are data points that differs significantly from other observations.They are generally removed from the data set through local regression or Kalman filter algorithm.However, these methods, or their generalizations,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-02 Bertrand Cloez , Bénédicte Fontez , Eliel González García , Isabelle Sanchez