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In this paper, we show that coherent sets of gambles can be embedded into the algebraic structure of information algebra. This leads firstly, to a new perspective of the algebraic and logical structure of desirability and secondly, it…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-05-26 Juerg Kohlas , Arianna Casanova , Marco Zaffalon

We consider an agent interacting with an unknown environment. The environment is a function which maps natural numbers to natural numbers; the agent's set of hypotheses about the environment contains all such functions which are computable…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-12-31 Peter de Blanc

We study discrete probabilistic programs with potentially unbounded looping behaviors over an infinite state space. We present, to the best of our knowledge, the first decidability result for the problem of determining whether such a…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Mingshuai Chen , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Lutz Klinkenberg , Tobias Winkler

Probabilistic programming makes it easy to represent a probabilistic model as a program. Building an individual model, however, is only one step of probabilistic modeling. The broader challenge of probabilistic modeling is in understanding…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2022-08-15 Ryan Bernstein

We develop a full-fledged analysis of an algorithmic decision process that, in a multialternative choice problem, produces computable choice probabilities and expected decision times.

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-05-08 Carlo Baldassi , Fabio Maccheroni , Massimo Marinacci , Marco Pirazzini

The paper introduces mixed networks, a new framework for expressing and reasoning with probabilistic and deterministic information. The framework combines belief networks with constraint networks, defining the semantics and graphical…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-19 Rina Dechter , Robert Mateescu

Probabilistic game structures combine both nondeterminism and stochasticity, where players repeatedly take actions simultaneously to move to the next state of the concurrent game. Probabilistic alternating simulation is an important tool to…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-07-10 Chenyi Zhang , Jun Pang

We consider probabilistic automata on infinite words with acceptance defined by parity conditions. We consider three qualitative decision problems: (i) the positive decision problem asks whether there is a word that is accepted with…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2011-07-12 Krishnendu Chatterjee , Mathieu Tracol

This work presents the concept of kernel mean embedding and kernel probabilistic programming in the context of stochastic systems. We propose formulations to represent, compare, and propagate uncertainties for fairly general stochastic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-05 Jia-Jie Zhu , Krikamol Muandet , Moritz Diehl , Bernhard Schölkopf

Probabilistic programming allows specification of probabilistic models in a declarative manner. Recently, several new software systems and languages for probabilistic programming have been developed on the basis of newly developed and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-06-04 Gabriel Kronberger

As inductive inference and machine learning methods in computer science see continued success, researchers are aiming to describe ever more complex probabilistic models and inference algorithms. It is natural to ask whether there is a…

Logic · Mathematics 2019-11-19 Nathanael L. Ackerman , Cameron E. Freer , Daniel M. Roy

This article describes a model and an exact solution method for facility location problems with decision-dependent uncertainties. The model allows characterizing the probability distribution of the random elements as a function of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-15 Giovanni Pantuso

Notwithstanding various attempts to construct a Partial Information Decomposition (PID) for multiple variables by defining synergistic, redundant, and unique information, there is no consensus on how one ought to precisely define either of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-06-07 Steven J. van Enk

General problems in analyzing information in a probabilistic database are considered. The practical difficulties (and occasional advantages) of storing uncertain data, of using it conventional forward- or backward-chaining inference…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Matthew L. Ginsberg

Algebraic statistics is concerned with the study of probabilistic models and techniques for statistical inference using methods from algebra and geometry. This article presents a list of open mathematical problems in this emerging field,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-11-10 Bernd Sturmfels

Exciting contemporary machine learning problems have recently been phrased in the classic formalism of tree search -- most famously, the game of Go. Interestingly, the state-space underlying these sequential decision-making problems often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-17 Julia Grosse , Cheng Zhang , Philipp Hennig

Given i.i.d. data from an unknown distribution, we consider the problem of predicting future items. An adaptive way to estimate the probability density is to recursively subdivide the domain to an appropriate data-dependent granularity. A…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Marcus Hutter

Probabilistic programs encode stochastic models as ordinary-looking programs with primitives for sampling numbers from predefined distributions and conditioning. Their applications include, among many others, machine learning and modeling…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Dominik Geißler , Tobias Winkler

We review briefly the concepts underlying complex systems and probability distributions. The later are often taken as the first quantitative characteristics of complex systems, allowing one to detect the possible occurrence of regularities…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-07-17 D. Sornette

Reasoning with defeasible and conflicting knowledge in an argumentative form is a key research field in computational argumentation. Reasoning under various forms of uncertainty is both a key feature and a challenging barrier for automated…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-09 Andrei Popescu , Johannes P. Wallner