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Model-based process simulation can be used to derive designs and operating conditions of chemical processes that optimally balance multiple objectives, such as quality, costs, or environmental impacts. This work focuses on identifying…

Most decision theories, including expected utility theory, rank dependent utility theory and cumulative prospect theory, assume that investors are only interested in the distribution of returns and not in the states of the economy in which…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-07-03 Carole Bernard , Franck Moraux , Ludger Rueschendorf , Steven Vanduffel

We consider an investor who wants to select her/his optimal consumption, investment and insurance policies. Motivated by new insurance products, we allow not only the financial marke but also the insurable loss to depend on the regime of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-25 Bin Zou , Abel Cadenillas

Current contingency reserve criteria ignore the likelihood of individual contingencies and, thus, their impact on system reliability and risk. This paper develops an iterative approach, inspired by the current security-constrained unit…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-10 Robert Mieth , Yury Dvorkin , Miguel A. Ortega-Vazquez

This article studies in detail the solution of an integral equation due to Rongming et al. [13]. The methods involve complex analysis. As an application, we find the ruin probability of a given Bonus-Malus system in a steady state. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-23 Dan Kucerovsky , Amir T. Payandeh Najafabadi

Numerical evaluation of ruin probabilities in the classical risk model is an important problem. If claim sizes are heavy-tailed, then such evaluations are challenging. To overcome this, an attractive way is to approximate the claim sizes…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-25 Eleni Vatamidou , Ivo J. B. F. Adan , Maria Vlasiou , Bert Zwart

We investigate the probability that an insurance portfolio gets ruined within a finite time period under the assumption that the r largest claims are (partly) reinsured. We show that for regularly varying claim sizes the probability of ruin…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-15 Hansjörg Albrecher , Bohan Chen , Eleni Vatamidou , Bert Zwart

We study optimal proportional reinsurance and investment strategies for an insurance company which experiences both ordinary and catastrophic claims and wishes to maximize the expected exponential utility of its terminal wealth. We propose…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-18 Claudia Ceci , Katia Colaneri , Alessandra Cretarola

This paper studies the optimal timing to liquidate credit derivatives in a general intensity-based credit risk model under stochastic interest rate. We incorporate the potential price discrepancy between the market and investors, which is…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-22 Tim Leung , Peng Liu

Random shifting typically appears in credibility models whereas random scaling is often encountered in stochastic models for claim sizes reflecting the time-value property of money. In this article we discuss some aspects of random shifting…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-08 Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji

In this manuscript we consider the dual risk model with financial application, where the random gains occur under a renewal process. We particularly work the Erlang(n) case for common distribution of the inter-arrival times, from there it…

In this paper we investigate the hedging problem of a unit-linked life insurance contract via the local risk-minimization approach, when the insurer has a restricted information on the market. In particular, we consider an endowment…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-26 Claudia Ceci , Katia Colaneri , Alessandra Cretarola

We study optimal reinsurance in the framework of stochastic game theory, in which there is an insurer and two reinsurers. A Stackelberg model is established to analyze the non-cooperative relationship between the insurer and reinsurers,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-02 Liyuan Lin , Fangda Liu , Jingzhen Liu abd Luyang Yu

We consider the optimal investment and marginal utility pricing problem of a risk averse agent and quantify their exposure to a small amount of model uncertainty. Specifically, we compute explicitly the first-order sensitivity of their…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-15 Jan Obloj , Johannes Wiesel

The ruin probability in the classical Brownian risk model can be explicitly calculated for both finite and infinite-time horizon. This is not the case for the simultaneous ruin probability in two-dimensional Brownian risk model. Resorting…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-13 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Zbigniew Michna

We find the minimum probability of lifetime ruin of an investor who can invest in a market with a risky and a riskless asset and can purchase a deferred annuity. Although we let the admissible set of strategies of annuity purchasing process…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Erhan Bayraktar , Virginia R. Young

This paper introduces a unified micro-level stochastic framework for the joint modeling of loss reserves (RBNS), incurred but not reported (IBNR) reserves, and unearned premium risk under dependence, inflation, and discounting. The proposed…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-15 Emmanuel Hamel , Anas Abdallah , Ghislain Léveillé

We propose a dependence-aware predictive modeling framework for multivariate risks stemmed from an insurance contract with bundling features - an important type of policy increasingly offered by major insurance companies. The bundling…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-17 Peng Shi , Zifeng Zhao

In this correspondence, a novel framework is proposed for analyzing data offloading in a multi-access edge computing system. Specifically, a two-phase algorithm, is proposed, including two key phases: 1) user association phase and 2) task…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-04-24 Do Hyeon Kim , Aunas Manzoor , Madyan Alsenwi , Yan Kyaw Tun , Walid Saad , Choong Seon Hong

We prove that a large class of discrete-time insurance surplus processes converge weakly to a generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, under a suitable re-normalization and when the time-step goes to 0. Motivated by ruin theory, we use this…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-16 Yuchao Dong , Jérôme Spielmann