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This paper studies an adaptive approach for probabilistic wind power forecasting (WPF) including offline and online learning procedures. In the offline learning stage, a base forecast model is trained via inner and outer loop updates of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-17 Zichao Meng , Ye Guo , Hongbin Sun

The Optimal Power Flow (OPF) problem is pivotal for power system operations, guiding generator output and power distribution to meet demand at minimized costs, while adhering to physical and engineering constraints. The integration of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Chen Li , Alexander Kies , Kai Zhou , Markus Schlott , Omar El Sayed , Mariia Bilousova , Horst Stoecker

Wind farm design primarily depends on the variability of the wind turbine wake flows to the atmospheric wind conditions, and the interaction between wakes. Physics-based models that capture the wake flow-field with high-fidelity are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-17 S. Ashwin Renganathan , Romit Maulik , Stefano Letizia , Giacomo Valerio Iungo

Weather forecasting is an essential task to tackle global climate change. Weather forecasting requires the analysis of multivariate data generated by heterogeneous meteorological sensors. These sensors comprise of ground-based sensors,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-16 Gaganpreet Singh , Surya Durbha , Shreelakshmi C R

The growing penetration of variable renewable energy sources (VRES) requires additional flexibility reserve to ensure reliable power system operations. Current industry practice typically assumes a certain fraction of the VRES power…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-13 Zhirui Liang , Robert Mieth , Yury Dvorkin , Miguel A. Ortega-Vazquez

The integration of solar power has been increasing as the green energy transition rolls out. The penetration of solar power challenges the grid stability and energy scheduling, due to its intermittent energy generation. Accurate and near…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Jinbao Wang , Jun Liu , Shiliang Zhang , Xuehui Ma

Accurate wind speed forecasting is of great importance for many economic, business and management sectors. This paper introduces a new model based on convolutional neural networks (CNNs) for wind speed prediction tasks. In particular, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-27 Kevin Trebing , Siamak Mehrkanoon

Uncertainty analysis in the form of probabilistic forecasting can significantly improve decision making processes in the smart power grid when integrating renewable energy sources such as wind. Whereas point forecasting provides a single…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-27 Kostas Hatalis , Alberto J. Lamadrid , Katya Scheinberg , Shalinee Kishore

Weather forecasting plays a crucial role in supporting strategic decisions across various sectors, including agriculture, renewable energy production, and disaster management. However, the inherently dynamic and chaotic behavior of the…

We provide a condition monitoring system for wind farms, based on normal behaviour modelling using a probabilistic multi-layer perceptron with transfer learning via fine-tuning. The model predicts the output power of the wind turbine under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-10 Filippo Fiocchi , Domna Ladopoulou , Petros Dellaportas

Probabilistic forecasts of wind speed are important for a wide range of applications, ranging from operational decision making in connection with wind power generation to storm warnings, ship routing and aviation. We present a statistical…

Applications · Statistics 2016-08-06 Michael Scheuerer , David Möller

Time-series forecasting plays an important role in many domains. Boosted by the advances in Deep Learning algorithms, it has for instance been used to predict wind power for eolic energy production, stock market fluctuations, or motor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-23 Luis P. Silvestrin , Leonardos Pantiskas , Mark Hoogendoorn

The integration of machine learning into smart grid systems represents a transformative step in enhancing the efficiency, reliability, and sustainability of modern energy networks. By adding advanced data analytics, these systems can better…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Abdur Rashid , Parag Biswas , abdullah al masum , MD Abdullah Al Nasim , Kishor Datta Gupta

Deep neural networks (DNNs) are receiving increasing attention in wind power forecasting due to their ability to effectively capture complex patterns in wind data. However, their forecasted errors are severely limited by the local optimal…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-27 Wenlong Liao , Fernando Porte-Agel , Jiannong Fang , Birgitte Bak-Jensen , Zhe Yang , Gonghao Zhang

The power generation with non-renewable energy sources has very harmful effects on the environment as well as these sources are depleting. On the other side the renewable energy sources are quite unpredictable source of power. The best…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-30 Naresh Kumari , A. N. Jha , Nitin Malik

Accurate wind power forecasting can help formulate scientific dispatch plans, which is of great significance for maintaining the safety, stability, and efficient operation of the power system. In recent years, wind power forecasting methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-05 Yajuan Zhang , Jiahai Jiang , Yule Yan , Liang Yang , Ping Zhang

The prediction of electrical power in combined cycle power plants is a key challenge in the electrical power and energy systems field. This power output can vary depending on environmental variables, such as temperature, pressure, and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-06 Jesus L. Lobo , Igor Ballesteros , Izaskun Oregi , Javier Del Ser

Wind turbines often work under complex conditions which result in performance degradation. Accurate performance degradation monitoring is essential to ensure the reliable operation of wind turbines and reduce the maintenance costs. Wind…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-07 Peng Wang , Yanting Li , Fugee Tsung

The growing penetration of intermittent, renewable generation in US power grids, especially wind and solar generation, results in increased operational uncertainty. In that context, accurate forecasts are critical, especially for wind…

Wind energy is a widely distributed, renewable, and environmentally friendly energy source that plays a crucial role in mitigating global warming and addressing energy shortages. Nevertheless, wind power generation is characterized by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Meiyu Jiang , Jun Shen , Xuetao Jiang , Lihui Luo , Rui Zhou , Qingguo Zhou