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Ensembles improve prediction performance and allow uncertainty quantification by aggregating predictions from multiple models. In deep ensembling, the individual models are usually black box neural networks, or recently, partially…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-26 Lucas Kook , Andrea Götschi , Philipp FM Baumann , Torsten Hothorn , Beate Sick

Meteorological ensembles are a collection of scenarios for future weather delivered by a meteorological center. Such ensembles form the main source of valuable information for probabilistic forecasting which aims at producing a predictive…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-07 Marie Courbariaux , Pierre Barbillon , Luc Perreault , Éric Parent

Multivariate time-series (MTS) forecasting is fundamental to applications ranging from urban mobility and resource management to climate modeling. While recent generative models based on denoising diffusion have advanced state-of-the-art…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Seyed Mohamad Moghadas , Bruno Cornelis , Adrian Munteanu

Classifiers are often utilized in time-constrained settings where labels must be assigned to inputs quickly. To address these scenarios, budgeted multi-stage classifiers (MSC) process inputs through a sequence of partial feature acquisition…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-12-06 Nolan H. Hamilton , Errin W. Fulp

Ensembles depend on diversity for improved performance. Many ensemble training methods, therefore, attempt to optimize for diversity, which they almost always define in terms of differences in training set predictions. In this paper,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-10 Andrew Slavin Ross , Weiwei Pan , Leo Anthony Celi , Finale Doshi-Velez

Spatio-temporal forecasting is crucial in transportation, logistics, and supply chain management. However, current methods struggle with large, complex datasets. We propose a dynamic, multi-modal approach that integrates the strengths of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Sagar Srinivas Sakhinana , Geethan Sannidhi , Chidaksh Ravuru , Venkataramana Runkana

Multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting is crucial for decision-making in domains such as weather, energy, and finance. It remains challenging because real-world sequences intertwine slow trends, multi-rate seasonalities, and irregular…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Shunya Nagashima , Shuntaro Suzuki , Shuitsu Koyama , Shinnosuke Hirano

Evolutionary clustering aims at capturing the temporal evolution of clusters. This issue is particularly important in the context of social media data that are naturally temporally driven. In this paper, we propose a new probabilistic…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2016-01-12 Young-Min Kim , Julien Velcin , Stéphane Bonnevay , Marian-Andrei Rizoiu

Nowadays, the deployment of deep learning models on edge devices for addressing real-world classification problems is becoming more prevalent. Moreover, there is a growing popularity in the approach of early classification, a technique that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Leonardos Pantiskas , Kees Verstoep , Mark Hoogendoorn , Henri Bal

The potential effects of conservation actions on threatened species can be predicted using ensemble ecosystem models by forecasting populations with and without intervention. These model ensembles commonly assume stable coexistence of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-03-22 Sarah A. Vollert , Christopher Drovandi , Matthew P. Adams

Heterogeneous ensembles built from the predictions of a wide variety and large number of diverse base predictors represent a potent approach to building predictive models for problems where the ideal base/individual predictor may not be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-01 Ana Stanescu , Gaurav Pandey

Ensemble models refer to methods that combine a typically large number of classifiers into a compound prediction. The output of an ensemble method is the result of fitting a base-learning algorithm to a given data set, and obtaining diverse…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-10 Waldyn Martinez

Multi-objective optimization has burgeoned as a potent methodology for informed decision-making in enhanced geothermal systems, aiming to concurrently maximize economic yield, ensure enduring geothermal energy provision, and curtail carbon…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-11-04 Guodong Chen , Jiu Jimmy Jiao , Qiqi Liu , Zhongzheng Wang , Yaochu Jin

Generating expressive speech with rich and varied prosody continues to be a challenge for Text-to-Speech. Most efforts have focused on sophisticated neural architectures intended to better model the data distribution. Yet, in evaluations it…

Process Outcome Prediction entails predicting a discrete property of an unfinished process instance from its partial trace. High-capacity outcome predictors discovered with ensemble and deep learning methods have been shown to achieve top…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-19 Francesco Folino , Luigi Pontieri , Pietro Sabatino

State-of-the-art weather forecasts usually rely on ensemble prediction systems, accounting for the different sources of uncertainty. As ensembles are typically uncalibrated, they should get statistically postprocessed. Several multivariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-21 Roman Schefzik

Accurate univariate forecasting remains a pressing need in real-world systems, such as energy markets, hydrology, retail demand, and IoT monitoring, where signals are often intermittent and horizons span both short- and long-term. While…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Kyrylo Yemets , Mykola Lukashchuk , Ivan Izonin

Hierarchical beam search in mmWave communications incurs substantial training overhead, necessitating deep learning-enabled beam predictions to effectively leverage channel priors and mitigate this overhead. In this study, we introduce a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-01-04 Fan Meng , Cheng Zhang , Yongming Huang , Zhilei Zhang , Xiaoyu Bai , Zhaohua Lu

Generating forecasts for time series with multiple seasonal cycles is an important use-case for many industries nowadays. Accounting for the multi-seasonal patterns becomes necessary to generate more accurate and meaningful forecasts in…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-28 Kasun Bandara , Christoph Bergmeir , Hansika Hewamalage

As a prominent data modality task, time series forecasting plays a pivotal role in diverse applications. With the remarkable advancements in Large Language Models (LLMs), the adoption of LLMs as the foundational architecture for time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-10 Yiwen Liu , Chenyu Zhang , Junjie Song , Siqi Chen , Sun Yin , Zihan Wang , Lingming Zeng , Yuji Cao , Junming Jiao
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