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This paper investigates the use of retrospective approximation solution paradigm in solving risk-averse optimization problems effectively via importance sampling (IS). While IS serves as a prominent means for tackling the large sample…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-28 Anand Deo , Karthyek Murthy , Tirtho Sarker

We study mixed models with a single grouping factor, where inference about unknown parameters requires optimizing a marginal likelihood defined by an intractable integral. Low-dimensional numerical integration techniques are regularly used…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-22 Alex Stringer , Blair Bilodeau , Yanbo Tang

In this paper, we derive new, nearly optimal bounds for the Gaussian approximation to scaled averages of $n$ independent high-dimensional centered random vectors $X_1,\dots,X_n$ over the class of rectangles in the case when the covariance…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-13 Victor Chernozhukov , Denis Chetverikov , Yuta Koike

We propose a sigmoidal approximation for the value-at-risk (that we call SigVaR) and we use this approximation to tackle nonlinear programs (NLPs) with chance constraints. We prove that the approximation is conservative and that the level…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-07 Yankai Cao , Victor M. Zavala

Averages of proper scoring rules are often used to rank probabilistic forecasts. In many cases, the individual terms in these averages are based on observations and forecasts from different distributions. We show that some of the most…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-29 David Bolin , Jonas Wallin

Approximate co-sufficient sampling (aCSS) offers a principled route to hypothesis testing when null distributions are unknown, yet current implementations are confined to maximum likelihood estimators with smooth or linear regularization…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-17 Jie Xie , Dongming Huang

Consider a piecewise smooth expanding map of the interval possessing several invariant subintervals and the same number of ergodic absolutely continuous invariant probability measures (ACIMs). After this system is perturbed to make the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2010-11-25 Dmitry Dolgopyat , Paul Wright

In this paper, we propose a generalized successive approximation method (SAM), called invariantly admissible policy iteration (PI), for finding the solution to a class of input-affine nonlinear optimal control problems by iterations. Unlike…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-05-28 Jae Youg Lee , Jin Bae Park , Yoon Ho Choi

Fix an integer k, and let I(l), l=1,2,..., be a sequence of k-dimensional vectors of multiple Wiener-It\^o integrals with respect to a general Gaussian process. We establish necessary and sufficient conditions to have that, as l diverges,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-07-10 Giovanni Peccati

We consider the process of partial sums of moving averages of finite order with a regular varying memory function, constructed from a stationary sequence, variance of the sum of which is a regularly varying function. We study the Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-28 N. S. Arkashov

Thomas' partial likelihood estimator of regression parameters is widely used in the analysis of nested case-control data with Cox's model. This paper proposes a new estimator of the regression parameters, which is consistent and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Kani Chen

We investigate the conditional distributions of two Banach space valued, jointly Gaussian random variables. In particular, we show that these conditional distributions are again Gaussian and that their means and covariances can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-25 Ingo Steinwart

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods represent a classical set of techniques to simulate a sequence of probability measures through a simple selection/mutation mechanism. However, the associated selection functions and mutation kernels…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-16 Qiming Du , Arnaud Guyader

In the following article we consider approximate Bayesian parameter inference for observation driven time series models. Such statistical models appear in a wide variety of applications, including econometrics and applied mathematics. This…

Computation · Statistics 2013-04-01 Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas , Elena Ehrlich

We introduce an extension of the time-dependent variational Monte Carlo (tVMC) method that adaptively controls the expressivity of the variational quantum state during the simulation of the dynamics. This adaptive tVMC (atVMC) approach is…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-01-09 Raffaele Salioni , Rocco Martinazzo , Davide Emilio Galli , Christian Apostoli

We give rates of convergence in the almost sure invariance principle for sums of dependent random variables with semi exponential tails, whose coupling coefficients decrease at a subexponential rate. We show that the rates in the strong…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-23 C Cuny , J Dedecker , F Merlevède

We derive a new adaptive leverage score sampling strategy for solving the Column Subset Selection Problem (CSSP). The resulting algorithm, called Adaptive Randomized Pivoting, can be viewed as a randomization of Osinsky's recently proposed…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-23 Alice Cortinovis , Daniel Kressner

In this paper we give a completely new approach to the problem of covariate selection in linear regression. A covariate or a set of covariates is included only if it is better in the sense of least squares than the same number of Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-09 Laurie Davies , Lutz Dümbgen

The average properties of the well-known Subset Sum Problem can be studied by the means of its randomised version, where we are given a target value $z$, random variables $X_1, \ldots, X_n$, and an error parameter $\varepsilon > 0$, and we…

Spectral analysis plays a crucial role in high-dimensional statistics, where determining the asymptotic distribution of various spectral statistics remains a challenging task. Due to the difficulties of deriving the analytic form, recent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-02 Guoyu Zhang , Dandan Jiang , Fang Yao