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Repeated waves of emerging variants during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemics have highlighted the urge of collecting longitudinal genomic data and developing statistical methods based on time series analyses for detecting new threatening lineages…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-14 Alexandra Lefebvre , Vincent Maréchal , Arnaud Gloaguen , Obépine Consortium , Amaury Lambert , Yvon Maday

The genetic evolution of SARS-CoV-2 has caused recurring epidemic waves, understanding its global dispersal patterns is critical for effective surveillance. We developed the Site-based mutation dynamics - Equal Power Sampling (S-EPS)…

The increasing spread of COVID-19, caused by the virus SARS-CoV-2, raises concerns about the extent to which mutations have occurred across the viral genome. We present a partial replication of an earlier 2021 study by Wang, R. et al. that…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-28 William Svoboda , Brendan McManamon , Sara Schwartz

RNA virus (e.g., SARS-CoV-2) evolves in a complex manner. Studying RNA virus evolution is vital for understanding molecular evolution and medicine development. Scientists lack, however, general frameworks to characterize the dynamics of RNA…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-04-20 Xiaofei Ge , Kaichao You , Zeren Tan , Hedong Hou , Yang Tian , Pei Sun

In light of the continuing emergence of new SARS-CoV-2 variants and vaccines, we create a simulation framework for exploring possible infection trajectories under various scenarios. The situations of primary interest involve the interaction…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-10 Kory D. Johnson , Annemarie Grass , Daniel Toneian , Mathias Beiglböck , Jitka Polechová

As the major target of many vaccines and neutralizing antibodies against SARS-CoV-2, the spike (S) protein is observed to mutate over time. In this paper, we present statistical approaches to tackle some challenges associated with the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-02 Shiyu He , Samuel W. K. Wong

Identifying mutations of SARS-CoV-2 strains associated with their phenotypic changes is critical for pandemic prediction and prevention. We compared an explainable convolutional neural network (CNN) approach and the traditional genome-wide…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-03 Parisa Hatami , Richard Annan , Luis Urias Miranda , Jane Gorman , Mengjun Xie , Letu Qingge , Hong Qin

Summary: Polymerase chain reaction-based assays are the current gold standard for detecting and diagnosing SARS-CoV-2. However, as SARS-CoV-2 mutates, we need to constantly assess whether existing PCR-based assays will continue to detect…

Bayesian phylogenetics is vital for understanding evolutionary dynamics, and requires accurate and efficient approximation of posterior distributions over trees. In this work, we develop a variational Bayesian approach for ultrametric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-16 Evan Sidrow , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , Lloyd T. Elliott

The increasing prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 variants with spike mutations has raised concerns owing to higher transmission rates, disease severity, and escape from neutralizing antibodies. Rapid and accurate detection of SARS-CoV-2 variants…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-26 C He , C Lin , G Mo , B Xi , A Li , D Huang , Y Wan , F Chen , Y Liang , Q Zuo , W Xu , D Feng , G Zhang , L Han , C Ke , H Du , L Huang

The rapid spread of the COVID-19 pandemic has resulted in an unprecedented amount of sequence data of the SARS-CoV-2 genome -- millions of sequences and counting. This amount of data, while being orders of magnitude beyond the capacity of…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2022-07-20 Sarwan Ali , Bikram Sahoo , Alexander Zelikovskiy , Pin-Yu Chen , Murray Patterson

As the year 2020 draws to an end, several new strains have been reported for the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus, the agent responsible for the COVID-19 pandemic that has afflicted us all this past year. However, it is difficult to comprehend the…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2023-06-09 Rene L. Warren , Inanc Birol

The recent global surge in COVID-19 infections has been fueled by new SARS-CoV-2 variants, namely Alpha, Beta, Gamma, Delta, etc. The molecular mechanism underlying such surge is elusive due to 4,653 non-degenerate mutations on the spike…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-13 Rui Wang , Jiahui Chen , Yuta Hozumi , Changchuan Yin , Guo-Wei Wei

A pipeline to evaluate the evolution of viral dynamics based on a new model-driven approach has been developed in the present study. The proposed methods exploit real data and the multiscale structure of the infection dynamics to provide…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-25 Andrea Bondesan , Antonio Piralla , Elena Ballante , Antonino Maria Guglielmo Pitrolo , Silvia Figini , Fausto Baldanti , Mattia Zanella

The identification of the transmission parameters of a virus is fundamental to identify the optimal public health strategy. These parameters can present significant changes over time caused by genetic mutations or viral recombination,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-07-21 Eugenio Lippiello , Giuseppe Petrillo , Lucilla de Arcangelis

In this worldwide spread of SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) infection, it is of utmost importance to detect the disease at an early stage especially in the hot spots of this epidemic. There are more than 110 Million infected cases on the globe,…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-23 Sohail Iqbal , H. Fareed Ahmed , Talha Qaiser , Muhammad Imran Qureshi , Nasir Rajpoot

Understanding the host-specificity of different families of viruses sheds light on the origin of, e.g., SARS-CoV-2, rabies, and other such zoonotic pathogens in humans. It enables epidemiologists, medical professionals, and policymakers to…

During the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, wastewater-based genomic surveillance (WWGS) emerged as an efficient viral surveillance tool that takes into account asymptomatic cases and can identify known and novel mutations and offers the opportunity to…

The recent zoonotic coronavirus virus outbreak of a novel type [COVID 19] has necessitated the adequate understanding of the evolutionary pathway of zoonotic viruses which adversely affects human populations for therapeutic constructs to…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-07 Adejoke Olukayode Obajuluwa , Pius Abimbola Okiki , Tiwalola Madoc Obajuluwa , Olakunle Bamikole Afolabi

Although previous infection and vaccination provide protection against SARS-CoV-2 infection, both reinfection and breakthrough infection are possible events whose occurrence would increase with time after first exposure to the antigen and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-06-07 Ariel Félix Gualtieri , Carolina de la Cal , Augusto Francisco Toma , Pedro Hecht