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Related papers: Predicting CMEs using ELEvoHI with STEREO-HI beaco…

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We present an analysis of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) observed by the Heliospheric Imagers (HIs) on board NASA's Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory (STEREO) spacecraft. Between August 2008 and April 2014 we identify 273 CMEs that are…

We investigate the performance of six methods for predicting the CME time of arrival (ToA) and velocity at Earth using a sample of nine Earth-impacting CMEs between May 2010 and June 2011. The CMEs were tracked continuously from the Sun to…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2013-11-01 R. C. Colaninno , A. Vourlidas , C. -C. Wu

Forecasting the arrival of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) is vital for protecting satellites, power systems, and human spaceflight. We present HELIOPANDA: Heliospheric Observer for Predicting CME Arrival via Nonlinear Drag Assimilation, a…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-10-01 Zaina Abu-Shaar , Tatiana Podladchikova , Astrid M. Veronig , Mateja Dumbovic , Stefan J. Hofmeister

Predictions of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and solar energetic particles (SEPs) are a central issue in space weather forecasting. In recent years, interest in space weather predictions has expanded to include impacts at other planets…

Investigating the heliospheric evolution and consequences of Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) is critical to understanding the solar-terrestrial relationship. For the first time, Heliospheric Imagers (HIs) onboard STEREO, providing multiple…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-04-22 Wageesh Mishra

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) can create significant disruption to human activities and systems on Earth, much of which can be mitigated with prior warning of the upstream solar wind conditions. However, it is currently extremely…

We present the first statistical study of geomagnetic storm forecasting using in situ data from the STEREO-A spacecraft as a sub-L1 monitor. Between November 2022 and June 2024, STEREO-A crossed the Sun-Earth line, covering longitudinal and…

Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) are arguably the most violent eruptions in the Solar System. CMEs can cause severe disturbances in the interplanetary space and even affect human activities in many respects, causing damages to infrastructure…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-03-28 Jiajia Liu , Yudong Ye , Chenlong Shen , Yuming Wang , Robert Erdélyi

The drag-based model (DBM) for heliospheric propagation of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) is a widely used analytical model which can predict CME arrival time and speed at a given heliospheric location. It is based on the assumption that the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-03-14 Mateja Dumbović , Jaša Čalogović , Bojan Vršnak , Manuela Temmer , M. Leila Mays , Astrid Veronig , Isabell Piantschitsch

Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) are the major drivers of Space Weather (SWx), so predicting their arrival at Earth is a major aspect of SWx forecasting. Despite increasingly complex models proposed over the past decades, the mean absolute…

Space Physics · Physics 2025-08-18 Syed Raza , Talwinder Singh , Nikolai Pogorelov

Halo coronal mass ejections (HCMEs) originating from regions close to the center of the Sun are likely to be responsible for severe geomagnetic storms. It is important to predict geo-effectiveness of HCMEs using observations when they are…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 G. Michalek , N. Gopalswamy , S. Yashiro

The Solar TErrestrial RElations Observatory (STEREO) provides high cadence and high resolution images of the structure and morphology of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) in the inner heliosphere. CME directions and propagation speeds have…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-03-31 Savani , N. P. , Davies , J. A. , Davis , C. J. , Shiota , D. , Rouillard , A. P. , Owens , M. J. , Kusano , K. , Bothmer , V. , Bamford , S. P. , Lintott , C. J. , Smith , A

White light images of Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) are projections on the plane-of-sky (POS). As a result, CME kinematics are subject to projection effects. The error in the true (deprojected) speed of CMEs is one of the main causes of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-12-14 Evangelos Paouris , Angelos Vourlidas , Athanasios Papaioannou , Anastasios Anastasiadis

The empirical shock arrival (ESA) model was developed based on quadrature data from Helios (in-situ) and P-78 (remote-sensing) to predict the Sun-Earth travel time of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) [Gopalswamy et al. 2005a]. The ESA model…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-17 N. Gopalswamy , P. Mäkelä , H. Xie , S. Yashiro

The Wang-Sheeley-Arge (WSA)-ENLIL+Cone model is used extensively in space weather operations world-wide to model CME propagation. As such, it is important to assess its performance. We present validation results of the WSA-ENLIL+Cone model…

Space Physics · Physics 2018-01-25 A. M. Wold , M. L. Mays , A. Taktakishvili , L. K. Jian , D. Odstrcil , P. MacNeice

The forecast of the time of arrival of a coronal mass ejection (CME) to Earth is of critical importance for our high-technology society and for any future manned exploration of the Solar System. As critical as the forecast accuracy is the…

Understanding and predicting the structure and evolution of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) in the heliosphere remains one of the most sought-after goals in heliophysics and space weather research. A powerful tool for improving current…

Halo coronal mass ejections (HCMEs) are responsible of the most severe geomagnetic storms. A prediction of their geoeffectiveness and travel time to Earth's vicinity is crucial to forecast space weather. Unfortunately coronagraphic…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 G. Michalek , N. Gopalswamy , S. Yashiro

Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs), as they can inject a large amounts of mass and magnetic flux into the interplanetary space, are the primary source of space weather phenomena on the Earth. The present review first briefly introduces the solar…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-03-28 Wageesh Mishra , Luca Teriaca

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are key drivers of space weather events, posing risks to both space-borne and ground-based systems. Accurate prediction of their arrival time at Earth is critical for impact mitigation. To this end,…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-12-23 M. Lampani , M. Rossi , S. Guastavino , M. Piana , A. M. Massone