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This paper develops a statistical framework for goodness-of-fit testing of volatility functions in McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations, which describe large systems of interacting particles with distribution-dependent dynamics.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-15 Akram Heidari , Mark Podolskij

For a certain class of McKean-Vlasov processes, we introduce proxy processes that substitute the mean-field interaction with self-interaction, employing a weighted occupation measure. Our study encompasses two key achievements. First, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Kai Du , Zhenjie Ren , Florin Suciu , Songbo Wang

Motivated by an application to empirical Bayes learning in high-dimensional regression, we study a class of Langevin diffusions in a system with random disorder, where the drift coefficient is driven by a parameter that continuously adapts…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Zhou Fan , Justin Ko , Bruno Loureiro , Yue M. Lu , Yandi Shen

We generalize the multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method of Giles to the simulation of systems of particles that interact via a mean field. When the number of particles is large, these systems are described by a McKean-Vlasov process - a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-08-11 L. F. Ricketson

Consider a collection of particles whose state evolution is described through a system of interacting diffusions in which each particle is driven by an independent individual source of noise and also by a small amount of noise that is…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Amarjit Budhiraja , Michael Conroy

In this paper, we consider semi-Markov processes whose transition times and transition probabilities depend on a small parameter $\varepsilon$. Understanding the asymptotic behavior of such processes is needed in order to study the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Leonid Koralov , Ishfaaq Mohammed Imtiyas

In this paper, we study the evolution of tokens through the depth of encoder-only transformer models at inference time by modeling them as a system of particles interacting in a mean-field way and studying the corresponding dynamics. More…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Giuseppe Bruno , Federico Pasqualotto , Andrea Agazzi

We establish a connection between tagged particles and size-biased empirical processes in interacting particle systems, in analogy to classical results on the propagation of chaos. In a mean-field scaling limit, the evolution of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Angeliki Koutsimpela , Stefan Grosskinsky

We consider a class of weakly interacting particle systems of mean-field type. The interactions between the particles are encoded in a graph sequence, i.e., two particles are interacting if and only if they are connected in the underlying…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-06 Gianmarco Bet , Fabio Coppini , Francesca R. Nardi

The large deviations at Level 2.5 are applied to Markov processes with absorbing states in order to obtain the explicit extinction rate of metastable quasi-stationary states in terms of their empirical time-averaged density and of their…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-01-13 Cecile Monthus

In this paper, we investigate gradient estimate of the Poisson equation and the exponential convergence in the Wasserstein metric $W_{1,d_{l^1}}$, uniform in the number of particles, and uniform-in-time propagation of chaos for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-15 Wei Liu , Liming Wu , Chaoen Zhang

The empirical measure flow of a McKean-Vlasov $n$-particle system with common noise is a measure-valued process whose law solves an associated martingale problem. We obtain a stability result for the sequence of martingale problems: all…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-01 Robert Alexander Crowell

We estimate the distance in total variation between the law of a finite state Markov process at time t, starting from a given initial measure, and its unique invariant measure. We derive upper bounds for the time to reach the equilibrium.…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-26 Pierre MATHIEU , Pierre PICCO

The main difficulty that arises in the analysis of most machine learning algorithms is to handle, analytically and numerically, a large number of interacting random variables. In this Ph.D manuscript, we revisit an approach based on the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2021-03-11 Benjamin Aubin

Consider the class of Ensemble Square Root filtering algorithms for the numerical approximation of the posterior distribution of nonlinear Markovian signals partially observed with linear observations corrupted with independent measurement…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-01 Theresa Lange , Wilhelm Stannat

Max-stable processes are widely used to model spatial extremes. These processes exhibit asymptotic dependence meaning that the large values of the process can occur simultaneously over space. Recently, inverted max-stable processes have…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-20 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Jonathan A. Tawn

We propose a computational method for large deviation statistics of time-averaged quantities in general Markov processes. In our proposed method, we repeat a response measurement against external forces, where the forces are determined by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-03-12 Takahiro Nemoto , Shin-ichi Sasa

This paper studies the approximation of invariant measures of McKean-Vlasov dynamics with non-degenerate additive noise. While prior findings necessitated a strong monotonicity condition on the McKean-Vlasov process, we expand these results…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-24 Wenjing Cao , Kai Du

McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations (MVSDEs) describe systems whose dynamics depend on both individual states and the population distribution, and they arise widely in neuroscience, finance, and epidemiology. In many…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-21 Ning Ning , Amin Wu

This paper investigates the use of transformers to approximate the mean-field dynamics of interacting particle systems exhibiting collective behavior. Such systems are fundamental in modeling phenomena across physics, biology, and…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-05-29 Shiba Biswal , Karthik Elamvazhuthi , Rishi Sonthalia
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