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Abstract. Detecting anomalies in patterns of sensor data is important in many practical applications, including domestic activity monitoring for Active Assisted Living (AAL). How to represent and analyse these patterns, however, remains a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-01-23 Manuel Fernandez-Carmona , Sariah Mghames , Nicola Bellotto

This paper is concerned with the estimation of time-varying networks for high-dimensional nonstationary time series. Two types of dynamic behaviors are considered: structural breaks (i.e., abrupt change points) and smooth changes. To…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-19 Mengyu Xu , Xiaohui Chen , Wei Biao Wu

This paper addresses the problem of detecting and characterizing local variability in time series and other forms of sequential data. The goal is to identify and characterize statistically significant variations, at the same time…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-05 Jeffrey D. Scargle , Jay P. Norris , Brad Jackson , James Chiang

Functional data analysis is ubiquitous in most areas of sciences and engineering. Several paradigms are proposed to deal with the dimensionality problem which is inherent to this type of data. Sparseness, penalization, thresholding, among…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-05 Rodney V. Fonseca , Aluísio Pinheiro

This article concerns second-order time discretization of subdiffusion equations with time-dependent diffusion coefficients. High-order differentiability and regularity estimates are established for subdiffusion equations with…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-06-05 Bangti Jin , Buyang Li , Zhi Zhou

Time series shapelets are discriminative subsequences and their similarity to a time series can be used for time series classification. Since the discovery of time series shapelets is costly in terms of time, the applicability on long or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-18 Martin Wistuba , Josif Grabocka , Lars Schmidt-Thieme

This article introduces the class of continuous time locally stationary wavelet processes. Continuous time models enable us to properly provide scale-based time series models for irregularly-spaced observations for the first time, while…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-19 Henry Antonio Palasciano , Marina I. Knight , Guy P. Nason

We present a de-trending algorithm for the removal of trends in time series. Trends in time series could be caused by various systematic and random noise sources such as cloud passages, changes of airmass, telescope vibration or CCD noise.…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-09-29 Dae-Won Kim , Pavlos Protopapas , Charles Alcock , Yong-Ik Byun , Federica Bianco

Recent CNN and Transformer-based models tried to utilize frequency and periodicity information for long-term time series forecasting. However, most existing work is based on Fourier transform, which cannot capture fine-grained and local…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-05 Peiyuan Liu , Beiliang Wu , Naiqi Li , Tao Dai , Fengmao Lei , Jigang Bao , Yong Jiang , Shu-Tao Xia

We introduce a high-dimensional factor model with time-varying loadings. We cover both stationary and nonstationary factors to increase the possibilities of applications. We propose an estimation procedure based on two stages. First, we…

This paper derives practical algorithms, based on Bayesian inference methods, for several data analysis problems common in time series analysis of astronomical and other data. One problem is the determination of the lag between two time…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-20 Jeffrey D. Scargle

Many important problems can be modeled as a system of interconnected entities, where each entity is recording time-dependent observations or measurements. In order to spot trends, detect anomalies, and interpret the temporal dynamics of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-13 David Hallac , Youngsuk Park , Stephen Boyd , Jure Leskovec

Previous studies showed that hydro-climate processes are stochastic and complex systems, and it is difficult to discover the hidden patterns in the all non-stationary data and thoroughly understand the hydro-climate relationships. For the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-02 Jianhua Xu

Change points in real-world systems mark significant regime shifts in system dynamics, possibly triggered by exogenous or endogenous factors. These points define regimes for the time evolution of the system and are crucial for understanding…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Ioanna-Yvonni Tsaknaki , Fabrizio Lillo , Piero Mazzarisi

In this paper, we present a change point detection method for detecting change points in multivariate nonstationary wind speed time series. The change point method identifies changes in the covariance structure and decomposes the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-25 Sakitha Ariyarathne , Harsha Gangammanavar , Raanju R. Sundararajan

It is quite common that the structure of a time series changes abruptly. Identifying these change points and describing the model structure in the segments between these change points is of interest. In this paper, time series data is…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-18 Lijing Ma , Andrew Grant , Georgy Sofronov

We develop a method for the multifractal characterization of nonstationary time series, which is based on a generalization of the detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA). We relate our multifractal DFA method to the standard partition…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-07 Jan W. Kantelhardt , Stephan A. Zschiegner , Eva Koscielny-Bunde , Armin Bunde , Shlomo Havlin , H. Eugene Stanley

Irregularly sampled multivariate time series are ubiquitous in various fields, particularly in healthcare, and exhibit two key characteristics: intra-series irregularity and inter-series discrepancy. Intra-series irregularity refers to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-19 Jiawen Zhang , Shun Zheng , Wei Cao , Jiang Bian , Jia Li

In this paper, we aim to improve multivariate anomaly detection (AD) by modeling the \textit{time-varying non-linear spatio-temporal correlations} found in multivariate time series data . In multivariate time series data, an anomaly may be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-19 Padmaksha Roy , Almuatazbellah Boker , Lamine Mili

In a recent work Manimaran et al. [Manimaran et al., Phys. Rev. E 72, 046120 (2005)] propose to use multiresolution Daubechies (DB) wavelets to (detrend) remove the low frequency trends and subsequently to quantify the multifractal…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 R. B. Govindan